Recorded presentation2.2
Moving towards space weather management
W. Kent Tobiska, Space Environment Technologies, Pacific Palisades, CA
There have been notable successes during the past decade in the development of operational space environment systems. Examples include the Magnetospheric Specification Model (MSM) of the Earth's magnetosphere, 2000; SOLAR2000 (S2K) solar spectral irradiances (now called Solar Irradiance Platform - SIP), 2001; High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model (HASDM) neutral atmosphere densities, 2004; Global Assimilation of Ionospheric Measurements (GAIM) ionosphere specification, 2006; Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry (HAF) solar wind parameters, 2007; Communication Alert and Prediction System (CAPS) ionosphere, high frequency radio, and scintillation S4 index prediction, 2008; and GEO Alert and Prediction System (GAPS) geosynchronous environment satellite charging specification and forecast, 2008. Operational systems that are in active operational implementation include the Jacchia-Bowman 2006/2008 (JB2006/2008) neutral atmosphere, 2009, and the Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS) aviation radiation model, 2010. U.S. national agency and commercial assets will soon reach a state where specification and prediction will become ubiquitous and where coordinated management of the space environment and space weather will become a necessity. We describe progress in providing nowcasts and forecasts in the CAPS, GAPS, SIP, NAIRAS, and JB2008 systems and what new work is needed for space weather management as we go beyond specification and prediction efforts.
Session 2, Economic and social impacts of space weather
Monday, 12 January 2009, 1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Room 126BC
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