5B.4
The North Atlantic subtropical high and tropical cyclone tracks
Angela J. Colbert, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden
We examine the relationship between North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) tracks and the large-scale steering flow using best-track data for the 1950 to 2007 hurricane seasons. Limiting the cyclones to the main development region (MDR), we categorize each cyclone into one of three groups according to their track type. Straight moving (SM) cyclones are defined as those which enter the Gulf of Mexico, recurving landfall (RCL) cyclones threaten the east coast of the United States, and recurving ocean (RCO) cyclones stay within the North Atlantic never threatening land. Preliminary results suggest an influence of climatological events, such as El Niņo, on the frequency of different track types. Although a common forecasting tool for the TC track is the strength and location of the subtropical high, little research has been done to demonstrate the high's direct influence on the steering flow. Using NCEP-NCAR Reanalysis data for the sea-level pressure and vertical profiles of wind, the characteristics of the subtropical high were categorized by track type. Preliminary results suggest a westward extension and strengthening of the subtropical high for SM cyclones, and a receding and weakening of the subtropical high for RCO cyclones.
Session 5B, Tropical Cyclones: Past, Present and Future Part II
Tuesday, 19 January 2010, 11:00 AM-12:00 PM, B216
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