22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres
14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
24th Conference on Hydrology

J5.1

On the seamless prediction of weather and climate

Timothy N. Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom

Seamless prediction techniques allow the insights and constraints of numerical weather prediction to be brought to bear on the climate change problem. Examples include: the use of 6hr weather forecasts to constrain climate sensitivity, seasonal-to-interannual forecasts to calibrate predictions of climate change, and the use of stochastic parametrization in ensembles of numerical weather prediction models, to represent forecast uncertainty in climate prediction. These examples will be discussed.

Recorded presentation

Joint Session 5, Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part I
Wednesday, 20 January 2010, 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, B215

Next paper

Browse or search entire meeting

AMS Home Page