the last half century, notably a prolonged dry period
during the 70s-90s which had a significant impact on the people of
this region owing to the largely agrarian-based economies.
The African Multidisciplinary Monsoon Analysis (AMMA) project was
organized in recent years with the main goal of obtaining a
better understanding of the strong intra-seasonal and inter-annual
variability of the west-African monsoon (WAM). In particular,
land-atmosphere coupling is theorized to be of particular importance
in this region. The magnitude of the north-south gradient of surface
fluxes (modulated by soil moisture and vegetation) exerts a strong
influence on the position of the tropical front and possibly the
strength of the monsoon and the African Easterly Jet.
Several international model intercomparison projects are underway to
address these issues. One of the goals of the West African Monsoon
Modeling and Evaluation project (WAMME) is to use multiple GCMs and
regional climate models (RCMs) to examine the role of land-atmosphere
interaction, land-use and water-use change, and vegetation dynamics on
WAM development. In parallel, the AMMA Land surface Model
Intercomparison Project (ALMIP) consists in forcing an ensemble of
state-of-the-art land surface models with the best quality (combining
numerical weather prediction, satellite and ground-based observations)
data available in order to better understand the key surface
processes. The ALMIP land surface states then represent an
analogue to a land surface re-analysis product.
Therefore in this
talk, data from the ALMIP project will be used to
evaluate the ability of the fully coupled WAMME-GCMs to simulate the
land surface state. There will be a focus on those quantities which
have strong links with remotely sensed and
surface network data data,
such as the GCM predicted precipitation and surface net radiative
fluxes. Observational data from recent observational campaigns,
such as soil moisture, will be used to
evaluate the simulated values along a heavily instrumented
north-south transect.
In offline mode, analysis of the ALMIP results revealed that the
partitioning of the evaporation components and runoff were particularly
variable among the models, and these processes will be inter-compared
with the fully coupled model results.
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