91st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting

Session : Browse by Day

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Monday, 24 January 2011

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Registration continues through January 27

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-3:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Workshop
Atmospheric Science 101: Update Your Library Skills
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Panel Discussion
Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; and the 11th Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate )
Moderator: Robert T. Ryan, NBC4 TV
Panelists: Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune; Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre; Doyle Rice, USA Today; Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Panelist: Thomas E. Skilling
Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL

  9:10 AM
Panelist: Claire Martin
Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  9:20 AM
Panelist: Doyle Rice
Doyle Rice, USA Today, Washington, DC

  9:30 AM
Panelist: Martin Storksdieck
Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council, Washington, DC

Recording files available
Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; the Events; and the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International )

Papers:

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break Reception - Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
1
Agency Updates—Space Weather Impacts & Initiatives
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Robert McCoy, Office of Naval Research; Genene Fisher, AMS

Papers:
  11:30 AM
1.2
Utility of the the NASA research fleet for SWx prediction
Richard R. Fisher, NASA Heliophysics Division, Washington, DC

  11:45 AM
1.3
NSF and Space Weather for the Future
Richard Behnke, NSF, Arlington, VA

 
Paper 1.4 has been moved. New paper number 1.1A

Recording files available
1
Atmospheric observations, in situ and remote, including from satellites: Advantages and shortcomings compared with other observing systems—Part I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML

Papers:
  11:15 AM
1.2
  11:30 AM
1.3
Using unmanned aircraft as sensing platforms
Patricia M. Pauley, NRL, Monterey, CA; and L. Phegley and C. M. Amerault

  11:45 AM
1.4
Update on the Consensus Reference Concept for Testing Radiosondes
Joseph Facundo, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and C. Bower and M. Liu

Recording files available
1
Computational intelligence methods in forecasting
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: William W. Hsieh, Univ. of British Columbia

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
Application of the neural network technique to develop a nonlinear multi-model ensemble for precipitation over ConUS
Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, IMSG at NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Lin

  11:15 AM
1.2
  11:30 AM
1.3
Using data mining to improve convective initiation forecasts
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych and J. R. Mecikalski

  11:45 AM
1.4
Nonlinear principal component analysis applied to the tropical MJO cycle
Johannes Jenkner, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon


1
Field, Laboratory, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality—Part I
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Renyi Zhang, Texas A&M University; J.R. Arnold, US Army Corps of Engineers

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
(Invited Speaker) Biogenic secondary organic aerosol: observations and predictions
Scot T. Martin, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Q. Chen, Y. Liu, and N. Donahue

  11:30 AM
1.2
An overview of the 2010 Carbonaceous Aerosol and Radiative Effects Study (CARES) field campaign
Rahul Zaveri, PNNL, Richland, WA; and W. J. Shaw and D. J. Cziczo

 
1.3
An evaluation of a smoke emissions and transport pathway in the BlueSky Smoke Modeling Framework using observations from a prescribed burn

  11:45 AM
(Formerly Poster 750) The Hygroscopic Properties of Volcanic Ash and Implications for the Evolution of Volcanic Plumes in the Atmosphere
Terry L. Lathem, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Kumar, J. Dufek, and A. Nenes

Recording files available
1
Lightning Safety, Protection, and Education I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State University

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
Recent studies of lightning safety and demographics
Ronald L. Holle, Holle Meteorology & Photography, Oro Valley, AZ

  11:15 AM
1.2
Communicating lightning safety effectively
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL; and R. L. Holle, M. A. Cooper, and S. J. Hodanish

  11:30 AM
1.3
Utilizing a Lightning Safety Toolkit at Outdoor Venues
Charlie Woodrum, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and D. Franklin

  11:45 AM
1.4
Latest Advancements and Results from the Georgia Tech High School Field Mill Project
John Trostel, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA ; and T. Perry

Recording files available
1
Managing the Climate Challenge: Impacts, Adaptation, and Assessment
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey; Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ.

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
America's Climate Choices: Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change
Thomas Wilbanks, ORNL, Washington, DC; and I. P. Kraucunas and C. Elfring

http://americasclimatechoices.org/

  11:30 AM
1.2
The U.S. National Assessment of Climate Change: Planning the Next Process
Katharine Jacobs, Office of Science and Technology Policy, Washington, DC

Recording files available
1
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 1
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Roy Rasmussen, NCAR/RAL; Masataka Murakami, MRI

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
What have we learned from over 50 years of artificial rain enhancement experiments and operations in Israel?
Zev Levin, Department of Geophysics and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel; and N. Halfon and P. Alpert

  11:15 AM
1.2
Microstructure of convective and orographic clouds in Israeli and their suitability for seeding
Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and E. Freud

  11:45 AM
1.4
A Tool for Evaluating Modeling Studies of Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Fowler, D. W. Breed, R. Bullock, J. H. Gotway, P. Oldenburg, and A. Holmes

Recording files available
1
Shifting the Paradigm: Communication Frameworks that Strengthen our Public Health Partnerships
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Moderator: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
The use of a medical disease model to communicate the concept of uncertainty
James L. Persson, U.S. Army Aeromedical Activity, Fort Rucker, AL

  11:15 AM
1.2
IRI Climate Information for Public Health: towards a knowledge system
Gilma C. Mantilla Caicedo, International Research Institute for Climate and Society ( IRI), Palisades, NY; and M. Thomson and S. Connor

  11:30 AM
1.3
Modeling and communicating plague risk in Uganda
Andrew J. Monaghan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, R. J. Eisen, K. L. Gage, K. S. Griffith, and E. Zielinski-Gutierrez

  11:45 AM
1.4
Health forecasting prevents hospital admissions
Tapio Jokinen, Medixine ltd, Espoo, Finland

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Stratosphere and Climate I
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Jessica L. Neu, JPL

Papers:
  11:30 AM
Stratospheric temperature trends: History of our evolving understanding
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and N. P. Gillett, J. Lanzante, K. P. Shine, and P. Thorne

  11:45 AM
Could stratospheric water vapor anomalies influence regional climate?
Amanda C. Maycock, Univ. of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. M. Joshi, A. A. Scaife, and K. P. Shine

Recording files available
1A
Climate Analysis I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
The climate of 2010 in historical perspective
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Sanchez-Lugo, C. Fenimore, R. R. Heim Jr., and J. Blunden

  11:15 AM
Extreme weather over parts of the Northern Hemisphere during winter 2009–2010
Lance Bosart, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira

  11:30 AM
NOAA's 1981–2010 climate normals: a preview
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. Applequist, I. Durre, L. Ross, M. F. Squires, R. S. Vose, and X. Yin

  11:45 AM
An analysis of extreme precipitation events in the US during spring 2010
R. Wayne Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kousky and P. Xie

Recording files available
1A
Decision Support Meteorology I
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: John W. Cannon, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  11:00 AM
NWS Services Roadmap for the Decade Ahead
Andrew Stern, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Green, J. Tuell, E. Jacks, and D. Caldwell

  11:15 AM
Real-time estimation of population exposure to weather hazards
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and K. L. Manross, K. L. Ortega, and B. P. Walawender

  11:30 AM
The first steps at providing impact based decision support services (IDSS) in Alaska
Don Moore, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK; and C. Scott, J. Osiensky, G. Hufford, G. Petrescu, and A. Fish

  11:45 AM
Statistical upscaling of numerical weather predictions to enable coupled modelling of local weather impacts
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY; and H. Li, A. P. Praino, and A. Praino

Recording files available
1A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University

Papers:
  11:00 AM
The Role of Land-Atmosphere Interactions on Droughts [INVITED]
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. Huang, Y. Qian, and X. Liang

  11:30 AM
On the use of Ecosystem Functional Types to represent lower boundary conditions in the WRF/Noah Model
Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Alcaraz-Segura and S. J. Lee

  11:45 AM
Multi-variate evaluation of land surface model performance in a semi-arid, complex terrain pine forest
David Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, A. A. Turnipseed, J. Hu, F. Dominguez, and P. Harley

Recording files available
1B
Climate Prediction
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
Variability of the MJO in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis and Reforecasts
Scott Weaver, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, M. Chen, and A. Kumar

  11:30 AM
A Framework for Assessing Operational Model MJO Forecasts
Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

  11:45 AM
Are the more extreme seasonal climate conditions easier to predict?
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. L. Lin

Recording files available
1B
Forecasting Skill Improvement I
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah
CoChair: Levi Thatcher, University of Utah

Papers:
  11:45 AM
Gene-expression programming—a new tool for creating NWP ensemble averages and probability forecasts
Atoossa Bakhshaii, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull

Recording files available
1B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Flooding in western Washington: The connection to atmospheric rivers
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Schick, F. M. Ralph, M. Hughes, and G. A. Wick

  11:45 AM
Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Increasing Public Awareness of Weather Forecasts I
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: David R. Smith, United States Naval Academy; Carolyn Reynolds, NRL

Papers:

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Town Hall Meeting: Climate Change and Human Health – Inter-agency Federal Research and Stakeholder Input
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

Climate change can endanger human health, affecting all sectors of society, both domestically and globally. The environmental consequences of a changing climate, both those already observed and those that are anticipated, such as sea level rise, changes in precipitation resulting in flooding and drought, extended heat waves, and intensified hurricanes and storms, will affect human health both directly and indirectly. This Town Hall Meeting will focus on the human health effects that may be driven by climate-scale events and the progress of federal action and assessment of the issue. Input and engagement from attendees will be sought regarding the future direction of climate and health research, assessment of and adaptation to climate change in different regions and sectors, and input toward health-specific aspects of the National Climate Assessment. For additional information, please contact Tanya Maslak, (tel: 202-419-3474; e-mail: tmaslak@usgcrp.gov).
Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: The Role of the Forecaster in Probabilistic Decision Making
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

In recent years, the weather enterprise has been making strides toward providing additional forecast detail using high-resolution ensemble prediction systems and probabilistic information. Uncertainty is an inherent part of every forecast, and probabilistic forecasts can be used to quantify this uncertainty. However, the methods of communicating and utilizing probabilities remain a significant challenge. Individual decision makers must know how to appropriately apply probabilistic information to their specific decision processes in order to realize its full value, and the probabilistic information needed varies widely between different applications. Many unresolved challenges related to the effective presentation and comprehension of probabilistic information have been discussed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO; see WMO/TD No. 4122, Guidelines on Communicating Forecast Uncertainty), the National Research Council (NRC; see the NRC report Completing the Forecast), and the AMS Ad Hoc Committee on Uncertainty in Forecasts (Generating and Communicating Forecast Uncertainty). The best designed and fully calibrated ensemble prediction system in the world will only provide additional value if decisions are appropriately influenced by the new probabilistic information. The AMS Board for Operational Government Meteorologists and the 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction are sponsoring this Town Hall Meeting to discuss the forecaster’s role in communicating forecast uncertainty, which is necessary to achieve full utilization of probabilities in decision making by users of weather information. Currently, the forecaster often plays the role of decision maker by issuing advisories and warnings when the threat of high-impact weather exceeds key “one size fits all” thresholds. Ideally, decision makers would all use forecast probabilities combined with their own assessment of their sensitivity to weather to achieve the best possible decision. In reality, decision makers have many factors to consider in addition to weather, and the forum will discuss appropriate future roles for forecasters in ensuring that decision makers can effectively utilize complex environmental uncertainty information. For additional information, please contact Andrew Molthan, NASA MSFC (tel: 256-961-7474; e-mail: andrew.molthan@nasa.gov).
Papers:
  12:15 PM
Introductory Remarks by Waldstreicher
Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Matters!: But will It to the 112th Congress?
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings
Panelists: Ray Ban, The Weather Channel; Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma; Walter F. Dabberdt, Vaisala. Inc.; Wendy Naus, Lewis-Burke Associates, LLC; Jim McDermott, United States House of Representatives

For quite some time, climate change has been the major issue of our community receiving attention in the halls of the U.S. Congress. With hope for a climate bill all but gone, and the needs of the country increasing around severe weather issues, the weather community needs to strategize ways to catch the attention of Congress and the administration with a fresh set of weather-related research and development priorities. The National Research Council’s Committee on Progress and Priorities of the U.S. Weather Research and Research-to-Operations Activities recently (2010) published the report When Weather Matters: Science and Services to Meet Critical Societal Needs. The report “puts forth the committee’s best judgment on the most pressing high-level, weather-focused research challenges and research-to-operations needs and makes corresponding recommendations….” It also identifies three important “emerging” issues—very high-impact weather, urban meteorology, and renewable energy development—that were not identified (or were largely undervalued) in previous studies. When Weather Matters joins two other recent reports that address related needs and provide recommendations for the future—Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up: A Nationwide Network of Networks, also from the NRC, and the 2009 Community Review of NCEP, carried out by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. The recommendations and priorities put forth by these three reports will be considered at this Town Hall Meeting.
Papers:

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
1A
Communicating Weather Information Using Mobile Devices Part I
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Michael Eilts, Weather Decision Technologies; Paul A. Pisano, Federal Highway Administration; Dave Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Inc.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
The growth of the weather category in the mobile industry
Robyn L. Weeks, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA

  1:45 PM
Smart phone presence for local media: required and options
J. T. Johnson, Weather Decision Technologies, Norman, OK; and M. Eilts, M. Taylor, I. Stinson, M. Gauthier, S. Wrzesien, T. Daniell, T. Hackbarth, J. Jones, M. Woehrer, K. Tran, and J. Peck

  2:00 PM
Current weather conditions in the smartphone market
Russell Heilig, Davis Instruments, Hayward, CA

  2:15 PM
Mobile Device Access to Real-time Weather Products using a Web Map Service
Russell Dengel, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. Santek, D. Parker, S. Batzli, and N. Bearson

Recording files available
1B
Special International Applications Session: The Eyjafjallajökull Volcanic Eruption of 2010
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Erik Andersson, ECMWF; John R. Lincoln, US Navy/WMO (Ret.) and Consultant

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Volcanic alert warnings to the public; experience from volcanic eruptions in Iceland
Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Pétursson and V. Reynisson

Manuscript (71.7 kB)
  1:45 PM
Ash plume monitoring at the Eyjafjallajökull eruption 2010
Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Pétursson, G. N. Petersen, H. Björnsson, H. Þorsteinsson, T. F. Hervarsson, and K. Hermannsdóttir

  2:15 PM
The UK Met Office Observations Programme response to the Eyjafjallajökull eruption of spring 2010
Deborah Susan Lee, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and D. Klugmann and O. Cox

Recording files available
2
Agency Updates II
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Richard Behnke, NSF

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
  1:45 PM
2.2
FAA Update on Space Weather Activities
Hank Krakowski, FAA, Washington, DC; and V. Capezzuto

  2:15 PM
2.4
Recording files available
2
Confronting Challenges in Climate Communication
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Amanda Staudt, National Wildlife Federation; Jason P. Samenow, EPA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
  1:45 PM
2.2
Good reasons for trusting climate science communication
Jean Goodwin, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. F. Dahlstrom

  2:00 PM
2.3
Models: The Missing Piece in Climate Change Coverage
Karen Akerlof, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

Recording files available
2
Field, Laboratory, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality—Part II
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Christian Seigneur, CEREA; Yang Zhang, North Carolina State University

Papers:
 
2.1
Volcanic Emissions from Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling

  1:45 PM
2.2
Contributions of Organic Vapors to Nucleation and Growth of Nanoparticles in the Atmosphere
Lin Wang, Fudan Univ., Shanghai, China; and W. Xu, A. Khalizov, and R. Zhang

Recording files available
2
Lightning in Tropical Cyclones I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Alexandre Fierro, NOAA/NSSL/Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS/LANL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
  2:00 PM
2.2
Tropical cyclone lightning characteristics as revealed by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN)
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and S. Abarca, F. O. Rosales, and G. B. Raga

  2:15 PM
2.3
Lightning observations and tropical cyclogenesis in the Atlantic and East Pacific
Kenneth D. Leppert II, University of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen

Recording files available
2
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 2
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Michael J. Manton, Monash University; T. Jensen, NCAR

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
  1:45 PM
2.2
New insights into hydrometeor response to ground-based glaciogenic seeding of orographic clouds from profiling radar data
Bart Geerts, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and Q. Miao, R. Rasmussen, D. Breed, and Y. Yang

  2:15 PM
2.4
Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Stratosphere and Climate II: Response to Surface Forcing
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates

Papers:
  1:30 PM
  1:45 PM
El Nino-Southern Oscillation and stratospheric sudden warmings: a re-evaluation
Amy Hawes Butler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. M. Polvani

  2:00 PM
The impact of surface temperature variability on the climate change response in the NH polar vortex
Barbara Winter, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. S. Bourqui

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
Recording files available
2A
Climate Analysis II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State Univ.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Long-term changes of physical mechanisms in the seasonal cycle of the summertime precipitation variability in Korea
Joon-Woo Roh, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Y. Kim

  1:45 PM
  2:15 PM
The mechanisms of interannual variability within the North Pacific storm track
Sandra M. Penny, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and G. H. Roe

Recording files available
2A
Decision/Education Support II
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  1:30 PM
New ensemble-based products for tropical cyclones
Thomas M. Hamill, ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and B. Brown, M. DeMaria, Z. Toth, R. L. Gall, and E. Rappaport

  2:00 PM
Tracking Outflows from Severe Thunderstorms Using NSF EarthScope USArray Pressure Sensors
Jonathan E. Tytell, University of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Eakins and F. Vernon

http://anf.ucsd.edu

  2:15 PM
Effective use of NWP in the forecast process: A new COMET distance learning course
William R. Bua, UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and S. D. Jascourt and G. Byrd

http://meted.ucar.edu/dl_courses/nwp

Recording files available
2A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Seasonal climate transitions in New England
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT

  2:00 PM
Impacts of beetle-kill and wildland fire on regional water and energy cycles in western North America [INVITED]
Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wiedinmyer, M. Barlage, Y. Zhang, J. A. Hicke, and A. J. H. Meddens

Recording files available
2B
Forecast Skill Improvement II
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
  1:45 PM
Kalman filter and analog schemes to postprocess numerical weather predictions
Luca Delle Monache, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Nipen, Y. Liu, G. Roux, R. B. Stull, T. T. Warner, and P. Childs

  2:00 PM
The Impact of Real-Time Observations on the WRF Model Surface Forecasts
Elena Novakovskaia, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and Z. Guo and C. Sloop

  2:15 PM
Recording files available
2B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  1:45 PM
Extreme Precipitation over the West Coast of North America: Is There a Trend?
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Warner and A. Skalenakis

  2:00 PM
What if the 1–4 May 2010 Historic Nashville, Tennessee Flood Occurred Across East Tennessee?
Brian M. Boyd, NOAA/NWSFO, Morristown, TN; and T. W. Troutman, J. S. Graschel, and S. Roberts

  2:15 PM
Mesoscale controls on the mountainside snow line
Justin R. Minder, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and D. Durran and G. H. Roe

Recording files available
2B
Observed Changes I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
An investigation of slow-moving East Coast Winter Storms during the past 55 years
Jase E. Bernhardt, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Ithaca, NY

  1:45 PM
Changes in cloudiness in the U.S. from surface observations
Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Sun

  2:00 PM
Meteorological causes of observed extreme precipitation trends in the U.S
Kenneth E. Kunkel, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Easterling, B. Gleason, D. A. R. Kristovich, L. Stoecker, and R. A. Smith

  2:15 PM
Stratus-impacts on observed long-term cooling-trends of summer max-temperatures in coastal California
James Thomas, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and S. Padrick and R. Bornstein

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Assimilation of observations into models: Atmosphere I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Chair: Ross N. Hoffman, AER

Papers:
  1:30 PM
The Canadian regional data assimilation and forecasting system
Luc Fillion, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and A. Patoine, E. Lapalme, N. Benbouta, P. Vaillancourt, M. Tanguay, S. Macpherson, M. Lajoie, M. Desgagne, and V. Lee

  1:45 PM
Progress in the GEM-NEMO coupled data assimilation and prediction system
Jean-Marc Bélanger, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and G. Smith, F. Roy, H. Ritchie, and S. Skachko

  2:00 PM
Regional NWP: why bother?
Dale Barker, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and B. Macpherson, C. Jones, and R. Dumelow

  2:15 PM
Development of GRAPES Hourly Assimilation System
Chen Zi-tong, CMA, Guangzhou, China

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Increasing Public Awareness of Weather Forecasts II
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Papers:

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Poster Session 1
Decision Support, Forecast Verification and Downscaling
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Papers:
 
87
Storm Prediction Information for Decision Making at Sea
Lizzie S. R. Froude, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
89
Pilot Projects Underway within NWS to Demonstrate New Service Capabilities

 
90
Verification of simulated radar reflectivity and echo-top forecast at NCEP
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, S. Liu, and G. Dimego

Manuscript (692.5 kB) Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
91
A new paradigm for occluded fronts and the occlusion process
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and G. Vaughan

Poster PDF (731.8 kB)
 
92
COMET Training on the Use of High-Resolution Models
Stephen D. Jascourt, UCAR/COMET, Silver Spring, MD; and G. Byrd

http://meted.ucar.edu/nwp/hires

Manuscript (1.1 MB) Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
93
Model Evaluation Tools (MET) verification statistics visualization
Paul Oldenburg, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Halley Gotway and T. Jensen

Poster PDF (931.3 kB)
 
94
An objective technique for evaluating forecast radar reflectivity from an NWP model
Edward Colón, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Zhou, B. S. Ferrier, S. Liu, M. Pyle, and G. DiMego

 
95
Spatial forecast verification: image warping
E. Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Lindström, F. Lindgren, L. Chen, M. DePersio, G. Do, K. Ellertson, Y. Jin, C. Xia, R. L. Smith, and E. L. Kang

 
98
Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment
Michelle Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and R. S. Schneider

Manuscript (1.1 MB)
 
99
Geospatial verification of experimental severe weather warnings
Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith, K. L. Ortega, and S. Stough

Poster PDF (216.2 kB)
 
100
Regional downscaling of NCEP CFS seasonal forecasts by NCEP RSM
Yunfei Zhang, NOAA/NWS/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. M. H. Juang

 
101
Development of a global data server using downscaling techniques to produce high-resolution, long-range, hourly forecast data
Holly C. Hassenzahl, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI; and B. A. Wilt, C. Johnson, R. Runnheim, R. Arb, A. Rice, M. Thomas, B. J. Good, D. Graham, and N. R. Keene

Poster PDF (624.6 kB)
 
102
Using MODE with Cloudsat Data
Randy Bullock, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Manuscript (342.8 kB)
 
104
Exploring the use of stability fields from a three dimensional objective analysis scheme in the NCAR AutoNowcaster
Eric J. Nelson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Roberts, A. R. S. Anderson, D. L. Megenhardt, and P. D. Bothwell

 
105
A case study of Hurricane Felix (2007) rapid intensification
Ian C. Colon-Pagan, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. Davis and G. Holland

 
106
Relationships between heavy rainfall over the Korean peninsula and remote tropical cyclones
Kun-Young Byun, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and T. Y. Lee

Poster PDF (312.1 kB)
 
107
Cool-season intermittent precipitation cells in the Pacific Northwest
Sandra E. Yuter, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. M. Hall, J. G. Cunningham, N. R. Hardin, and B. A. Colle

 
108
Observed vertical structure of snow storms in Steamboat Springs, CO: Orographic enhancement in a high altitude environment
Nathan R. Hardin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and K. Friedrich

 
109
 
110
Observations of Weather Phenomena by NSF EarthScope USArray Seismic and Pressure Sensors
Frank L. Vernon, University of California , La Jolla, CA; and J. Eakins, J. E. Tytell, B. Busby, and B. Woodward

http://anf.ucsd.edu

Manuscript (2.6 MB) Poster PDF (27.2 MB)

Poster Session 1
2Health Poster Session
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Organizer: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society

Papers:
 
340
An Investigation into the the urban heat island of Detroit, MI., and the role of three spatial variables
E. Oswald, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and R. B. Rood and M. O'Neill

 
341
Estimation of WBGT with JMA products and information web site for heat stroke in Japan
Michihiko Tonouchi, Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Ono

Manuscript (289.6 kB)
 
342
"Hot Town, Summer in the City": Exploring perception of and adaptation to extreme heat in Phoenix, Arizona
Dana Pauzauskie, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, O. Wilhelmi, and H. Brenkert-Smith

 
Risk assessments of outdoor hot environment using urban meteorological numerical model system
Yukitaka Ohashi, Okayama University of Science, Okayama, Japan; and Y. Kikegawa, K. Yamaguchi, and T. Ihara

Manuscript (1.2 MB)

Joint Poster Session 1
6POLICY Poster Session I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Organizer: Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR

Papers:
 
282
Observed changes in the frequency of heavy precipitation events in the southern climate region and policy implications
Esther D. White, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer and J. Hocker

Manuscript (1.9 MB) Poster PDF (6.7 MB)
 
284
Using scenario planning to confront deep uncertainty: a case study from the Crown of the Continent
Holly C. Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and L. Welling

 
285
The consortium for climate risk in the urban northeast
Radley M. Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY; and C. Rosenzweig, U. Lall, and P. L. Kinney

 
286
Climate adaptation planning to aid state, municipal, tribal, and federal governmental decision makers in Oklahoma
Renee A. McPherson, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer, J. E. Hocker, and R. E. Butterworth

Poster PDF (7.8 MB)
 
287
National Weather Service 2010 Customer Satisfaction Survey results

 
288
Assessing users of the NWS point-and-click web-based forecast information
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Hilderbrand, J. K. Lazo, R. E. Morss, and T. Trogdon

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)
 
289
A weather survey of western Washington residents: Part I
Jennifer Chang, University of Washington & NOAA, Tacoma, WA

Poster PDF (368.3 kB)
 
290
A weather survey of western Washington residents: Part II
L. Kirby Cook, NOAA/NWS, Seattle, WA; and J. Chang

 
291
Story time! Communicating risk through NWS Western Region's weather stories
Gina M. Eosco, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and D. Jones

 
292
The development of a storm damage estimate calculator
Brenton William MacAloney II, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Poster PDF (123.7 kB)
 
293
New paradigm for NWS regional and local climate services
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Horsfall, J. C. Meyers, J. Koepsell, M. D. Hawkins, J. Zdrojewski, S. L. Dixon, and V. Silva

 
296
IceThreat: using icing algorithm output to propose AIRMET regions
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Prestopnik, J. J. Levit, F. McDonough, and M. K. Politovich

Poster PDF (663.4 kB)
 
297
Using GIS to assess vulnerability to climate hazards in the southern United States
Robert J. Gottlieb, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks, M. A. Shafer, and M. B. Richman

Manuscript (850.0 kB) Poster PDF (1.6 MB)
 
300
Impacts of regional climate changes on the hydrometeorology of La Hispaniola: The Enriquillo & Sumatra Lakes water basin
Jorge E. González, City College of New York, New York, NY; and R. Gonzalez, D. R. Brito, and D. E. Comarazamy

 
A Look Back at Major Disaster Declarations: A GIS Perspective
James E. Hocker, SCIPP/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK


Poster Session 1
Climatology of Lightning and the Global Electric Circuit I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Edward R. Mansell, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma

Papers:
 
302
A Lightning Climatology for the Northern California Region
Matthew Bloemer, NOAA/NWS, Eureka, CA

 
303
Verification of thunderstorm occurrence using the National Lightning Detection Network
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA

 
304
IC/CG Ratio Over the U.S
Stan Heckman, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD

 
305
Lightning climatology for the State of Colorado
Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO; and P. G. Wolyn

Manuscript (757.0 kB)
 
306
Monthly distributions of NLDN and GLD360 cloud-to-ground lightning
Ronald L. Holle, Vaisala Inc., Tucson, AZ; and K. L. Cummins and N. W. S. Demetriades

Manuscript (4.4 MB) Poster PDF (9.4 MB)
 
307
Thunderstorm activity over South America as inferred from the Sferics and Timing Ranging Network – STARNET
Carlos A. R. Morales, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and J. R. Neves and E. M. Anselmo

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

Poster Session 1
Computational intelligence methods and their applications to environmental science
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences

Papers:
 
257
Towards the effective communication of weather and climate information—harnessing new technologies to integrate material from various sources on the web to generate new products
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and B. Campbell, M. Efron, and J. Cornall-Reilly

http://www.bom.gov.au

Manuscript (371.9 kB) Poster PDF (80.1 kB)
 
258
Methods to rank and classify severe weather outbreaks
Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. A. Doswell III

http://www.ejssm.org/ojs/index.php/ejssm/issue/view/19

Manuscript (1.8 MB)
 
259
An analysis of the performance of classification methods applied to lightning images
Marcelo Biancao Crivelaro, Centro Universitario da FEI, Sao Bernardo do Campo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. B. B. Gin and R. A. C. Bianchi

 
260
Impact of uncertainty in planetary boundary layer depth on concentration predictions
Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State University, State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt, B. P. Reen, and A. J. Annunzio

 
261
 
262
Support vector machine techniques to predict tropical cyclone re-intensification following extratropical transition
Israel Vaughn, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. S. Tyo and E. Ritchie

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
263
Expanding ceiling and visibility site forecasting: interesting cases and algorithm improvements
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, B. Lambi, and J. Cowie

 
Turbulence hazard nowcast products and accident case performance analyses (Formerly Poster 760)
Gary E. Blackburn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, J. K. Williams, J. A. Craig, J. M. Pearson, G. Meymaris, J. Abernethy, and R. D. Sharman


Poster Session 1
Experiments involving observations; data impact tests; characteristics of observations
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Papers:
 
199
Simulation of observation and Calibration for Joint OSSEs at NOAA
Michiko Masutani, NOAA/NWS/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. S. Woollen, T. Zhu, N. Prive, Y. Xie, T. J. Kleespies, Z. Ma, H. Sun, L. P. Riishojgaard, F. Weng, G. P. Lou, R. L. Vogel, Y. Han, D. Stokes, and K. L. Howard

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/JointOSSEs/

Manuscript (209.5 kB) Poster PDF (7.6 MB)
 
202
Preliminary results with a coupled global-limited-area analysis system for the time and region of the T-PARC/TCS-08 Field Program
Christina Holt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. Gyarmati, I. Szunyogh, and D. Merkova

 
203
The THORPEX observation impact Inter-comparison experiment
Ronald Gelaro, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Langland, S. Pellerin, and R. Todling

 
204
Use of TAMDAR-U equipped small tactical UAS for improved near term battlefield forecasts
Jamie T. Braid, AirDat LLC, Lakewood, CO; and T. Jameson and R. Fuschino

 
205
Evaluation of TAMDAR Data Impact on 4-km CONUS WRF-based RTFDDA Simulations and Warm-season Convection Prediction
Yongxin Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, P. Childs, A. Huffman, and T. Nipen

Poster PDF (2.5 MB)
 
206
TAMDAR Data Assimilation and Its Impact on Mesoscale Numerical Forecast
Feng Gao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, X. Y. Huang, X. Zhang, P. Childs, and A. Huffman

Manuscript (408.5 kB)
 
207
Comparing FY-3A and NOAA-18 Microwave Sounding Data with COSMIC GPS RO Data
Xiang Wang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and X. Zou and G. Li

 
208
Impact of FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC GPS Radio Occultation on WRF Simulations during the 2009 Mei-yu Season

 
(Formerly 9.5) Optimal design of a climatological network: beyond practical considerations
Karin Bumbaco, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. Mauger, G. J. Hakim, and P. W. Mote

 
209
Validation studies of WVSS-II moisture observations
Ralph A. Petersen, CIMSS/University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and L. M. Cronce, W. F. Feltz, E. Olson, and D. Helms

Manuscript (1.2 MB) Poster PDF (1.9 MB)
 
210
Hybrid Satellite Imagery using NASA LEO and NOAA GEO Data
Kevin K. Fuell, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and M. Smith and G. T. Stano

 
211
Impact of Assimilating Environmental Satellite Observations on Tropical Storm Position and Intensity Analyses and Forecasts

 
212
Integration of Ground Radar and Satellite dataset for Studying Cloud and Radiative Property of Deep Convective Systems
Zhe Feng, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and X. Dong, B. Xi, P. Minnis, and M. Khaiyer

Poster PDF (7.7 MB)
 
213
Quantifying the existence of undocumented Atlantic warm-core cyclones in 20th Century Reanalysis Data
Ryan Truchelut, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

 
214
The Variability of Tropical Cyclone Structure within Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Poster PDF (7.1 MB)
 
215
A Study on Quality Control for AIRS Total Ozone Data within Typhoon Sinlaku(2008)
Hui Wang, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou and G. Li

 
216
Estimation of precipitation over Asia by combined use of gauge and multi-satellite sensor observations at fine scale
Anoop Kumar Mishra, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan, Japan; and A. Yatagai, A. Hamada, and R. M. Gairola

Manuscript (361.1 kB) Poster PDF (212.7 kB)
 
218
The development and utility of a database of mesonet wind observations for use in the RTMA system
Steven L. Levine, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, and M. Pondeca

Manuscript (808.7 kB) Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
219
Three-dimensional optical turbulence assessments from doppler weather radar for laser applications
Steven T. Fiorino, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and R. M. Randall, A. D. Downs, R. J. Bartell, M. J. Krizo, and S. J. Cusumano

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
220
Urban experiment results characterize building wakes, aiding airborne hazard applications
Gail Vaucher, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

Manuscript (531.3 kB) Poster PDF (3.3 MB)
 
221
The University of Utah Local Surface Analysis Tool
Daniel Tyndall, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Horel

 
223
Performance of rain gauges in a field study at the Hong Kong International Airport
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China

Manuscript (442.3 kB)
 
225
Nighttime detection of oil spills in the Gulf of Mexico using satellite infrared images
Sungwook Hong, Korean Meteorological Administration, Jincheon-gun, Chungbuk, South Korea; and I. Shin and A. S. Suh

 
226
Mapping oil for the Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico
Dustin A. Sheffler, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and C. J. Warren, D. Streett, and J. Belge

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/MPS/deepwater.html

Poster PDF (198.5 kB)

Poster Session 1
Field, Lab, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Renyi Zhang, Texas A&M University; Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University

Papers:
 
228
Analysis of tropical convective transport of trace gases and lightning NOx production during the TC4 mission using the GMI model
Theodore V. Lyons III, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. E. Pickering and D. Allen

Poster PDF (583.5 kB)
 
229
Adapting WRF-CHEM GOCART for fine-scale dust forecasting
Sandra L. Jones, AER, Offutt AFB, NE; and G. A. Creighton, E. Kuchera, K. D. George, and A. J. Elliott

 
230
Analysis of the effects of wildfires upon US air quality for current and future climate conditions
Rodrigo Gonzalez, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and S. Chung, B. Lamb, I. Tao, J. Avise, T. Strand, D. McKenzie, A. Guenther, C. Wiedinmyer, T. Duhl, E. Salathe, and Y. Zhang

 
231
Study of persistence of days infected pollutant Particulate Matter (PM10) in city of Tehran using Markov chain model
Jaber Rahimi, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran; and J. Bazrafshan and A. Rahimi

Manuscript (378.6 kB) Poster PDF (441.3 kB)
 
232
Numerical simulation of the low visibility event at the Hong Kong International Airport on 25 December 2009
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and T. Yao and J. C. H. Fung

Manuscript (375.5 kB)
 
233
Air quality and climate in North America: current and 2050
Janya Kelly, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and D. A. Plummer and P. A. Makar

 
234
Aerosol concentrations observed at Mt. Haruna, Japan, in relation to long-range transport of Asian mineral dust aerosols
Hiroaki Naoe, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Takahashia, Y. Igarashia, Y. Inomata, and N. Sugimoto

Manuscript (288.2 kB)
 
235
 
236
Validating an isotopic AGCM with new satellite measurements of water vapor isotopologues
Kei Yoshimura, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan

 
238
Modeling study of Asian dust: Assessment of various dust emission schemes using WRF/Chem
Jung-Yoon Kang, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and M. Mikami, Y. Shao, S. C. Yoon, T. Y. Tanaka, and T. T. Sekiyama

 
239
The impact of increased ship emissions on nitrate radicals at low irradiation
Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and T. T. Tran, W. R. Simpson, G. Newby, and W. R. Stockwell

 
243
Effects of acute ozone exposure and methyl jasmonate treatment on white pine monoterpene and sesquiterpene emission rates
Celia L. Faiola, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington; and D. Wagner, T. VanReken, P. Harley, and E. Allwine

 
244
Tropospheric CO in the Arctic region measured from space by AIRS and MOPITT in the last decade
Juying X. Warner, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and Z. Wei and G. Diskin

 
245
Air Quality in the U.S. under Future Climate and Emission Scenarios
Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. Y. Wu, A. Penrod, K. Wang, and L. R. Leung

 
246
Near field pollutant and tracer dispersion during a prescribed pine forest burn
Melissa Johns, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and G. Allwine, P. O'Keefe, R. Grivicke, K. Yedinak, B. Lamb, T. Strand, C. B. Clements, H. Thistle, and M. Rorig

 
247
Analysis of coherent structures during the 2009 CABINEX field campaign: Implications for atmospheric chemistry
Shelley Pressley, Washington State Univesity, Pullman, WA; and A. Steiner, S. H. Chung, S. L. Edburg, E. Jones, and A. Botros

 
248
An application of the satellite derived NDVI to improve dust emission in the GOCART model
Dongchul Kim, GEST/UMBC, Baltimore, MD; and M. Chin, Q. Tan, H. Bian, and T. Diehl

 
250
Combining measurements and modeling to quantify power plant contributions to atmospheric NO2 and CO2
Keeley R. Costigan, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and M. K. Dubey, P. Chylek, and L. Zhang

Manuscript (2.1 MB)
 
251
Seasonal Covariance of Baroclinicity and Ecosystem Metabolism
Nicholas C. Parazoo, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. Denning, S. R. Kawa, and J. Berry

 
252
Measurements of Smoke, Ozone, and Inversions in the Lake Tahoe Basin
Miriam Rorig, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and T. Strand, C. Krull, M. Moore, N. K. Larkin, T. J. Brown, and A. Bytnerowicz

 
253
BlueSky smoke modeling framework: design, application, and improvements
Tara Strand, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and N. K. Larkin, S. Raffuse, R. Solomon, D. Sullivan, K. Craig, D. Pryden, M. Rorig, N. Wheeler, and L. Chinkin

 
254
Identifying the conditions necessary for CONUS fires to impact the Arctic
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. Raffuse, T. Strand, S. Brown, K. Craig, J. DeWinter, and P. Roberts

 
255
Evaluating WRF model atmospheric boundary layer simulations for a coastal region in Southeast Texas
Cari-Sue Wilmot, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and X. Li and B. Rappenglueck

 
256
Investigation into atmospheric concentration and deposition of PCBS to the Lake Ontario due to sources from greater Toronto
Sreerama M. Daggupaty, EC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and S. Csiszar and M. Diamond

Poster PDF (216.6 kB)
 
Poster 237 moved to talk J19.4A to be presented Wed. at 2:15pm.

 
Poster 242 moved to talk 21.A to be presented Mon. at 1:30pm.


Poster Session 1
IIPS Posters Part I
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Stephen M. Holt, Noblis, Inc.; Marjorie McGuirk, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
 
1
Parallel grib2 in NCEP POST
Jun Wang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

 
2
An EUMETSAT + LEADS weather decision support system for the Iraqi Air Force
Richard Stedronsky, IPS MeteoStar, Englewood, Colorado

http://www.meteostar.com

Poster PDF (47.2 MB)
 
3
A 2011 update on the NOAA Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS)
Patricia A. Miller, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and M. F. Barth, L. A. Benjamin, T. Kent, R. S. Collander, S. Pritchett, D. Helms, C. Marshall, and J. Dewey

 
4
Iris Application Framework
Darone Jones, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

 
5
NOAA Observing Requirements Documentation, Verification and Validation Process
Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. M. Taylor, L. O'Connor, and B. Fleig

 
6
The Evolution of NOAA's Observing System Investment Assessment Process
Eric J. Miller, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Yapur, N. Wyse, R. Reining, and L. McCulloch

 
8
Validation of a 3-D cloud product (UW-CAVP) derived from NASA Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) radiances with MODIS, CALIPSO, and COSMIC GPS satellite data using McIDAS-V version 1.0
Elise M. Garms, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. Borbas, R. Knuteson, P. Menzel, Y. Plokhenko, H. Revercomb, and D. Tobin

Manuscript (755.8 kB) Poster PDF (4.3 MB)
 
9
The development of a storm type climatology using an automated storm classification system
Angelyn G. Kolodziej, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan and T. M. Smith

Manuscript (880.8 kB)
 
10
A spatiotemporal assessment of Tornado Warnings within Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks using Geographic Information Systems
Darrel M. Kingfield, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Yuan, H. E. Brooks, and M. B. Richman

Manuscript (524.4 kB) Poster PDF (16.4 MB)
 
11
Evaluation of NWS Storm-Based Warnings using Gridded Products
Todd R. Ferebee, NWC REU Program, Norman, OK; and K. L. Ortega and K. A. Scharfenberg

Manuscript (1.5 MB)
 
12
Homogeneous tropical cyclone intensities from the Community Dvorak Analysis (CoDA) project
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp and J. P. Kossin

Manuscript (23.3 kB)
 
13
COAMPS-OS® Dashboard
Chad Hutchins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Cook, M. Frost, D. Martinez, K. Xu, D. A. Geiszler, Q. Zhao, P. Harasti, J. Kent, and G. Love

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

Poster Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University

Papers:
 
15
Estimating evapotranspiration (ET) using satellite sensors in the North American Monsoon region in western Mexico

 
17
Understanding heat transfer and vapor transport in the shallow subsurface
Martine Rutten, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and S. C. Steele-Dunne and N. van de Giesen

 
18
Effects of vegetation dynamics on evapotranspiration and soil moisture in northwestern Mexico
Qiuhong Tang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. R. Vivoni, and D. P. Lettenmaier

Poster PDF (431.6 kB)
 
19
Vegetation feedback may reduce climatic aridity over the contiguous United States in a 2xCO2 situation
Chang-Eui Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. J. Jeong and C. H. Ho

 
22
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia Using Long-Term Remotely Sensed Vegetation Index NDVI (1982–2008)
Battumur Tserenchunt Sr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; and T. Chuluun

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
23
The Impact of Tree Line Shifts on Orographic Cloud Habits over the Andes
Xiaoming Sun, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

 
25
Impacts of variable agricultural extensification on regional-scale hydrology: the case of the Mississippi River Basin
Christopher D. Frans, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. Istanbulluoglu, and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
Paper 16 has been moved. New paper number is 3A.2A.


Poster Session 1
Observations of the Middle Atmosphere
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere

Papers:
 
195
Evaluation of NOAA's Stratospheric Sounding Unit Climate Data Record
Craig S. Long, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Lin, L. Wang, and C. Z. Zou

 
196
Methyl Chloride from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder: Preliminary validation and climatology
Michelle L. Santee, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and N. J. Livesey, A. Lambert, W. G. Read, and G. L. Manney

 
198
Diurnal variations of stratospheric/mesospheric trace species, ClO, BrO, and HO2 derived from 4K cooled submm limb sounder ISS/JEM/SMILES
Makoto Suzuki, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sagamihara, Japan; and C. Mitsuda, C. Takahashi, N. Manago, Y. Iwata, T. Sano, K. Kikuchi, S. Mizobuchi, T. Nishibori, K. Imai, H. Hayashi, E. Nishimoto, Y. Naito, and M. Shiotani

Manuscript (1.2 MB) Poster PDF (8.1 MB)
 
344
Annual cycle of total ozone in the latitudinal belt from 20°N to 60°N
Peter Krizan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and J. Miksovsky, M. Kozubek, W. Gengchen, and B. Jianhui


Poster Session 1
Space Weather Posters
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Jennifer Meehan, Utah State Univ.; Genene Fisher, AMS

Papers:
 
264
Model verses data comparison of the February 26, 2008 substorm
Erika M. Harnett, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. M. Winglee

 
265
Calibration Tool Development for the GOES-R Solar Ultra-Violet Imager
Jonathan M. Darnel, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and C. Cao

Poster PDF (791.4 kB)
 
266
Improved modeling and prediction of total atmospheric refractivity by assimilation of angle of arrival and total electron content measurements from an array of GPS receivers
Bonnie Valant-Spaight, Propagation Research Associates, Inc., Marietta, GA; and G. M. Hall, A. J. Mannucci, A. Komjathy, B. D. Wilson, and M. A. Dumett

Poster PDF (908.6 kB)
 
267
Space Weather Products from the GOES-R Magnetometer and Energetic Particle Instruments
Paul T.M. Loto'aniu, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO; and J. V. Rodriguez, H. J. Singer, J. C. Green, M. Berguson, T. Onsager, L. Mayer, M. Shouldis, and S. M. Hill

 
268
Ionosphere mitigation through species characterization and stratification
Christopher T. Rodgers, ITT Industries, Herndon, VA; and O. E. Kia

Manuscript (425.0 kB)
 
269
Results from a prototype for the GOES Particle Intersensor Toolkit
William Rowland, IMSG, Camp Springs, MD; and R. S. Weigel and C. Cao

Poster PDF (3.2 MB)
 
270
Transition of the ACE and GOES-N,O,P space weather product processing systems to NOAA operations
Thomas King, Dell, Fairfax, VA; and C. Tan, P. Keehn, and W. W. Wolf

 
271
An approach to test and exercise for space weather system for storming conditions
Rhonda S. Davis, Northrop Grumman, Colorado Springs, CO; and D. H. Polk, R. Vigeant, and S. L. McNew

Poster PDF (753.9 kB)
 
272
Results from the RAIDS Experiment aboard the ISS
Scott A. Budzien, NRL, Washington, DC; and R. L. Bishop, A. W. Stephan, A. B. Christensen, J. H. Hecht, K. R. Minschwaner, and S. M. Bailey

 
273
GPS radio occultation data use in operational ionospheric models
William Bagby, Northrop Grumman, Colorado Springs, CO; and B. Prochaska, K. Landis, and D. Kim

 
274
Whole atmosphere data assimilation and forecast experiments
Houjun Wang, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and SWPC/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. Fuller-Rowell and R. Akmaev

Manuscript (415.6 kB) Poster PDF (2.5 MB)
 
275
GOES-R Solar EUV and X-ray Data Products for Space Weather

 
276
Comparison of solar flare forecasting methods

 
277
Encouraging Application, Analysis, and Synthesis in a Survey Space Weather Course

 
Hosted Payload Lessons
Carl Schueler, Orbital Sciences Corporation, Dulles, VA

Manuscript (927.5 kB) Poster PDF (927.5 kB)
 
278
Thermospheric Density Fluctuations Derived from the Atmospheric Neutral Density Experiment Missions
Andrew C. Nicholas, NRL, Washington, DC; and M. A. Davis, S. A. Budzien, T. T. Finne, and L. Healy

 
280
CASES: A Novel Low-Cost Ground-based GPS Software Receiver
Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates, San Antonio, TX; and P. M. Kintner Jr., M. Psaiki, T. E. Humphreys, S. Powell, B. O'Hanlon, A. Reynolds, and G. S. Bust

 
281
Global, real-time ionosphere specification for end-user communication and navigation products
W. Kent Tobiska, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and H. Carlson, R. W. Schunk, J. J. Sojka, L. Scherliess, L. Zhu, and L. C. Gardner


Joint Poster Session 1
Stratospheric Climate and Coupling Between the Stratosphere and Troposphere
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Papers:
 
191
Quality of reanalysis data during stratospheric vortex weakening and intensification events
Patrick Martineau, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. W. Son

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
192
Predictability of stratospheric warming in an idealized model
Lantao Sun, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and W. A. Robinson and G. Chen

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)
 
194
A model study of the impact of source gas changes on the stratosphere for 1850–2100
Eric L. Fleming, SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and C. H. Jackman

Poster PDF (233.8 kB)

Poster Session 1
Poster Session I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Xuebin Zhang, EC; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
 
136
The climatology of inland winds from tropical cyclones in the eastern United States
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and E. Gibney, D. H. Levinson, and M. F. Squires

Manuscript (28.3 kB)
 
137
Assessing climate change and variability in the coastal zone: overview of the Pacific storms climatology products
David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC ; and M. C. Kruk and J. Marra

 
138
Analysis of freezing rain patterns in the South Central United States: 1979–2009
Jessica Blunden, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt

Manuscript (296.8 kB)
 
139
Variability of chlorophyll associated with ENSO and its biological feedback in the Equatorial Pacific
Jong-yeon Park, Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, Ansan, South Korea; and J. S. Kug, J. S. Park, S. W. Yeh, and C. J. Jang

 
140
Light rain events change over North America, Europe and Asia for 1973–2009
Yun Qian, PNNL, Richland, WA; and D. Gong and R. Leung

 
142
On the use of Dvorak current intensity as a climate data record in the western North Pacific
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp and P. A. Hennon

Manuscript (166.2 kB)
 
143
Investigating how background state affects the propagation of the MJO
Kristina L. Laboy, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and E. D. Maloney

 
145
On the Influence of Warm Pool SST Variability and Wind Stress Forcing on ENSO in SODA
Yoon-Kyoung Lee, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. W. Yeh, B. Dewitte, B. K. Moon, and J. G. Jhun

Poster PDF (4.0 MB)
 
146
A pan-Eurasian pattern of Northern Hemisphere wintertime sea level pressure variability
Brian V. Smoliak, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace

 
147
Seasonal prediction of Northwest Australian tropical cyclones
Kevin H. Goebbert, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and L. M. Leslie

Poster PDF (3.5 MB)
 
148
Temporal Variability of the Atmospheric Zero Trend Level
Robb M. Randall, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and B. M. Herman and S. T. Fiorino

Poster PDF (598.2 kB)
 
149
Future Space System Support to US Operations in an Ice-Free Arctic: Broadband Satellite Communications Options
Leslie Wickman, The Aerospace Corp., El Segundo, CA; and P. Smith and I. Min

Manuscript (80.4 kB) Poster PDF (550.0 kB)

Poster Session 2
General Applications of Atmospheric Electricity and Lightning Data in the Atmospheric Sciences I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Edward R. Mansell, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma

Papers:
 
308
Fractal characteristics of simulated and LMA-detected lightning flashes
Blake J. Allen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. R. Mansell and E. C. Bruning

Manuscript (1.2 MB) Poster PDF (12.1 MB)
 
309
Global relationships between lightning and ice water path characteristics from WWLLN and AMSU-B/MHS
Yoshitaka Nakamura, Osaka University c/o Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Suita, Osaka, Japan; and R. H. Holzworth, A. R. Jacobson, J. A. Weinman, L. A. McMurdie, H. Meng, R. R. Ferraro, T. Morimoto, T. Ushio, and Z. I. Kawasaki

Poster PDF (231.8 kB)
 
310
Inferring lightning-channel geometry from polarimetry of VHF radio emissions
Abram R. Jacobson, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. H. Holzworth and X. M. Shao

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)
 
311
A balloon-borne high-definition videosonde to measure thunderstorm microphysics
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL/WRDD, Norman, OK; and W. D. Rust, S. Waugh, D. Kennedy, and S. E. Fredrickson

Poster PDF (18.7 MB)
 
312
A 3-Dimensional DBSCAN Storm Tracking and Identification Algorithm – Description and Implementation
Jenny L. Matthews, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA; and J. Trostel

 
313
Application of a 3D DBSCAN SCIT algorithm to the characterization of storm cells
John Trostel, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA ; and J. L. Matthews


Poster Session 2
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
 
27
 
28
Assessing the potential for changes in extreme precipitation events across the Colorado Front Range
Kelly M. Mahoney, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, J. Barsugli, L. D. Brekke, J. England, S. Gangopadhyay, D. Raff, and J. Soddell

 
29
Urbanization impact on summer convective storm and flood magnitudes in the Great Lakes region
Laura C. Bowling, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and G. Yang, L. Ming, K. A. Cherkauer, D. Niyogi, and B. C. Pijanowski

 
32
Destruction along the Yukon River: a summary of the 2009 spring breakup flooding and the National Weather Service River Watch program

 
33
Synoptic drivers of storm surge in Kotzebue Sound
Austin Cross, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and D. E. Atkinson


Poster Session 3
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:
 
34
COMET hydrometeorological training: hydrology, QPF, QPE, drought, and verification
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and W. Abshire

 
37
 
38
A continental scale daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges—APHRODITE project
Atsushi Hamada, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan; and K. Kamiguchi, O. Arakawa, N. Yasutomi, and A. Yatagai

 
41
Effects of snowflake characteristics on the collection efficiency of snow gauge
Julie M. Theriault, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, R. Rasmussen, S. Landolt, S. Ziegler, and A. Jachcik

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)
 
Paper 36 has been moved. New paper number is 3B.5A.


Poster Session
18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification-Posters
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Papers:
 
905
Warm Fog Dissipation Experiment by Hygroscopic Seeding
Ki-Ho Chang, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Y. Jeong, C. Lee, J. W. Cha, J. W. Jung, H. Y. Yang, J. Y. Bae, M. J. Lee, Y. H. Kim, H. Lee, and Y. J. Choi

 
906
Current state of cloud seeding in Korea
Chulkyu Lee, National Institute Meteorological Research/KMA, Seoul, South Korea; and K. H. Chang, J. W. Jung, J. W. Cha, J. Y. Jeong, H. Y. Yang, J. Y. Bae, S. K. Seo, and Y. J. Choi


Poster Session
Educational Outreach Initiatives
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Marianne J. Hayes, AMS Education Resource Educator; Kathleen A. Murphy, AMS Education Resource Educator

Papers:
 
165
AMS pre-college teacher professional development courses: A hands-on exploration of the dynamic Earth system
James A. Brey, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and I. W. Geer, J. M. Moran, R. S. Weinbeck, E. W. Mills, B. A. Blair, E. J. Hopkins, K. L. O'Neill, H. R. Hyre, K. A. Nugnes, and M. N. Moses

Poster PDF (8.3 MB)
 
166
Magnify your reach! Opportunities for effective education and outreach with NESTA and Windows to the Universe
Roberta M. Johnson, NESTA, Boulder, CO; and A. Herrold, M. Holzer, and M. J. Passow

 
167
Global Climate Change Education (GCCE): Sunspots and Thermal Islands
Michael R. Witiw, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Worldwide, Everett, WA; and R. J. Myers

 
168
Value to the community of a high school weather website
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and C. Donelan

 
169
Bringing global climate change education to Alabama classrooms: a 2011 update
Luke Marzen, Auburn University, Auburn, AL; and M. K. Lee, M. Simon, K. Fielman, Y. Lin, R. Birkhead, C. Miller, P. Norgaard, M. Obley, J. Cox, L. Steltenpohl, E. Wheeles, and M. Wooten

 
170
Summer Weather Camps - Opening Doors To CAREERs in Meteorology
H. Michael Mogil, How the Weatherworks, Naples, FL; and V. R. Morris

 
171
High school student produced community weather forecasts for television and radio
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and N. Roos, C. Paige, and J. Avery

 
172
Infusing satellite data into earth science education with SAGE, ESIP and SNAPP
Margaret Mooney, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Ackerman, N. L. Jackson, and T. Whittaker

 
173
Weather forecasting as a learning tool in a large service course: Does practice make perfect?
Elizabeth J. Suess, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. Cervato, W. A. Gallus Jr., and J. M. Hobbs

Manuscript (498.5 kB)
 
175
Enhancing public understanding of climate change through museum programs
Michael J. Passow, Dwight Morrow High School and NESTA, Englewood, NJ; and M. Macdonald

Poster PDF (5.7 MB)
 
176
Rethinking model-based inquiry in terms of weather and climate computer models
Morgan Brown Yarker, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and C. Forbes

 
178
The Need for longitudinal Tracking of Student Success and Career Choices - Lessons from the SOARS Program
Rebecca Haacker-Santos, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Pandya and M. Kennedy

 
179
Teaching GIS in the atmospheric sciences curriculum
J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC

 
180
Teaching online weather at Gavilan College
Andrew H. Van Tuyl, Gavilan College, Gilroy, CA

 
181
Simple Climate and Weather Education via CoCoRaHS's “Message of the Day"
Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken, Z. Schwalbe, J. Turner, and N. Newman

 
182
Off-the-Grid radar design and implementation for Remote Sensing Education

 
183
Developing a curriculum for a summer school on climate change
Otis Brown, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. McGuirk, F. Miralles-Wilhelm, G. Voos, and J. Dissen

http://si.cicsnc.org

Poster PDF (4.7 MB)
 
184
Coastal climate hazards and decision-making: introducing a methodology for local decision support
Kirsten M. Winters, Oregon Sea Grant, Corvallis, OR; and J. Cone and P. Corcoran

 
185
Earth Gauge: Linking Weather, Environment and Climate
Sara Espinoza, The National Environmental Education Foundation, Washington, DC; and K. Kraus

Poster PDF (1007.9 kB)
 
186
Tapping into the resources of a scientific field campaign to develop education and outreach materials
Vidal Salazar, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Rockwell and B. Baeuerle


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Communicating with Technology (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 20th Symposium on Education )
Chair: Rajul Pandya, UCAR

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Integrating air quality tools with the Wildland Fire Decision Support System
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Rorig, T. Strand, T. J. Brown, S. Raffuse, P. Lahm, and T. Zimmerman

  4:15 PM
Using YouTube Videos to Communicate Science
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and T. Nakamura and M. Dunlap

http://www.youtube.com/noaapmel

  4:30 PM
Commuicating Climate Science fo the General Public
Andrew Freedman, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and H. Cullen and M. McGuirk

  4:45 PM
Utility of 2D/3D visualization methods in analyzing and disseminating flood information
Jamie L. Dyer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and P. Amburn, D. Reed, and D. Welch

 
J1.5
PAPER WITHDRAWN

  5:00 PM
 
J1.6
Communicating with Technology in Large Classes

Recording files available
2
Blending the Sciences: Interoperability and Research Applications to Fill Knowledge Gaps
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Moderator: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society

Papers:
  4:00 PM
2.1
Impact of meteorological components on diarreal diseases in Bangladesh
Taiichi Hayashi, DPRI, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Kyoto, Japan; and A. Teshima, Y. Wagatuma, M. Hashizume, T. Terao, F. Murata, Y. Yamane, M. Kiguchi, and A. S. G. Faruque

  4:15 PM
2.2
Night outdoor air as a major source of indoor air particle concentration in an office
Jack Molinié, Laboratoire de Recherches en Géosciences et Energies, Pointe-à-Pitre Cédex, Guadeloupe, France; and V. Clotaire, T. Plocoste, and R. H. Petit

  4:30 PM
2.3
Detection and monitoring vector-born deceases from AVHRR data
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Powell and M. D. Goldberg

  4:45 PM
2.4
Assessing the connections between weather, season, and smoking in the home
David B. Sherman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. G. Basara, J. B. Basara, and B. G. Illston

Recording files available
2A
Communicating Weather Information Using Mobile Devices Part II
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Michael Eilts, Weather Decision Technologies; Paul A. Pisano, Federal Highway Administration; Dave Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Inc.

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Tomorrow's forecast: informed drivers
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, A. R. S. Anderson, E. Schuler, G. Wiener, W. P. Mahoney III, and P. A. Pisano

  4:15 PM
Using native vehicle observations to diagnose slick roads
Michael Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. R. S. Anderson, C. Burghardt, S. Drobot, and B. Lambi

  4:30 PM
Quality of mobile observations collected during the 2010 Development Testbed Environment experiment
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. B. Chapman, S. D. Drobot, A. Tadesse, and P. Pisano

  4:45 PM
The Mobile Platform Environmental Data (MoPED) System: providing mobile environmental data to the National Mesonet
Brian Bell, Global Science & Technology, Fairmont, WV; and P. O. G. Heppner, A. Orrego, and D. Helms

  5:00 PM
Driver opinions on the concept of using passenger vehicles as weather sensors
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. P. Mahoney III and J. O'Sullivan

  5:15 PM
Satellite Based Nowcasting and Aviation Applications for Mobile Devices
David Santek, SSEC/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Dengel, D. Parker, S. Batzli, N. Bearson, W. Feltz, L. Cronce, J. Sieglaff, J. Brunner, and K. Bedka

Recording files available
2B
International Applications: Techniques for Communicating Weather Data, Forecasts and Warnings
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: John R. Lincoln, US Navy/WMO (Ret.) and Consultant; Erik Andersson, ECMWF; Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  4:00 PM
ECMWF web re-engineering project
Baudouin Raoult, ECMWF, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and S. Siemen, C. Valiente, P. Bispham, S. Lamy-Thepaut, and A. Brady

  4:15 PM
  4:30 PM
French forecasters workstation. Synergie-next: Synopsis project
Antoine Lasserre-Bigorry, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Marty and J. Nicolau

  4:45 PM
Observed and predicted trends in tropical Pacific rainfall
Michael D. Klatt, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey, J. S. Greene, and N. M. Acton

  5:00 PM
Introduce on Typhoon Forecast Operational System
Lianqing Yu, China Meteorological Admistration, Beijing, China; and L. Cao, Y. Li, and B. Luo

Recording files available
3
Agency Updates III
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA; William J. Murtagh, NOAA/NWS/Space Weather Prediction

Papers:
  4:00 PM
3.1
The National Space Weather Program: 2010 and the Next Decade
Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and M. F. Bonadonna and M. R. Babcock

  4:15 PM
3.2
Space Weather and FEMA
Stephen Sterling, FEMA, Denver, CO

 
3.3
Army Operators Requirements for Space Weather

  4:30 PM
A NASA Applied Spaceflight Environments Office Concept
James F. Spann, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and D. L. Edwards, H. D. Burns, and M. A. Xapsos

  4:45 PM
3.4
Space Weather Services and Tools at the CCMC
Michael Hesse, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zheng, A. Pulkkinen, S. Taktakishvili, M. Maddox, and M. Kuznetsova

 
3.6 has been moved to 3.3A

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Computational intelligence methods for climate change attribution, characterization, and downscaling
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Antonello Pasini, CNR; Xuebin Zhang, EC

Papers:
  4:00 PM
  4:30 PM
A data mining algorithm for climate data: application to double ITCZ
Andrew Geiss, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and G. Levy

  4:45 PM
Predicting Atlantic tropical cyclone activity
Roshanak Nateghi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and S. M. Quiring, S. D. Guikema, and A. Schumacher

  5:00 PM
Unsupervised machine learning as a method to identify patterns in regional climate downscaling reanalyses
Jeffrey H. Copeland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Knievel, F. Vandenberge, and R. Babarsky

  5:15 PM
Evaluation of STARDEX indices calculated from linear and nonlinear statistical downscaled daily temperatures
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh, A. J. Cannon, and P. Gachon

Recording files available
3
Lightning in Tropical Cyclones II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Natalia N. Solorzano, Digipen Institute of Technology

Papers:
  4:00 PM
3.1
LASA observations and high-resolution simulation of total lightning during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Rita
Alexandre Fierro, NOAA/NSSL/Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS/LANL, Norman, OK; and J. M. Reisner, X. M. Shao, T. Hamlin, and J. Harlin

  4:30 PM
3.2
Linking lightning to tropical cyclone intensity change: a composite study of frequency and distribution
Marcus D. Austin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg

  4:45 PM
3.3
Eyewall lightning outbreaks and tropical cyclone intensity change
Nicholas W. S. Demetriades, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and R. L. Holle and S. Businger

Poster PDF (9.2 MB)
  5:00 PM
3.4
Tropical cyclone rapid intensity change forecasting using lightning data during the 2010 GOES-R Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Knaff, M. J. Brennan, J. L. Beven II, R. T. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, J. Kaplan, and N. W. S. Demetriades

  5:15 PM
3.5
Polarity and energetics of inner core lightning in 2005 intense North Atlantic hurricanes
Jeremy N. Thomas, Digipen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and N. N. Solorzano, S. A. Cummer, and R. H. Holzworth

Recording files available
3
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 3
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Zev Levin, Department of Geophysics and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv University; Dan Breed, NCAR

Papers:
  4:30 PM
3.2
Results of a cloud seeding project in the Snowy Mountains of Australia
Michael J. Manton, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and L. Warren

  4:45 PM
3.3
Observations of mountain-top rime icing in Utah: implications for winter season cloud seeding
David P. Yorty, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and W. Weston, M. E. Solak, and D. A. Griffith

  5:00 PM
3.4
Evaluation of snow gauges used in a winter cloud seeding experiment in complex terrain
Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. W. Breed, R. M. Rasmussen, and S. Cristanelli

Recording files available
3A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate III
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Observational diagnostics of soil moisture-climate interactions as constraints to IPCC climate projections
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and P. Ciais, M. Reichstein, E. L. Davin, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling

 
3A.2
Hydraulic redistribution and its impact on hydroclimatological predictions over North America

 
3A.3
Effects of Root Water Uptake Parameterizations on Land-Atmosphere Exchanges at Local and Basin Scales

  4:45 PM
Simulated impact of vegetation across the North American monsoon region in CCSM3.5
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. S. Gutzler

  5:15 PM
Soil moisture, temperature and heat flux measurements using Distributed Temperature Sensing
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and M. M. Rutten, E. Owusu-Ansah, J. Jansen, P. Stive, S. Tyler, and N. van de Giesen

Recording files available
3A
Observed Changes II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
  4:00 PM
  4:15 PM
Atlantic tropical cyclones in the 20th century: Natural variability and secular change in cyclone count
Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and B. Guan

  4:30 PM
The recent decline of the long rains in East Africa
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt

  4:45 PM
On the Time-Varying Trend in Global-Mean Surface Temperature
Zhaohua Wu, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and N. E. Huang, J. M. Wallace, B. V. Smoliak, and X. Chen

  5:00 PM
Observed growing season changes in Canada
Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and S. Gameda, X. Zhang, and R. De Jong

  5:15 PM
Trends in Tropospheric Humidity and Water Vapor from 1973–2008
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wang and P. Thorne

Recording files available
3B
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:
  4:00 PM
CCPA Precipitation Analysis and Its Cross Validation
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Luo, Y. Zhu, P. Xie, and Y. Lin

  4:15 PM
Moving toward optimum use of gridded precipitation forcings in hydrologic modeling
David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Wu, F. Ding, D. A. Miller, S. Wu, and Y. Zhang

  4:30 PM
Analyzing the performance of the high resolution precipitation products for streamflow simulation
Ali Behrangi, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and B. Khakbaz, T. Jaw, and A. AghaKouchak

  4:45 PM
Study of Spatial Patterns of Daily Precipitation over the Western United States
Wei Chu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and X. Gao and S. Sorooshian

 
3B.5
Orographic precipitation and flash flood occurrence frequency in Southern California

  5:00 PM
Improving Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Through Objective Evaluations during NOAA Testbed Activities
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud, S. J. Weiss, F. E. Barthold, D. R. Novak, H. Yuan, J. H. Gotway, E. Sukovich, P. Oldenburg, W. L. Clark, A. J. Clark, F. Kong, M. Xue, M. Harrold, T. L. Fowler, and B. G. Brown

  5:15 PM
Hydrological intercomparison of quantitative precipitation estimates in the Colorado Front Range
Hernan Moreno, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni and D. J. Gochis

Recording files available
3B
Predictability
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: James D. Doyle, NRL

Papers:
  4:00 PM
On the predictability of cyclogenesis and low-land snow in the Pacific Northwest
Dale Durran, University of Wasington, Seattle, WA; and P. A. Reinecke

  4:30 PM
  5:00 PM
Predictability and Dynamics of a squall-line and bow-echo event during BAMEX
Fuqing Zhang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Melhauser

  5:15 PM
Microphysical evolution within winter snow storms over Long Island, NY
David A. Stark, SUNY/Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and S. E. Yuter

Recording files available
3B
Understanding the Causes of Climate Change
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chris E. Forest, The Pennsylvania State University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM
Isla R. Simpson, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Blackburn, J. D. Haigh, and S. Sparrow

  4:15 PM
Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales
Francis W. Zwiers, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang and Y. Feng

  4:30 PM
The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone on Southern Hemisphere Circulation Change: A Multimodel Assessment
Seok-woo Son, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. P. Gerber, J. Perlwitz, L. M. Polvani, N. P. Gillett, K. H. Seo, and .. SPARC/CCMVal-2 Coauthors

 
3B.4
Relative roles of aerosols and natural variability on the 20th century global mean temperature change: analysis from IPCC/AR4 GCMs and an energy balance model

  4:45 PM
Effects of systematic measurement errors on detection of climate change
Janet Daniels, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and K. J. Priestley

  5:15 PM
Assessing uncertainty of regional climate change from global climate models
Chris E. Forest, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. Li and J. Barsugli

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Stratosphere and Climate: Stratospheric Influence on Surface Climate
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Edwin P. Gerber, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Understanding the linkages between stratospheric variability and surface climate
David W. J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and T. Birner

  4:15 PM
Stratospheric ozone depletion: the main driver of 20th century atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere?
Lorenzo M. Polvani, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and D. Waugh, G. J. P. Correa, and S. W. Son

  4:30 PM
Separating the effects of ozone depletion/recovery and climate change on the dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere and troposphere
Charles McLandress, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and A. Jonsson, D. Plummer, C. Reader, J. Scinocca, M. Sigmond, and T. G. Shepherd

  4:45 PM
Impact of late-20th century ozone changes in an atmosphere-only model and a slab ocean model
Paul J. Young, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. M. Davis, S. Solomon, B. Hassler, and G. Bodeker

  5:15 PM
How will stratospheric effects on climate change during the 21st century?
Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Redmond, WA

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Climate Change Adaptation: From Science to Practice
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Greg Guibert, NCAR; Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University

Papers:
  4:15 PM
  4:30 PM
Towards a framework for stakeholder engagement in conducting regional climate assessments
J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and J. Fox, M. Hutchins, and K. Lichtenstein

  4:45 PM
Integration of Local Planners' and Scientists' Knowledge of Consequences, Vulnerabilities, and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change Related Hazards
Seth Tuler, Social and Environmental Research Institute, Greenfield, MA; and K. Dow, J. C. Whitehead, T. Webler, and N. Kettle

  5:00 PM
“2100? It doesn't keep me up at night!” Incorporating climate information in local water planning
Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

  5:15 PM
Comparing climate extension approaches to catalyze climate change adaptation planning in Charleston, SC, and Plymouth, NC
Jessica C. Whitehead, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium & North Carolina Sea Grant, Charleston, SC; and A. Turner, R. H. Bacon, G. Putnam, J. F. Thigpen, and M. Covi

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Pacific Northwest Weather including results from the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics (Co-Sponsored by the AMS Committee on Mountain Meteorology)
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration )
Chairs: Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWS; H. Dawn Reeves, NOAA/NSSL

Papers:
 
J9.1
Forecasting for the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics and decision support services

  4:15 PM
Realtime high-resolution mesoscale modeling for the Vancouver Olympics
Aijun Deng, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. Stauffer, G. Hunter, J. Zielonka, J. Toffler, E. Sorbo, I. Sykes, and D. Henn

  4:30 PM
Forecasting sun vs. shade in complex terrain for the 2010 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games
Rosie Howard, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull

  4:45 PM
Dual-polarized radar observations of precipitation during SNOW-V10
H. Dawn Reeves, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov, T. J. Schuur, and D. E. Forsyth

  5:00 PM
The west coast thermal trough: structure, evolution and prediction
Matthew C. Brewer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass

  5:15 PM
Wintertime extreme precipitation events and flooding along the Pacific Northwest coast
Michael Warner, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass and E. Salathé

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Effective Communication of Aviation Weather Information to Users
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Cory Wolff, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Jennifer A. Zeltwanger, NOAA

Papers:
  4:00 PM
  4:30 PM
Aviation service enhancements across the National Weather Service Central Region
Brian P. Walawender, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and J. A. Zeltwanger

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/zau/

  4:45 PM
NWS provision of aviation weather information via the FAA QICP-certified Consolidated Aviation Web Services (CAWS) system
Ryan L. Solomon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and J. J. Sereno, R. E. Sallee, A. M. Ohrberg, J. S. Lewis, and C. Wallace

  5:00 PM
Weather Technology In the Cockpit (WTIC): Concept of operations, user needs, education, and training
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and L. Kirk, L. Martin, J. Vacek, E. A. Roberts, and M. Edwards

  5:15 PM
Development of an education and training module for use of NEXRAD-based products in the cockpit by general aviation pilots
Erin A. Roberts, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. M. Lanicci

Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Air Quality and Climate Change
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory; Serena Chung, Washington State Univesity

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Effects of global change on air quality in the US
Serena H. Chung, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. Gonzalez Abraham, B. Lamb, J. Avise, E. Salathe, Y. Zhang, A. Guenther, C. Wiedinmyer, T. Duhl, D. G. Streets, C. G. Nolte, and D. Loughlin

  4:15 PM
Effects of changing climate on fires and the consequences for U.S. regional air quality, using global and regional chemistry and climate/meteorology models
Hyun Cheol Kim, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. W. Byun, D. Lee, R. C. Hudman, D. V. Spracklen, L. J. Mickley, S. Wu, and J. A. Logan

  4:30 PM
Remote measurement of tropospheric gases under cloud with the AERI Instrument
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and H. L. Buijs and C. B. Roy

  4:45 PM
A preliminary assessment of the sensitivity of air quality in North Carolina to global change
Saravanan Arunachalam, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. F. Hanna, Z. Adelman, M. Omary, B. H. Baek, N. Davis, K. Talgo, and A. Xiu

  5:00 PM
The use of tracers of opportunity to assess chronic carbon dioxide releases from regional industrial activities
Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. Walter, R. L. Buckley, and A. Andrews

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Assimilation of observations into models: Atmosphere II
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD; Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah

Papers:
  4:00 PM
The recent progresses of satellite data assimilation in GRAPES
Hua Zhang, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

  4:15 PM
Optimization of In-situ Aircraft Observations for Various Assimilation Techniques
Neil A. Jacobs, AirDat LLC, Morrisville, NC; and F. Gao, P. Childs, X. Zhang, X. Y. Huang, X. Zhang, M. Croke, and Y. Liu

  4:30 PM
Recent upgrades to and ongoing challenges for the Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA)
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. F. V. De Pondeca

  4:45 PM
Assimilation of infrared Meteosat data into high-resolution NWP and nowcasting models
Robert Nigel Tubbs, Met Office, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom

  5:00 PM
Ensemble data assimilation across a range of scales and phenomena with WRF/DART
C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, S. M. Cavallo, D. Dowell, S. Y. Ha, G. Romine, and R. Torn

  5:15 PM
Local ensemble transform Kalman filter experiments with the WRF model
Masaru Kunii, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, College Park, MD; and T. Miyoshi

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Reception and Exhibits Opening

7:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA Update on the Climate Service and Dialogue on Regional Climate Services
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

Curious about the status of the Climate Service since NOAA Under Secretary Lubchenco’s Presidential Forum luncheon at the 2009 Annual Meeting? Come hear the latest developments on The Climate Service from NOAA leadership and program officials, ask questions and share your thoughts during Part I of a two-part NOAA Update on the Climate Service. The January 24th session will highlight progress since the 2009 Annual Meeting, review NOAA’s strategic framework for the Climate Service and explore next steps. Part II of this NOAA Climate Service Town Hall, scheduled for 7:00-8:15 a.m. on Tuesday, January 25th, will provide an opportunity to meet NOAA’s six Regional Climate Services Directors and engage in a dialogue on regional climate services with NOAA and its partners including Regional Climate Centers, American Association of State Climatologists, Regional Integrated Science and Assessment (RISA) programs, universities and the private sector as well as other Federal agencies. Pastries and coffee/tea will be provided for this early morning session. For additional information, please contact Eileen Shea, NOAA National Climatic Data Center (e-mail: Eileen.Shea@noaa.gov).
Papers:

7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: What do Meteorologists Need to Know about the Energy Industry -- and Vice Versa – to Integrate Weather-Driven Renewable Energy into the Electric Grid?
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Town Hall Meetings; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )

As the nation weighs the benefits and costs of various energy sources, and states adopt renewable portfolio standards, electric system operators face significant challenges to integrating weather-driven energy sources. The variable nature of wind and solar energy requires new information and practices for operating our nation’s electric grid. System operators must constantly square the energy supply and demand within a given balancing authority. To ensure a reliable source of electricity, utility companies maintain dispatchable energy reserves, such as coal and natural gas, on-line and running, but at reduced operating levels. Without accurate forecasts of weather-driven renewable energy production, utility companies must maintain an excess number of fossil fuel plants running to ensure it can meet energy demand. More accurate weather forecasts are needed to help utility companies know with greater precision when, where, and how much wind or solar energy can be generated to balance the energy supply with demand. More accurate weather forecasts are required to obtain the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and financial savings derived as a result of using less fossil fuel. Several recent grid integration studies assess the costs, benefits, impacts, and challenges of using larger and larger amounts of variable energy resources, such as wind and solar energy. These reports find that market changes and improved forecasts, in addition to improved transmission resources, are needed to accommodate increasing amounts of renewable energy. Looking to the future, long-term predictions of renewable energy resources are needed to support sound decision making concerning the siting of renewable energy projects and for long-range market planning. In addition, the possibility of using waves, tides, and currents (marine and hydrokinetic energy) and offshore wind to produce electricity calls for increased understanding of these resources and how they could be used in an environmentally sound way. New observations are required to achieve the advances in predictions across a range of time scales to support renewable energy development. This Town Hall Meeting will build upon the work done at several AMS meetings in the last two years and the efforts of the Commission on the Weather and Climate Enterprise and its Renewable Energy Subcommittee to help identify appropriate roles for private industry, academia, and government sectors in developing renewable energy. Effective collaboration among these sectors is essential for integrating large amounts of weather-driven renewable resources into the nation’s energy supply. For additional information, please contact Melinda Marquis (e-mail: Melinda.Marquis@noaa.gov).
Papers:
  7:15 PM

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Forecast: Communicating Weather and Climate Art Show

8:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available

This Town Hall Meeting will address the willingness, readiness and capacity of the natural and social-science research community to establish an international Earth-system Prediction Initiative to provide research and services required to accelerate advances in weather, climate and Earth-system prediction, and the use of this information by global and national societies. This proposed Initiative developed out of the emerging dialogue between scientists and political, economic and social stakeholders, in response to today’s and future societal priories for environmental information and services. Elements of the Initiative are introduced in a compendium of papers appearing in the October 2010 issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) (Shapiro, et al.: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1; Nobre, et al.: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS3012.1; Brunet, et al.: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS3013.1; Shukla, et al.: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2900.1) and in the Belmont Report (http://www.icsu.org/1_icsuinscience/ENVI_BELMONT.html), and in the Belmont Report, http://www.icsu.org/1_icsuinscience/ENVI_BELMONT.html, prepared by scientists associated with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) World Weather Research Programme (WWRP), World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), and natural-hazards and socioeconomic communities. It will build upon the WMO, the Group on Earth Observations (GEO), the Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS), the International Council for Science (ICSU) and national operational and research agencies to develop implement and coordinate the effort across the weather, climate, Earth-system, natural-hazards, and socioeconomic disciplines. It will contribute to the development and implementation of monitoring and prediction systems that integrate physical, biogeochemical, and societal processes in a unified Earth-system framework. To be successful, this endeavour demands collaborations among physical and social scientists to facilitate: i) global Earth-system analysis and prediction models that account for physical, chemical, biological and societal processes in a coupled atmosphere–ocean–land–ice system; ii) an international-to-regional framework that links observed and predicted climate and weather to seamless interactions and feedbacks with biogeochemistry, biology, and socioeconomic impacts and drivers, e.g., demography; global policy constraints; technology innovations. Advances in global-to-regional Earth-system weather and climate monitoring, prediction and applications would be accelerated through: i) investments in maintaining existing and new observation systems; ii) enhancement of existing national operational capabilities; iii) support for academic engagement; iv) establishment of multinational, regional interdisciplinary-research centers with high-performance computing facilities and cyber infrastructure. The global scope of the effort required to accelerate advances in Earth-system monitoring, prediction and services is inescapable. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for success. As nations, we have collaborated to advance global observing systems, weather forecasting, climate prediction, communication networks, and emergency preparedness and response. We must now extend this collaboration to embrace the full Earth system and the next frontier of socioeconomic and environmental applications of our science. Our community and supporting organizations are poised for the discoveries ahead and the opportunity to make our information available to users and decision makers to meet the needs of society. The Town Hall includes a Panel comprised of lead authors of the BAMS papers and Belmont Report, and representatives from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA), Office of Naval Research (ONR), and National Science Foundation (NSF). For additional information, please contact Mel Shapiro (e-mail: mshapiro@ucar.edu)
Papers:
  8:15 PM
  8:30 PM
  9:00 PM