Session 7 |
| | Probability Forecasting |
| | Cochairs: G. Louis Smith, National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA; Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
|
| 3:30 PM | 7.1 | Probabilistic Forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and W. B. Evans |
| 3:45 PM | 7.2 | The Role of Climatic Autocorrelation in Probabilistic Forecasting
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and W. B. Evans |
| 4:00 PM | 7.3 | Mining “Optimal” Conditions for Rapid Intensifications of Tropical Cyclones 
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang and M. Kafatos |
| 4:15 PM | 7.4 | Probabilistic guidance for hurricane storm surge 
Arthur A. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn |
|  | 7.5 | GFS-Based MOS Opaque Sky Cover Guidance for the Contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico
Wei Yan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 4:30 PM | 7.6 | Probabilistic Hydrometeorological Forecasting in a Coupled Ensemble Framework
Jonathan M. Hobbs, Iowa State University, Ames, IA |
| 4:45 PM | 7.7 | Developing a peak wind probability forecast tool for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station
Winifred C. Lambert, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and D. A. Short and W. P. Roeder |