In selecting among policy options, it is important to realize that carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere during the next century (and beyond) depend on factors both within human control (how much we emit) and outside of human control (how the natural carbon cycle responds). Recent experiments suggest that the release of carbon from the land surface in response to warming is sufficient to push atmospheric concentrations to levels found in the highest IPCC emission scenario (A1FI) even if the human contribution corresponds to the lowest IPCC emission scenario (B1). This indicates that there is a greater risk exposure to society from a given level of human emissions than we currently recognize. As a result, polices that more aggressively seek to reduce the risks of climate change become more favorable.
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