88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

Wednesday, 23 January 2008: 10:30 AM
Adaptive governance: proposals for climate change adaptation science, policy and decision making
230 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and R. D. Brunner
Worldwide, the threefold increase in the incidence of extreme weather events since 1960 was been accompanied by a ninefold increase in damages, reaching a peak of US$219 billion in 2005 due to the impacts of Hurricane Katrina. There is strong evidence that the increases in extremes, particularly heat wave and flood, are related to climate change. Adaptive governance presents an opportunity to factor the global problem into many simpler local problems to be addressed in parallel. We propose opening up the established frame, based on insights from adaptive governance field-tested in collaboration with several communities, and independently corroborated by other research. First, in terms of science, we propose more intensive research centered on case studies of local communities and extreme events, each of which is unique under a comprehensive description. Differences among them must be taken into account to understand past damages or reduce vulnerability. Second, in terms of policy, we support a procedurally-rational approach, one that accommodates inevitable uncertainties, integrates scientific and local knowledge into policies to advance the community's common interest, and relies on learning from experience. Importantly, the approach is constructed to give something back of value to the participating communities – usually information and insight on their own circumstances – in return for their time, expertise, and good will. Third, in terms of decision-making, we suggest structural changes that begin with harvesting experience from the bottom-up, to make policies that have worked anywhere on the ground available for voluntary adaptation by similar communities elsewhere, and to inform higher-level officials about local resource needs. This approach produces examples (lessons) that can be re-contextualized to inform scientific understanding and policy decision and action in similar contexts directly, without going through generalizations. The common interest lies in reducing the vulnerability of people, property and other cultural artifacts, and the natural environment to climate change.

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