Results showed that mixing ratio and potential temperature were rarely constant with height throughout the boundary layer during IHOP. When mixing ratio was assumed equal to the surface value, significant errors could occur in the forecast for severe storm potential as defined by the atmospheric stability indices. Boundary layer estimates of potential temperature and mixing ratio from surface values yielded average overestimates of 1.5 K and 1 g/kg. When applied to a convective sounding, such errors corresponded to significant changes in the convective available potential energy (CAPE) and lifted index (LI). When the boundary layer potential temperature and mixing ratio values were set equal to the values at 70 meters above the surface, the errors in potential temperature and mixing ratio estimates were significantly reduced. The author speculates that if it were better understood how mixing ratio evolved throughout the daytime boundary layer, then there would be increased forecast accuracy for convective precipitation.
Supplementary URL: