9A.2
Seasonality of polar warming amplification in climate simulations
Jianhua Lu, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
The IPCC AR4 global warming climate simulations reveal a pronounced seasonality of polar warming amplification with maximum warming amplfication in winter and minimum in summer. In this paper, we study the relative importance of surface albedo feedback (SAF), cloud radiative forcing (CRF), the changes in surface sensible and latent heat fluxes, the change in heat storage, and changes in the clear-sky downward infrared radiation in causing the strong seasonality of polar warming amplification by calculating partial temperature changes due to each of these processes using the surface energy budget equation. The main thermodynamic factor for a small polar warming amplification in summer is that the positive SAF is largely cancelled out by the negative surface CRF in summer. The positive SAF feedback is relatively much weaker in winter compared to its amplitude in summer, therefore does not contribute to the pronounced polar warming amplification in winter significantly. The seasonal cycle of polar warming amplification, in terms of both spatial patterns and temporal amplitude, closely follows the seasonal cycle of the warming due to changes in clear-sky downward longwave radiation alone, indicating the importance of the atmospheric processes, such as water vapor feedback and dynamical feedbacks associated with the enhancement of poleward energy transport, in causing the pronounced seasonality of polar warming amplification.
Session 9A, Climate Change Modeling Part II
Wednesday, 20 January 2010, 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, B215
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