88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

Monday, 21 January 2008: 11:00 AM
Draft Forecasts from Real-time Runs of Physics-Based Models – A Road to the Future
221 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Michael Hesse, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Rastaetter, P. MacNeice, M. Kuznetsova, M. Maddox, and D. Berrios
The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) is a US inter-agency activity aiming at research in support of the generation of advanced space weather models. As one of its main functions, the CCMC provides to researchers the use of space science models, even if they are not model owners themselves. The second focus of CCMC activities is on validation and verification of space weather models, and on the transition of appropriate models to space weather forecast centers. As part of the latter activity, the CCMC develops real-time simulation systems that stress models through routine execution. A by-product of these real-time calculations is the ability to derive model products, which may be useful for space weather operators. After consultations with NOAA/SEC and with AFWA, CCMC has developed a set of tools as a first step to make real-time model output useful to forecast centers. In this presentation, we will discuss the motivation for this activity, the actions taken so far, and options for future tools from model output.

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