Recent work in what has been called ethnoclimatology has sought to uncover local ways of forecasting weather and climate events and to evaluate their scientific validity. For example, Orlove, Chiang and Kane (2002) uncovered a scientific basis (lack or presence of El Niño-produced subvisual cirrus clouds) for the successful forecasts of coming rains by potato farmers in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia. The degree of obscuration of the stars in the Pleiades, as observed by the farmers in June, foretell either a dependable rainy season (bright and numerous stars) or an erratic one (dim and sparse stars), leading to different planting strategies. These researchers found that the farmers were not “fatalistically resigned” to accept climate variability as a reality but instead sought information useful for dealing with it.
Understanding how people who traditionally lived close to the land knew or still know weather is interesting in its own right as a way to preserve cultural tradition, but such understanding also may help present-day providers of scientific weather information better communicate their results to particular sectors of the public and may lead to complementary exchanges of ideas. Traditional, holistic knowledge of nature also may have a contemporary relevance in coping with and adapting to environmental extremes such as drought or climate change (e.g., Suzuki and Knudtson 1992). Some even believe that combining folk and scientific narratives may yield powerful insights into environmental history and human-environment relations (e.g., Cruikshank 2001; Ogilvie and Palsson 2003).
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