Seventh Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
23rd Conference on Hydrology

J7.4

Northern Hemispheric Flood Fingerprints

Kathleen E. Walls, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and P. G. Knight, H. N. Shirer, and G. S. Young

According to the work of Root et al. (2007), there are repeatable atmospheric fingerprints of mid-Atlantic flooding events. From this basis, it is hypothesized that there are common fingerprints not only for mid-Atlantic floods, but for floods across the mid-latitudes (20N-60N) of the Northern Hemisphere. These fingerprints (patterns) will be evaluated based on the spatial correlations of the standard anomalies of four atmospheric fields: 850hPa U wind component, 700 hPa V wind component, Precipitable Water, and Mean Sea Level Pressure centered on the flooding event.

Values of the standard anomalies are retrieved from the NCEP-NCAR Global Reanalysis dataset (17 pressure levels on 2.5 by 2.5 degree grids). A nine by nine array of grid point values for the four fields listed earlier have been excerpted for more than 200 flooding events in the Northern Hemispheric mid-latitudes. The flooding events came from three sources: The National Climate Data Center's Event's database, CMORPH and the Encyclopedia Britannica's disaster articles from 1979 to 1999.

It will be shown that identifiable flood patterns differ by regions and seasons based on the moisture sources and lifting mechanisms. Patterns will be distinguished by six categories: cold season western continental, warm season western continental, cold season eastern continental, warm season eastern continental, cold season central continental, and warm season central continental.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (700K)

wrf recording  Recorded presentation

Joint Session 7, Hydrology and AI: Status and Applications—II
Tuesday, 13 January 2009, 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Room 125A

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