21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change



Athar Hussain, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo

Global six year climatology of mid latitude atmospheric blocking events, occurring during the period 1999-2004, is presented based on the scale and stability analysis, using the NCEP/NCAR re-analysis data. A total of 278 blocking events over the Northern as well as the Southern Hemispheres are analyzed.

The 500-hPa geopotential height is decomposed into the planetary- and the synoptic-scale geopotential heights. The heights are then averaged over a 40o e 60o latitude longitude box D, harboring the blocking event. The averaged heights are compared with their corresponding monthly mean values during the month in which the blocking event has occurred. A positive planetary-scale geopotential height dominance behavior for a given blocking event is defined as a positive planetary-scale height anomaly above its monthly mean value. Similar procedure is adopted to define synoptic-scale dominance behavior.

It is pointed out that globally, over the six year period, 83% of the blocking events have single-scale dominance, whereas remaining 17% of the blocking events have an alternating-scale dominance behavior. In the Northern Hemisphere, during the later half of the six year period, a 28% rise in the planetary-scale dominance behavior blocking events is noticed over the synoptic-scale dominance behavior blocking events.

Stability analysis of the blocking events over the six year period is performed, under the assumption of barotropic flow, using the following three stability indicators: i) max ||, ii) max|a|, and iii) Here, is geosptrophic stream function, a is the absolute vorticity and = - gu/ gy, in usual meteorological notation.

A comparison of the time variability of the three stability indicators over the entire life cycle of the selected blocking events with earlier works performing the synoptic and dynamics studies shows that the three stability indicators can be used as climatologically reliable stability indicators giving useful insight into the stability of the flow attending the blocking event. It is noticed that in the scale dependent flow, the scale that dominates during the mature stage of the blocking event determines the stability of the flow during the blocking, and that the blocking is relatively more stable state than the more frequent zonal flow, irrespective of which scale dominates the flow during blocking.

For the selected blocking events, the calculations for both the scale height dominance as well as for the stability of the flow attending the blocking are extended to include the stratospheric signals as well, for operational relevance.

Poster Session 3, Global dynamics and prediction - posters
Tuesday, 13 January 2009, 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Hall 5

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