P1.11
Semi-Empirical Projections of Future Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
Thomas A. Sabbatelli, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. E. Mann, J. L. Evans, and S. K. Miller
Using a previously validated statistical model relating Atlantic annual tropical cyclone (TC) counts to climate state variables, we investigate the impact of projected future changes in climate on Atlantic TC activity. In contrast to some recent studies, our results suggest, albeit with a wide uncertainty range, the possibility that anthropogenic climate change could lead to a substantial increase in annual TC counts.
Poster Session 1, Student Conference Posters
Sunday, 11 January 2009, 5:30 PM-7:00 PM
Previous paper Next paper