|  | 10.1 | Improved statistical seasonal forecasts using extended training data Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY |
| 8:45 AM | 10.1A | Looking for patterns in global sea surface temperatures and North American fire danger with positive matrix factorization  Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and J. R. Banta and B. L. Hall |
| 9:00 AM | 10.2 | Robust nonlinear canonical correlation analysis for seasonal prediction of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures  Alex J. Cannon, MSC, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh |
| 9:15 AM | 10.3 | Forecast error dynamics in a coupled ocean-atmosphere prediction system Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth |
| 9:30 AM | 10.4 | A Probabilistic Climatic Model for Predicting Seasonal Rainfall in Paraiba State, Brazil Bernardo Barbosa da Silva, Federal University of Campina Grande, Campina Grande, PB, Brazil; and F. D. A. S. Souza, V. D. P. R. Silva, and C. C. Braga |