91st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting

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Tuesday, 25 January 2011

7:15 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


NOAA Town Hall Meeting
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

Papers:
  7:15 AM
NOAA Town Hall
Jane Lubchenco, NOAA Administrator, Washington, DC

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:15 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
2
Experiments involving observations, real or hypothetical: data impact tests (sensitivity of forecasts to a particular source of observations); observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs)—Part I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML

Papers:
  8:15 AM
2.1
Impact of Assimilating Refractivity Measurements from a Network of S-band and X-band Radars on the Forecast of Convective Initiation using the ARPS 3DVAR System
Nicholas Antonio Gasperoni, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, R. D. Palmer, J. Gao, B. L. Cheong, and D. S. Michaud

  8:30 AM
2.2
Technology and data utility challenges for a Doppler Wind Lidar on the International Space Station
G.D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and S. A. Wood, M. J. Kavaya, B. Gentry, and W. Baker

  9:00 AM
2.4
The simulation and assimilation of Doppler wind lidar observations in support of future instruments
Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Errico, R. Yang, R. Gelaro, and M. M. Rienecker

  9:15 AM
2.5
Observing System Simulation Experiments for a US Wind Lidar space mission
Lars Peter Riishojgaard, Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Masutani and D. Emmitt

  9:30 AM
2.6
The impact of satellite-based Doppler wind lidar measurements on high-impact weather forecasting: A regional OSSE study
Lei Zhang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, B. Gentry, and R. Atlas

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
4
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 4
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants; Sarah Tessendorf, NCAR

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Development of Hygroscopic Pyrotechnics for Warm Cloud Seeding
Yuzhong Wu Sr., Shanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co.,Ltd., China, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China; and Y. Chen Sr., X. Wang, and W. Xue

  8:45 AM
4.2

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
1
Air pollution and Dust transport studies
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Ruben Delgado, JCET/Univ. of Maryland; C. Russell Philbrick, North Carolina State Univ.

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
Synergy of A-Train sensors and in-situ air quality measurements: 3-D structure of Asian dust transported to the Mid-Atlantic United States and its impact on air quality
Ruben Delgado, JCET/Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and S. DeSouza-Machado, A. M. Robinson, D. Orozco, O. Torres, L. L. Strow, and R. M. Hoff

  8:45 AM
1.2
Multistatic lidar measurements of aerosol properties
C. Russell Philbrick, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. Snyder and A. Brown

  9:00 AM
1.3
The Taklimakan Dust acting as Ice nuclei observed by dual-wavelength and polarization lidar
Yoshitaka Jin, Nagoya Univ., Nagoya, Japan; and K. Kai, T. Shibata, K. Zhang, and H. Zhou

  9:15 AM
1.4
  9:30 AM
1.5
Comparison of EZLidar, MPL, and an elastic lidar for urban air quality applications
Raymond M. Hoff, JCET/Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and R. Delgado, T. A. Berkoff, K. J. McCann, D. Orozco, P. Sawamura, and J. Compton

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Computational intelligence applications in air pollution meteorology
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology )
Cochairs: Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ.; Michael Brown, LANL

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Using a genetic algorithm to assimilate transport and dispersion variables
Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. J. Annunzio and K. J. Schmehl

  8:45 AM
Source term estimation of a volcanic ash cloud using a genetic algorithm
Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt and D. Truesdell

  9:00 AM
Source term estimation uncertainty analysis using a genetic algorithm coupled with dispersion models
Luna M. Rodriguez, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, A. J. Annunzio, and K. J. Schmehl

  9:15 AM
Multi-entity field approximation for hazard origin estimation
Andrew J. Annunzio, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, and L. M. Rodriguez

  9:30 AM
Non-Darwinian evolution for source estimation
Guido Cervone, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and P. Franzese

Manuscript (312.5 kB)
Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Environmental Security
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Organizer: John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ.

Papers:
  8:30 AM
  9:00 AM
Mapping Climate Change and Security in Africa
Joshua Busby, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX

 
PD1.3
Environmental security issues surrounding the 2010 record heat and wildfires in Russia

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Federal Activities on Climate Change and Human Health
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Organizer: Tanya Maslak, United States Global Change Research Program
Moderator: Tanya Maslak, United States Global Change Research Program
Panelists: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS); George Luber, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Juli Trtanj, NOAA; Darrell Winner, EPA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.2
Climate Change and Human Health: An Update on Federal Activities
John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS), Bethesda, MD

  9:00 AM
  9:15 AM
1.3
Federal Program Overview
Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

  9:30 AM
1.4
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
1
K-12 and Informal Educational Outreach Initiatives
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Susan Foster, UCAR; Kathleen A. Murphy, AMS Education Resource Educator

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
Hail to the weather! Summer weather camps at the Clinton Presidential Library
Kevin A. Kloesel, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Kolodziej, P. Marsh, C. Taylor, and J. Willis

  8:45 AM
1.2
A textbook free high school meteorology course
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and V. Tremblay

  9:30 AM
1.5
Green Ninja: a new superhero for climate change
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and B. Dallas, B. Sarrafan, C. David, and J. Gordon

Recording files available
1
Satellite Program Status
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: John Furgerson, JPSS Program Office; Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
Update on EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Programmes
Johannes Schmetz, EUMETSAT, Darmstadt, Germany; and D. Klaes, R. Stuhlmann, P. Schlüssel, L. Sarlo, K. Holmlund, S. Rota, and M. Cohen

  8:55 AM
Welcoming and Introductory Remarks

  9:00 AM
1.2
GOES-R Overview: 2011 Update
Greg Mandt, NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD

  9:15 AM
1.3
NPP/JPSS Status
Gary K. Davis, NOAA/NESDIS/OSD, Silver Spring, MD

  9:30 AM
1.4
Defense Weather Satellite System (DWSS) Status
Ibrahim Awwad, Space and Missile Systems Center, El Segundo, CA

Recording files available
1
Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling I
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Amy Hawes Butler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
The Tropospheric Response to Stratospheric Quasi-Bienniel Oscillation during Boreal Summer
Seok-woo Son, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and H. S. Kim, H. Lin, and C. H. Ho

  8:45 AM
1.1
What controls the overturning circulation of the stratosphere?
Edwin P. Gerber, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and C. Chan and K. E. Sielert

  9:15 AM
1.3
Stratosphere—Troposphere Coupling by Planetary Waves
Daniela I.V. Domeisen, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. A. Plumb

  9:30 AM
1.4
Downward wave coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere: The importance of meridional wave guiding and comparison with zonal-mean coupling
Tiffany A. Shaw, Center for Atmosphere Ocean Science/Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and J. Perlwitz and N. Harnik

Recording files available
1
Weather - ATM Integration and Translation: Model and Realization
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
ATM-Weather Integration and Translation Model
Mark W. Huberdeau, MITRE Corp., McLean, VA; and D. Pace, S. Bradford, M. Fronzak, C. McKnight, and E. B. Wilhelm

  8:45 AM
1.2
2010 results from the 3km HRRR - verification, case study assessment, and HRRR-based convective probabilistic forecasts (HCPF)
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, S. G. Benjamin, T. Smirnova, M. Hu, and J. M. Brown

  9:00 AM
1.3
Use of a High-Resolution Deterministic Weather Forecast for Strategic Air Traffic Management Decision Support
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. Venuti and S. McGettigan

  9:15 AM
1.4
Prediction of Weather Impacts on Air Traffic through Flow Constrained Areas (FCA)
Yi-Hsin Lin, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. Sulkin and R. DeLaura

  9:30 AM
1.5
Using stochastic, dynamic weather-impact models in strategic traffic flow management
Mengran Xue, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and S. M. Zobell, S. Roy, C. P. Taylor, Y. Wan, and C. Wanke

Recording files available
1
World Weather Impacts in 2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.1
International Weather and Climate Events of 2010
Klaus E. Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

  9:00 AM
1.2
2010 Weather Impacts on Global Food Supply
Michael Ferrari, Weather Trends International, Bethlehem, PA

  9:15 AM
1.3
Assessing the Causes and Predictability of the 2010 Russian Heat Wave
Randall M. Dole, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling, J. Perlwitz, J. K. Eischeid, D. Murray, P. Pegion, X. Quan, T. Xu, and T. Zhang

  9:30 AM
1.4
The July Floods in Pakistan: Could They Have Been Predicted?
Peter. J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Aerosol Direct and Indirect Radiative Forcings
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Sundar A. Christopher, University of Alabama; Jonathan E. Pleim, EPA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Modeling aerosol direct and indirect effects in the 2-way coupled WRF-CMAQ
Jonathan E. Pleim, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and R. Mathur, D. Wong, S. Yu, and F. Binkowski

  8:45 AM
The Impact of Aged Aerosols on Mixed-Phased Clouds in the Arctic during April 2008
Jerome D. Fast, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Rishel, P. Rasch, and L. Emmons

  9:00 AM
Marine Primary and Secondary Organic Aerosols and Their Effect on Indirect Radiative Forcing
Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and B. Gantt, J. Xu, A. Sabolis, E. Morris, and M. D. Petters

  9:15 AM
Recording files available
3
Communication and Broadcast Meteorology
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, American Meteorological Society; Chris Vaccaro, NOAA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
3.1
Weather as a Tool of Narrative Suspense: Implications and Consequences
Chad M. Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and S. A. Jasko and P. Hettler

  8:45 AM
3.2
Connecting the dots between climate change, extreme weather, and localized impacts
Amanda Staudt, National Wildlife Federation, Reston, VA; and A. Weinmann

  9:15 AM
3.4
Communicating climate change in a weathercasting context: An analysis of “early adopter” TV meteorologists and their educational methods
Katherine Rowan, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and B. Klinger, J. Witte, P. Baldwin, B. Brown, and E. Maibach

  9:30 AM
3.5
Supporting TV meteorologists' efforts to educate their viewers about climate change, and testing the impact: A quasi-experimental field study
Joe Witte, NASA / George Mason University, Arlington, 22209; and J. Gandy, B. Klinger, H. Cullen, X. Zhao, J. Thaker, K. Rowan, N. Heller, and E. Maibach

Recording files available
3A
Communication Technologies for Accessing and Distributing Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Data, Forecasts, and Information Part I
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Tim D. Crum, NOAA/NWS; Christina Lief, NOAA/NCDC; Lola Olsen, NASA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
The new NWS WSR-88D level II data collection, distribution, and archive network architecture
Donald J. Horvat, Arctic Slope Regional Corporation, Norman, OK; and C. Horvat, C. Calvert, and T. Crum

  8:45 AM
The weather and climate toolkit
Steve Ansari, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. A. Del Greco and B. Hankins

  9:00 AM
NWS forecast grids served via a Net-Enabled Web Coverage Service
Steven R. Olson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Oberfield, M. Peroutka, and D. Gilmore

  9:15 AM
A preview of NCEP's new product communication strategies and data visualization Initiatives
Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. S. Mabe and S. Jacobs

  9:30 AM
Improving communication using NWS local climate analysis tool
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Hollingshead, D. Hilderbrand, B. E. Mayes, T. Hartley, N. McGavock, E. Lau, F. C. Fritsch, L. Brown, E. A. O'Lenic, B. C. Motta, and R. Bunge

Recording files available
3B
Data Stewardship: Collecting, Preserving, Communicating Weather and Climate Data: Keynote Session
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Mohan K. Ramamurthy, Unidata/UCAR; Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  9:00 AM
The changing research data paradigm
Clifford A. Jacobs, NSF, Arlington, VA

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
Discussion Session
Mohan Ramamurthy, UCAR, Boulder, CO

Recording files available
4
Climate Analysis III
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
The association of outgoing solar (albedo) and OLR radiation with variations of precipitation
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. E. Schwartz

  8:45 AM
4.2
Extreme temperature regimes during the cool season
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Westby

  9:00 AM
4.3
What forms the subtropical maximum in mid-tropospheric warming?
Jian (Tony) Ma, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie

  9:15 AM
4.4
The observed extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart and D. Keyser

  9:30 AM
4.5
An examination of climate variability in the southeastern United States based on a modulated annual cycle
Sarah E. Strazzo, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Z. Wu

Recording files available
4
Climatology of Lightning and the Global Electric Circuit II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Eric C. Bruning, Texas Tech Univ

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Combined aircraft and satellite-derived storm electric current and lightning rates measurements and implications for the global electric circuit
Douglas M. Mach, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and R. J. Blakeslee, M. Bateman, and J. Bailey

  9:00 AM
4.2
The North American Lightning Detection Network (NALDN): Analysis of Flash Data – 2001-2009
Richard E. Orville, Texas A&M University, College Sation, TX; and G. R. Huffines, W. R. Burrows, and K. L. Cummins

  9:15 AM
4.3
Toward a climatology of precipitating systems that produce lightning with large impulse charge moment changes
Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. A. Lyons, S. A. Cummer, S. Rutledge, and T. E. Nelson

  9:30 AM
4.4
Total lightning and precipitation over Brazil: An overview from 12-years of TRMM satellite
Rachel I. Albrecht, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and K. P. Naccarato, O. Pinto Jr., and I. R. C. A. Pinto

Recording files available
4
Developments in Data Assimilation and Physics-based Forecast Models
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Prospects and Challenges for Data Assimilation in Magnetosphere Models
Joachim Raeder, Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and T. Matsuo and J. Anderson

  8:45 AM
4.2
Data assimilation models for ionosphere specifications and forecasts
Robert W. Schunk, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and L. Scherliess, J. J. Sojka, D. C. Thompson, and L. Zhu

  9:00 AM
4.3
Modeling ring current enhancements during magnetic storms
Michele D. Cash, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. M. Harnett and R. M. Winglee

  9:15 AM
4.4
  9:30 AM
4.5
WSA Derived Coronal Hole Comparison with STEREO EUVI Observations
C. Nick Arge, Air Force Research Lab, Kirtland AFB, NM; and C. J. Henney, K. Shurkin, J. Koller, A. Toussaint, S. Young, D. Mackenzie, and J. W. Harvey

Recording files available
4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
  8:45 AM
4.2
Hydrologic sensitivities of Colorado River runoff to changes in temperature and precipitation
Julie A. Vano, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Das and D. P. Lettenmaier

  9:00 AM
4.3
Probabilistic climate change analysis for stormwater runoff in the Pacific Northwest
Gregory S. Karlovits, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and J. C. Adam

  9:15 AM
4.4
Climate change impacts in the Tahoe region: past and projected future trends
Robert N. Coats, Hydroikos Ltd., Berkeley, CA; and M. Costa-Cabral, M. D. Dettinger, J. Reuter, J. Riverson, G. Sahoo, G. Schladow, and B. Wolfe

  9:30 AM
4.5
Recording files available
4A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty I: Large-scale systems
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Zoltan Toth, NOAA/ESRL/GSD

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Prediction of Extratropical Cyclones by TIGGE Ensemble Prediction Systems
Lizzie S. R. Froude, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

 
4A.2
PAPER WITHDRAWN

  9:00 AM
Ensemble-based prediction and diagnostics during the PREDICT field experiment
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Torn

  9:15 AM
Results from testing of EnKF and an EnKF-Var hybrid using the GFS during the 2010 hurricane season
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker, S. G. Benjamin, M. Fiorino, and D. T. Kleist

  9:30 AM
Forecast products for hurricane prediction: deterministic and ensemble-based
Erik Andersson, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and F. Prates and D. Richardson

Recording files available
4B
New Forecasting Systems and Capabilities
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Overview of Chinese New Generation NWP System GRAPES
Jishan Xue, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China

  8:45 AM
Development of a new global forecast system in CMA
Xueshun Shen, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

  9:00 AM
Experiences with a 1.5km version of the Met Office Unified Model for short range forecasting
Humphrey W. Lean, Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and F. J. Bornemann, Y. Tang, and E. Carter

  9:15 AM
Transitioning research to operations: Implementing the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for developing countries
Brent L. Shaw, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and R. L. Carpenter, Jr., P. L. Spencer, Z. M. DuFran, J. W. Conway, and M. D. Eilts

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Wade T. Crow, USDA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Estimating the global terrestrial hydrologic cycle through modeling, remote sensing, and data assimilation [INVITED]
Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. Pan, A. Sahoo, J. Sheffield, and T. Troy

  8:45 AM
A Bayesian analysis scheme for estimating river depth using SWOT measurements [INVITED]
Michael Durand, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and K. Andreadis, L. Smith, and M. Mersel

  9:00 AM
 
J6.4
Using Data to Detect and Resolve Model Structural Errors [INVITED]

  9:15 AM
Contributions of precipitation and soil moisture observations to the skill of soil moisture estimates in a land data assimilation system
Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu, R. Bindlish, M. Cosh, W. T. Crow, R. de Jeu, G. De Lannoy, G. J. Huffman, and T. J. Jackson

  9:30 AM
Towards assimilation methods that adequately reflect distinct sources of error: A Bayesian perspective [INVITED]
Dmitri Kavetski, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia; and A. Newman, G. Evin, M. Thyer, and G. Kuczera

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, University of Michigan

Papers:
  8:30 AM
An overview of the coupled atmosphere-wildland fire model WRF-Fire
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley and A. Kochanski

http://www.openwfm.org/wiki/Category:WRF-Fire

Manuscript (352.5 kB)
  8:45 AM
 
J7.3
California Reanalysis Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Downscaling at 10km

  9:30 AM

9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
5
Analyses of Results from Operational Weather Modification Programs - Part 1
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants; Sarah Tessendorf, NCAR

Papers:
  9:00 AM
5.1
Invited Speaker: Hail damage reduction activities
Paul L. Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and B. A. Boe

  9:15 AM
5.2
Assessment of Hail Prevention experiments and operations in Spain: comparison seeded and unseeded periods
J. L. Sánchez, University of Leon, León, León, Spain; and L. .. López, A. Merino, E. García-Ortega, and J. Dessens

  9:30 AM
5.3
Observations of supercooled liquid water over Tasmania and the Southern Ocean
Steven T. Siems, Monash University, Monash, Victoria, Australia; and Y. Huang, A. E. Morrison, and M. J. Manton

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Joint Poster Session 1
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsors: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Susan C. Steele-Dunne, TU Delft; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:
 
42
Evaluation of the impacts of assimilating multi-sensor snow observations on land surface processes
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, C. D. Peters-Lidard, M. Shaw, D. K. Hall, J. L. Foster, G. A. Riggs, and J. B. Eylander

 
43A
(Formerly 7.4) High Spatial Resolution Observation of Rainfall from Space
James A. Weinman, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Mori, G. Levy, and F. S. Marzano

http://porsec.nwra.com/pmm2010.pdf

 
44
Field-Scale Soil Moisture Assimilation: State, Parameter or Bias Estimation?
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and V. Pauwels, R. H. Reichle, W. P. Kustas, T. Gish, P. R. Houser, A. Russ, and N. Verhoest

 
46
Impacts of the new satellite derived land products on mesoscale precipitation processes
Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek

 
47
Improving simulated soil moisture states through AMSR-E data assimilation

 
50
Comparison analysis of water and energy fluxes and application of model products for North-American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell, M. Ek, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, D. P. Lettenmaier, V. Koren, Q. Duan, K. C. Mo, and Y. Fan

 
51
Evaluation and analysis of model-simulated soil temperature in the North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Sheffield, M. Ek, H. Wei, E. F. Wood, S. Feng, L. Luo, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

 
52
Surface Water and Energy Budgets for the Mississippi River Basin In Three NCEP Analyses
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

 
53
 
54
A land data assimilation system using MODIS-derived land data and its application to WRF prediction
Yoon-Jin Lim, Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Daejeon, South Korea; and K. Y. Byun, T. Y. Lee, J. Kim, and M. S. Joh

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)
 
55
Calibration of Three Sophisticated Operational Hydrological Forecast Models Using Land-Data Assimilation: Comparison of Results Over Selected Basins in Romania
John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC, Raleigh, NC; and D. J. Gochis, C. J. Coats Jr., J. Vukovich, and T. K. Burnet

 
56
NASA Water Resources Program and LDAS for Improved Water Management
David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Doorn

 
58
Snow surface temperature update process in Noah land surface model: a modified approach
Rebeka Sultana, University of California, Irvine, CA; and K. L. Hsu, J. Li, and S. Sorooshian

 
59
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia
Battumur Tserenchunt Jr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia

 
Paper 43 has been moved. New paper number is J6.4A.

 
Paper 57 has been moved. New paper number is J21.4A.


Poster Session 1
Poster Session for ARAM Symposium on Weather - Air Traffic Management Integration
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration

Papers:
 
325
Poster 325 has been moved. New paper number 2.3A

 
326
Modeling Convective Weather Avoidance of Arrivals in Terminal Airspace
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura

Manuscript (2.5 MB) Poster PDF (183.8 kB)
 
327
The Weather and Air Traffic Management Integration course in the graduate Aeronautics program at Embry-Riddle
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL

Manuscript (63.8 kB) Poster PDF (456.7 kB)
 
328
The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): The synthesis, alert, monitoring, and 4-D cube capabilities

 
330
The future of Categorical Amendment Criteria in support of aviation services

 
331
Evidence of Post-Frontal Mountain Wave Enhanced Wind Shear in Juneau Alaska
Carl F. Dierking, NOAA/NWS, Juneau, AK; and F. C. Fritsch

Manuscript (1.4 MB) Poster PDF (5.2 MB)
 
333
Objective calibrated wind speed and crosswind probabilistic forecasts for the Hong Kong International Airport
Ping Cheung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. C. Lam

Manuscript (965.5 kB) Poster PDF (993.7 kB)
 
334
Some new insights on interpreting TAF verification statistics

 
335
Studies of the effectiveness of the water vapor sensing system, WVSS-II, in supporting airline operations and improved air traffic capacity
Randy Baker, United Parcel Service, Louisville, KY; and R. Curtis, D. Helms, A. Homans, and B. Ford

Manuscript (1.6 MB) Poster PDF (3.4 MB)
 
336
Understanding the low visibility conditions for aviation studies: Cold fog studies using surface observations

 
337
Impact of abnormal electromagnetic propagation on UAS risk mitigation with radar
Randall Johnson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson, J. Tilley, and C. Theisen

 
338
On the use of low-cost unmanned aircraft platforms as part of a system to determine short-term electromagnetic propagation characteristics in the surface and boundary layers
Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and D. Delene, J. Nordlie, R. Johnson, K. Strang, B. Gunvalson, P. Tselios, and M. A. Askelson

 
339
The Utility of TAMDAR in the NextGen-Oriented CLEEN Program
Neil A. Jacobs, AirDat LLC, Morrisville, NC; and M. Croke, P. Childs, Y. Liu, X. Y. Huang, and R. DeJong


Poster Session 2
Ensembles and Probabilistic Forecasting
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Papers:
 
111
The value of ensembles and statistical post-processing for ship routing guidance
James Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Etro, A. Etro, J. Cook, I. Nutall, and S. Hall

 
112
Covarying TC-forced wind speed/wave height probabilities
James Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. R. Sampson, P. A. Wittmann, M. DeMaria, and J. Knaff

 
113
Ensemble based probabilistic forecast and its verification
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

 
114
Impact of formulation and resolution on ensemble forecast performance
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. McLay, J. S. Goerss, E. Serra, D. Hodyss, C. R. Sampson, M. Flatau, and J. A. Ridout

 
115
Ensemble Hurricane forecasts from a suite of Mesoscale models
Mrinal K. Biswas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

 
116
What is a reasonable ensemble size for operational ensemble forecast?
Juhui Ma, NCEP/NWS, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu

Manuscript (595.3 kB)
 
118
Ensemble prediction system development for hydrometeorological testbed (HMT) application
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. Albers, H. Yuan, L. S. Wharton, Z. Toth, T. Schneider, A. White, and F. M. Ralph

 
119
What are the added values of LAMEPS?
Yong Wang, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Vienna, Austria

Manuscript (772.5 kB)
 
120
Inclusion of FNMOC ensemble into NAEFS
Bo Cui, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu

 
121
NAEFS statistical down-scaling method applications to Alaska
Bo Cui, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu

 
122
Evaluating probabilistic precipitation forecasts generated by deterministic convection-allowing NWP models
Jill D. Hardy, University of Southern California , Ijamsville, MD; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Novak, J. J. Gourley, and M. E. Pyle

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
123
Improving probabilistic ensemble forecasts of convection through the application of QPF-POP relationships
Christopher J. Schaffer, NOAA/NWSFO, Goodland, KS; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and M. Segal

Manuscript (445.1 kB)
 
125
In-line processing of ensemble distributions in a simple model
Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Hansen and C. A. Reynolds

 
126
Optimization of Stochastic Total Tendency Perturbation Scheme
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu, S. Moorthi, R. Wobus, J. Ma, and W. Yang

 
129
Down-Selection of NWP Ensemble Configurations
Jared Lee, Penn State University, State College, PA; and W. C. Kolczynski Jr., T. C. McCandless, S. E. Haupt, D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng, and K. J. Schmehl

Manuscript (1015.8 kB)
 
132
ensembleBMA: An R package for probabilistic weather forecasting
Chris Fraley, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. E. Raftery, T. Gneiting, and M. Sloughter

http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ensembleBMA/index.html

Manuscript (1.3 MB)
 
133
Geostatistical model averaging for locally calibrated probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting
William Kleiber, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. E. Raftery and T. Gneiting

 
134
Impact of Sea Surface Temperature Uncertainty on the Western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH) and rainfall
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop, T. Holt, and L. O'neill

 
135
Experimental Probabalistic Forecast Information Provided by NWS WFOs
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA, Valley, NE; and S. A. Amburn

 
Poster 127 has been moved. New paper number is 6A.3A.


Poster Session 2
Poster Session 2
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:
 
150
Global precipitation diurnal variations depicted in the observation and the CFS Reanalysis
Soo-Hyun Yoo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC and Wyle Scientific, Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie and W. Wang

Poster PDF (3.7 MB)
 
151
California temperature and precipitation trends: climate variability or global warming
Steve LaDochy, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez, D. Killam, A. Bui, W. C. Patzert, and J. Willis

Manuscript (578.3 kB) Poster PDF (420.4 kB)
 
152
Impact of a fine scale SST over the Kuroshio Extension region to wintertime rainfall
Satoshi Iizuka, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Dairaku and W. Sasaki

 
153
Decadal amplitude modulation of two types of ENSO and mean state changes
Jung Choi, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. I. An and S. W. Yeh

 
154
NARCCAP regional climate model simulations of the North American monsoon
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Gochis and L. O. Mearns

Poster PDF (35.6 MB)
 
155
Conspicuous greening in the end of growing season over Arctic region
Su Jong Jeong, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and B. M. Kim and C. H. Ho

 
157
Potential Precursors to and Implications of Tropical Cyclone Passage: A Regional Climate Perspective
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Poster PDF (7.2 MB)
 
158
30-year satellite-based time series: Is vegetation greening up?
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

 
159
Vegetation greening accelerates surface warming and sea-ice melting over the Arctic and high-latitude regions
Sang-Yoon Jun, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. H. Jeong, and J. S. Kug

 
160
Impact of Anthropogenic Pressures on Selected Characteristics of a Wetland at Ts'akholo, Lesotho
Adesola Olutayo Olaleye Sr., CSIR, Roma, Lesotho

www.nul.s

Manuscript (189.9 kB) Poster PDF (561.5 kB)
 
161
Projected changes of regional heat waves in Central/Eastern Europe using climate model simulations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. B. Bartha, O. Torek, I. Pieczka, and C. Torma

Manuscript (3.2 MB) Poster PDF (613.2 kB)
 
162
Simulated trend of wet and dry climatic conditions in Central/Eastern Europe using PRECIS outputs
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Pieczka, B. Hollosi, and O. Torek

Manuscript (3.0 MB) Poster PDF (694.1 kB)
 
163
Analysis of the urban heat island effect—comparison of ground-based and remotely sensed temperature observations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. Lelovics, and Z. Dezso

Manuscript (264.2 kB) Poster PDF (8.0 MB)

Poster Session 3
Lightning Safety, Protection, and Education II
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Gregory R. Patrick, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
 
314
Detection Efficiencies and Range Accuracies of Three Portable Lightning Detectors Compared with the National Lightning Detection Network
Alex J. DeCaria, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and J. W. Wimer, H. M. Fijalkowski, M. R. Miziorko, and J. A. Limbacher

Manuscript (82.0 kB) Poster PDF (358.9 kB)
 
315
Comparison of the United States Precision Lightning Network™ (USPLN™) and the Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Surveillance System (CGLSS)
Alexander A. Jacques, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer and T. R. Boucher

Manuscript (833.6 kB) Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
316
A statistical model for the inter-annual and intra-annual number of lightning fatalities
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL

Manuscript (241.3 kB) Poster PDF (235.3 kB)
 
317
Is the risk of a lightning casualty actually less in an open field than a forest?
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL

Manuscript (136.6 kB) Poster PDF (142.5 kB)

Poster Session 4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS

Papers:
 
60
Loading the dice: Climate change and recent Northwest droughts
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. A. Mckinnon, P. W. Mote, and P. Pall

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
 
61
Trends and sensitivities in late-season snowpack in the Pacific Northwest
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Mantua

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
62
Effects of climate change on Olympic National Park flood risks
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Y. Lee and I. M. Tohver

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)
 
63
 
64
Sensitivity of Projected Streamflow Changes to Future Scenarios in Three Hydrologic Regimes in BC
Arelia T. Werner, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett, M. A. Schnorbus, and A. B. Berland

 
65
Quantifying the hydrologic impacts of mountain pine beetle and salvage harvest in the Fraser River drainage, British Columbia, Canada
Markus A. Schnorbus, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett and A. T. Werner

 
67
Stationarity, variability and change in hydrologic extremes
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. E. Kunkel

 
68
On the origin of recent changes in western North American snowpack
Sarah Kapnick, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall

 
69
A study of lakes and wetlands in Africa from land surface modeling
Huilin Gao, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Bohn and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
71
Implications of glacier change to Upper Indus River streamflow
Bibi S. Naz, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and L. C. Bowling, M. Ashfaq, and N. S. Diffenbaugh

 
72
Simulating climate variability and change in Central Asia using a coupled NHMM-AR1 Model
Scott Sellars, Columbia Water Center, New York City, NY; and A. W. Robertson and T. Siegfried

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

Poster Session 4
The Utility of Lightning Data in Operational Warning and Decision-Making Processes I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Gregory R. Patrick, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
 
318
Assessing impulses and decay of overshooting tops relative to supercell collapse using lightning and phased array radar data
Vanna C. Chmielewski, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. M. Kuhlman, D. R. MacGorman, and S. A. Weiss

Manuscript (1.1 MB) Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
319
The Utility of Total Lightning for Diagnosing the Severity of Summer Pulse Convection
Christopher B. Darden, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL; and B. Carcione, A. M. Woodward, and G. T. Stano

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
321
NCAR AutoNowcaster performance using total lightning and NLDN data
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Nelson, W. Deierling, and N. Oien

Poster PDF (607.1 kB)
 
322
The application of lightning density map in the analysis of a severe rainstorm case in Hong Kong
W.H. Leung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and W. M. Ma and H. K. Yeung

Manuscript (846.8 kB)
 
323
Determining relationships between lightning and radar in severe and non-severe storms
Scott D. Rudlosky, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg

 
324
Diagnosing storm intensity using coupled TRMM Lightning Imaging Sensor and Meteosat Second Generation in preparation for GOES-R
Christopher P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walker, W. M. MacKenzie Jr., and J. R. Mecikalski

 
Poster 320 has been moved. New paper number J1.2A


Poster Session 5
Progress in Estimating Land Surface Evaporation
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
 
73
The fallacy of drifting snow
Edgar L. Andreas, NorthWest Research Associates, Inc., Lebanon, NH

Manuscript (251.7 kB) Poster PDF (318.7 kB)
 
74
A watershed scale Groundwater-Land-Surface Model
Yuning Shi, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and K. J. Davis and C. J. Duffy

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)
 
75
Application of a Unified Land Model for estimation of the terrestrial water balance
Ben Livneh, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. J. Restrepo

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
76
Improve the estimation of sublimation and evaporation from the ground snow surface and frozen soil in WRF
Yihua Wu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek

 
77
Multi-model land-surface evaporation with the Land Information System (LIS)

 
78
Regional modeling of evapotranspiration using WRF coupled to the high complexity land surface model ACASA
Liyi Xu, University of California, Davis, CA; and R. D. Pyles and K. T. Paw U

 
79
Use of a dual temperature-difference two-source model to estimate the turbulent energy fluxes under strongly advective conditions during BEAREX08
Joseph G. Alfieri, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and W. P. Kustas, M. C. Anderson, P. D. Colaizzi, J. H. Prueger, L. E. Hipps, J. L. Chavez, S. R. Evett, K. S. Copeland, and T. A. Howell

Poster PDF (263.5 kB)
 
80
Estimating Distributed Soil Evaporation to Account for Background Evaporation Between Satellite Image Dates
Jeppe Kjaersgaard, University of Idaho, Kimberly, ID; and R. Allen, A. Irmak, I. Ratcliffe, P. Ranade, R. Trezza, and C. Robison

Poster PDF (125.2 kB)
 
81
Web-based disseminating of surface energy balance evapotranspiration estimates
Amnon Nevo, Riverside Technology, inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. C. Martin

Poster PDF (395.6 kB)
 
82
Developing two long-term, daily datasets of evaporative demand across the conterminous US
Michael Hobbins, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Streubel, K. Werner, and D. Brandon

Poster PDF (8.5 MB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
6
Analyses of Results from Operational Weather Modification Programs - Part 2
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Paul Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Richard H. Stone, RHS Consulting, Ltd.

Papers:
  11:00 AM
6.1
Brief description of the rain mitigation operations during Beijing 2008 Olympic opening ceremony
Qiang Zhang, Beijing Weather Modification Office, Beijing, China; and H. He, M. Huang, H. Y. Li, J. Z. Liu, X. Ma, B. P. Koloskov, and V. P. Korneev

  11:15 AM
6.2
30+ WINTER SEASONS of OPERATIONAL CLOUD SEEDING in UTAH
Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and M. E. Solak and D. P. Yorty

 
6.3
Assessment of the San Joaquin Cloud Seeding Program using WRF based Sub Basin Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts as Formal Controls for Unseeded Precipitation: Preliminary Results obtained from the 2009 and 2010 Winter Seasons

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


1
Communication and Diversity in the History of Atmospheric Science (Co-Sponsored by the Board on Women and Minorities)
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth History Symposium
Speakers: Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania; Denzil Ford, University of British Columbia
Chair: Dr. Sepideh Yalda, Millersville Univ.

Papers:
  11:00 AM
1.1
Oceanography, photography, and possession in the south east Pacific, Chile, and Peru
Denzil Ford, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  11:15 AM
1.2
Historical Perspectives on Structural Discrimination in Atmospheric Science
Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA

Recording files available
2
Probabilistic Weather Avoidance and Traffic Flow Management
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Craig Wanke, The MITRE Corporation

Papers:
  11:00 AM
2.1
NextGen Trajectory-Based Integration of Grid-Based Weather Avoidance Fields
Robert Avjian, Lockheed Martin Information Systems & Global Solutions, Rockville, MD; and J. Dehn, Ph.D and J. G. Stobie, Ph.D

  11:15 AM
2.2
Probabilistic pilot-behavior models for clear-air turbulence avoidance maneuvers
R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Krozel and V. Klimenko

 
2.3
PAPER WITHDRAWN

Recording files available
2
Sensor Performance
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: Thomas M. Renkevens, NOAA/NESDIS; Pamela Sullivan, JPSS Flight Project

Papers:
  11:00 AM
2.1
The improved imagery of the ABI on GOES-R
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Madison, WI; and J. Gurka and M. M. Gunshor

  11:15 AM
2.2
NPP CrIS Sensor Performance Review and Cal/Val Plan Overview
Gail A. Bingham, Utah State Univ./SDL, Logan, UT; and C. Fish, M. Esplin, V. Zavyalov, M. Greenman, and T. Nielsen

  11:30 AM
2.3
GOES-R space weather observations and products
S. M. Hill, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO; and R. Rutledge, J. C. Green, T. Onsager, H. J. Singer, R. Viereck, M. Shouldis, P. loto'Aniu, L. Mayer, E. J. Rigler, and J. V. Rodriguez

  11:45 AM
2.4
The GOES-R Series Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM)
Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD; and R. J. Blakeslee, W. Koshak, and D. M. Mach

Recording files available
2
Winter Impacts 2009-2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Renee Curry, National Wildlife Federation

Papers:
  11:00 AM
2.1
Tracking Changes in the Arctic Environment
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. Calder, and J. A. Richter-Menge

  11:15 AM
2.2
Western US Storm Impacts - January 18-23, 2010
Mark A. Tew, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

  11:30 AM
2.3
The Southern Plains Ice Storm of January 28-29, 2010
Kevin A. Kloesel, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

  11:45 AM
2.4
East Coast Snow Storm Impacts
David A. Call, Ball State University, Muncie, IN

Recording files available
4A
Communication Technologies for Accessing and Distributing Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Data, Forecasts, and Information Part II
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Tim D. Crum, NOAA/NWS; Christina Lief, NOAA/NCDC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Implementation of a hydrologic information data server in the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex
John A. McEnery, University of Texas, Arlington, TX; and P. W. McKee, G. P. Shelton, and R. W. Ramsay

  11:15 AM
Web-based Tsunami Forecasting Tools
Eugene Burger, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and C. W. Moore, C. Chamberlin, and D. W. Denbo

  11:30 AM
Creating a Scalable Solution for Producing Quality Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts
Daniel W. Lennartson, Telvent DTN, Minneapolis, MN; and J. H. Block

  11:45 AM
NextGen 4-D Weather Data Cube Development and tools for Content Developers
Jebb Q. Stewart, NOAA/ESRL and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and M. Leon, C. MacDermaid, M. Schultz, and L. Sherretz

Recording files available
4B
Data Stewardship: Data Discovery
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Steven Worley, NCAR; Mark R. Anderson, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Papers:
  11:00 AM
An introduction to the Advanced Tracking and Resource tool for Archive Collections (ATRAC)
Philip Jones, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. Roberts and N. Ritchey

  11:15 AM
  11:30 AM
Libre: Freeing your data—Free to share, free to discover and use
Ruth E. Duerr, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Parsons

  11:45 AM
NOAA's Climate Database Modernization Program (CDMP) paving the road for data stewardship
William E. Angel, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. F. Ross and R. Truesdall

Recording files available
5
Future Directions in Space Weather
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Joseph Kunches, NOAA/SWPC

Papers:
  11:15 AM
5.3
GPS & Space Weather: Understanding the Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience
Genene Fisher, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC

 
Paper 5.2 has been moved. New Paper number 5.4A

  11:30 AM
5.4
Space Weather Impacts on the Ground Based Augmentation System
Tim Murphy, Boeing Commercial Airplane Group, Seattle, WA

  11:45 AM
A Tribute to Paul Kintner
Anthea Coster, MIT Haystack Observatory, Westford, MA

Recording files available
5
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS

Papers:
  11:15 AM
5.2
Dynamic reservoir operations using seasonal hydrologic forecasts: managing water resources for ecological integrity
Scott Steinschneider, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and B. Pitta, R. Palmer, C. Brown, D. Ahlfeld, A. Polebitski, and K. Adamec

  11:30 AM
5.3
Management Implications of Non-Stationary Hydrology: Decision-Scale Approaches
J.R. Arnold, US Army Corps of Engineers, Alexandria, VA; and P. Wagner, S. Gangopadhyay, K. D. White, L. D. Brekke, R. Olsen, and D. Raff

Recording files available
5
Recent Advances in Lightning Technology and Transfer of that Technology from Research to Operations I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Wiebke Deierling, NCAR

Papers:
  11:00 AM
5.1
The GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM): Algorithm and Instrument Status
Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD; and H. J. Christian Jr.

  11:30 AM
5.2
Recording files available
5A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty II: Large-scale Systems
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Justin McLay, NRL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
The development of Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Hou, M. Wei, R. Wobus, S. Moorthi, and J. Ma

  11:15 AM
Optimizing ensemble forecasts by EnKF in NCEP operational environment
Mozheng Wei, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu, D. Kleist, J. Derber, S. J. Lord, and J. Whitaker

  11:30 AM
  11:45 AM
Verification of winds and seas forecasts from the FNMOC ensemble forecast system
Michael Sestak, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and S. Klotz, J. A. Hansen, P. M. Pauley, and P. A. Wittmann

Recording files available
5B
Forecast Center Overviews I
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Recent progress in analysis and prediction at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Environmental Modeling Center (Invited Speaker)
Stephen J. Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. M. Lapenta, J. Ward, G. DiMego, H. L. Tolman, J. C. Derber, Y. Zhu, M. Ek, H. L. Pan, and M. Iredell

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University; Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University

Papers:
  11:00 AM
(Invited Speaker) Effects of particle composition on cloud droplet nucleation
Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

  11:30 AM
Cloud droplet growth of biogenic and anthropogenic Cloud Condensation Nuclei
Akua Asa-Awuku, University of California, Riverside, CA

  11:45 AM
Stratus cloud supersaturations
James G. Hudson, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. Noble and V. Jha

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Computational intelligence methods for remote sensing and analysis
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) )
Cochairs: Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma; William F. Roberts, NOAA

Papers:
  11:00 AM
A winter hydrometeor classification algorithm
Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves, T. M. Smith, and K. L. Ortega

  11:15 AM
A support vector machine model for determining radiative heating profiles
Nathaniel Beagley, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane and J. E. Flaherty

  11:45 AM
Tornadic supercell analysis from Oklahoma mesonet and proximity sounding observations: a spatiotemporal relational data mining approach
David John Gagne II, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, J. B. Basara, and R. A. Brown

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Observations of Middle Atmosphere Composition
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Chair: Michelle L. Santee, JPL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Discovery of an orange FeO feature in the night airglow spectrum with the OSIRIS spectrograph on Odin
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and R. L. Gattinger, D. A. Degenstein, E. J. Lewellyn, and T. G. Slanger

  11:15 AM
Evaluation of the NOAA Cohesive SBUV(/2) Profile Ozone Data Set
Jeannette Wild, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. S. Long, A. H. Butler, S. K. Yang, S. Zhou, and R. Lin

  11:30 AM
Global distribution of minor constituents observed by SMILES and its dynamical background
Yoko Naito, Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan; and N. Nishi, E. Nishimoto, M. Suzuki, C. Mitsuda, C. Takahashi, K. Imai, N. Manago, H. Hayashi, T. Sano, and M. Shiotani

  11:45 AM
The first, long-term, in situ measurement of ozone depletion in the Antarctic ozone hole
Lars E. Kalnajs, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. M. Avallone, T. Deshler, and P. Cocquerez

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
What Improved Communication Technologies Mean for Weather and Climate Education
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) )
Cochairs: Donna J. Charlevoix, UCAR; Lola M. Olsen, NASA; Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA; Thomas M. Whittaker, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Geopod: An interactive module for navigating and probing geophysical data
Michael R. Root, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and K. P. Waegel, L. M. Crouse, G. M. Zoppetti, R. D. Clark, and S. Yalda

 
J7.2
The Bloomsburg Weather Viewer: A resource for integrating webcam and local weather station data into the introductory meteorology classroom

 
Paper J7.4 has been moved. The new paper number is J1.5A.

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Risk Communication of Hurricanes
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Julie L. Demuth, NCAR; Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Risk Communication Across Cultures
Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

  11:15 AM
Dynamics of hurricane risk perception
Holly Marlatt, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. W. Trumbo, L. Peek, M. Lueck, E. Gruntfest, B. McNoldy, and W. Schubert

  11:30 AM
Improving storm surge risk communication
Betty Hearn Morrow, SocResearch, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome

  11:45 AM
Assessing the Publics' Need For Storm Surge Warning Information
Jeffrey K. Lazo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Morrow, J. R. Rhome, and J. Feyen

Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Overview of the North American Land Data Assimilation System
Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Xia, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, and K. Mo

  11:15 AM
Monitoring Many Faces of Drought over the United States based on the NLDAS systems [INVITED]
Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Xia and M. Ek

  11:30 AM
Validation and Assessment of Model-Simulated Soil Moisture in the North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2
Helin Wei, EMC, Camps Spring, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Sheffield, M. Ek, E. F. Wood, L. Luo, J. Dong, and J. Meng

  11:45 AM
Evaluation and validation of model-simulated streamflow for North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, M. Ek, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, Q. Duan, and D. Lohmann


Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture

Recording files available
Lecture
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
2
Radar-Lidar Techniques in Pollution, Climate and Weather Studies
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Jennifer M. Comstock, PNNL; Simone Lolli, LEOSPHERE

Papers:
  11:15 AM
2.2
Cloud Properties from a Combined Lidar-Radar retrieval in the tropical western Pacific
Julia E. Flaherty, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane and J. M. Comstock

  11:30 AM
2.3
Attenuation Correction of Reflectivity for X-Band Dual Polarization Radar
Yuxiang He, Univ. of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and H. Xiao

Manuscript (583.6 kB)
  11:45 AM
2.4
  12:00 PM
2.5
Intercomparison of Multi-Sensor Retrievals of Cloud Microphysical Properties—Results using ARM data at Darwin, Australia
Jennifer M. Comstock, PNNL, Richland, WA; and A. Protat, S. McFarlane, J. Delanoë, and M. Deng

Recording files available
3
Experiments involving observations, real or hypothetical: data impact tests (sensitivity of forecasts to a particular source of observations); observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs)—Part II
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
3.1
Data assimilative modeling and OSSEs experiments for the monitoring of the Loop Current frontal dynamics—Application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
V. H. Kourafalou, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. LeHenaff, A. Srinivasan, G. R. Halliwell Jr., and R. M. Atlas

  11:15 AM
3.2
OSE/OSSE Evaluation of the Impact of Targeted P3 Airborne Ocean Observations Obtained in Response to the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill
George R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and O. M. Smedstad, P. Hogan, L. K. Shay, V. H. Kourafalou, M. LeHenaff, A. Srinivasan, F. Marks, and R. M. Atlas

  11:30 AM
3.3
Observation sensitivity based on ensembles for storm surge forecasting
Martin Verlaan, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands; and J. Sumihar

www.openda.org

  11:45 AM
3.4
Observation impact and sensitivity analysis applied to ocean circulation estimates using 4D-Var
Andrew M. Moore, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA; and H. Arango, G. Broquet, C. A. Edwards, M. Veneziani, and B. Powell

  12:00 PM
3.5
Forecast Sensitivity to Data Assimilation System Observation and Background Error Covariance Parameters
Dacian N. Daescu, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and R. H. Langland and R. Todling

Recording files available
3
NOAA Oceans and Human Health Initiative (OHHI): Responses of pathogenic Vibrios to climate, climate change and implications for health early warning systems.
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Chairs: Mark S. Strom, NOAA Fisheries Service; Carolyn Sotka, NOAA

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Introductory Remarks

  11:15 AM
3.2
Public Health, working towards safer shellfish in Washington State
Cari Franz-West, Washington Department of Health, Office of Shellfish and Water Protection, Olympia, WA

  11:30 AM
3.4
The West Coast Center for Oceans and Human Health: enhancing early warning systems for marine biotoxins and pathogens using climate information
Mark S. Strom, NOAA Fisheries Service, Seattle, WA; and V. L. Trainer, S. K. Moore, R. N. Paranjpye, and L. D. Rhodes

  11:45 AM
3.3
Forecasting Human Health Risks from Bacteria in the Ocean
D. Jay Grimes, University of Southern Mississippi, Ocean Springs, MS

  12:15 PM
3.5

11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
7
All Other Manmade Impacts on Weather-Scale Phenomena
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Paul Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Richard H. Stone, RHS Consulting, Ltd.

Papers:
  11:45 AM
7.1
Waves of destruction: The launch of SDO
Adam D. Jacobs, NASA, Millersville, PA; and W. D. Pesnell

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
NASA Earth Science Division Town Hall Meeting
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

This Town Hall Meeting session will provide an opportunity for the earth science community to interact with members of the leadership team and staff of the Earth Science Division (ESD) of the national Aeronautics and Space Administration’s (NASA) Science Mission Directorate. Brief presentations by the ESD leadership will precede a longer opportunity for audience questions. Topics to be addressed in the Town Hall Meeting include the scientific accomplishments and programmatic milestones from the past year, the current programmatic directions, and NASA’s progress towards implementing foundational missions and those identified by the National Research Council’s 2007 Earth Science Decadal Survey, entitled Earth Science and Applications from Space: National Imperatives for the Next Decade and Beyond, and those enabled by the Obama administration’s fiscal year (FY) 2011 budget, which enabled a new class of climate missions, a significantly expanded Venture-class program, and augmentations to the nonflight program (research and analysis, applied sciences, technology). For additional information, please contact Jack A. Kaye (tel: 202-358-0757; e-mail: Jack.A.Kaye@nasa.gov).
Papers:
  12:15 PM
Townhall_Freilich
Michael H. Freilich, NASA, Washington, DC

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: Impact of Human Occupancy at the 2011 AMS Annual Convention
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

It is not surprising to anyone that whenever you have a large gathering of people in confined spaces the people themselves have an impact on the environment around them. Whether it is the warming of the room we often feel or the undetectable CO2 we exhale every time we breathe, humans are changing their surroundings in many ways. To convey the message that humans modify the environment no matter what we do, two portable monitoring systems will be set up to measure three simple parameters at the 2011 AMS annual meeting: temperature, water vapor, and CO2. Through these measurements, an attempt will be made to infer the human impact as it relates to large gatherings. To understand the impact fully, the number of people in a given space, the volume those people occupy during a given time interval, and how the Washington State Convention Center is controlling the environment will need to be known, in addition to the data measurements. Students will be trained to operate the instrumentation and collect the data. Instrumentation, system integration, and help with student training will be graciously provided by Campbell Scientific, LI-COR, and Vaisala Inc., long-time corporate sponsors of the AMS. Samplings will be done during the AMS Student Conference, WeatherFest, and the Monday morning Presidential Forum, as well as the Monday evening Exhibit Hall Opening. During this Town Hall Meeting, David Sailor, professor of mechanical engineering at Portland State University, will be discussing the measurements and put them into context by discussing how people in cities impact their environment through the release of energy. For additional information, please contact Dave Chapman (e-mail: Dave.Chapman@okemosschools.net) or Dan Wolf (e-mail: Daniel.Wolfe@noaa.gov).
Papers:
  12:15 PM
Impact of Human Occupancy at 2011 AMS Meeting
David J. Sailor, Portland State Univ., Portland, OR

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: The National Weather Service Strategic Plan
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Town Hall Meetings

The National Weather Service (NWS) strategic plan describes in broad terms the future directions NWS believes it must take to meet society’s growing needs for weather, water, climate, and related information. The plan has been developed as part of an open dialog with the entire community, including public comments on a final draft. At this Town Hall Meeting, NWS will describe its approach to the final NWS strategic plan, including the context for this plan created by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s next-generation strategic plan. A lively discussion is anticipated. For additional information, please contact Ed Johnson, director, Strategic Planning and Policy, National Weather Service (e-mail: edward.johnson@noaa.gov).
Papers:
  12:15 PM
NWS Strategic Plan
Dr. Jack Hayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Workshop Session 1
Eloquent Professional Communication: Customer-Oriented Writing and High-Impact Presentations
Location: 304 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Workshop on Eloquent Professional Communication
Facilitator: David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Customer-Oriented Writing and High-Impact Presentations
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 2
Communicating with Each Other: The Challenges and Rewards of Expanding Atmospheric Science’s Professional Partners(Themed Joint Session)
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Ninth History Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Panelists: Ankur R. Desai, Univ. of Wisconsin; Robert Henson, UCAR; Eve Gruntfest, Univ. of Oklahoma; Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Communicating with Each Other: The Challenges and Rewards of Expanding Atmospheric Science’s Professional Partners
Ankur R. Desai, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Henson, E. Gruntfest, and R. D. Turner

  2:00 PM
Recording files available
2
Computational intelligence methods and their applications to environmental science
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
Prescreening of predictors for nonlinear machine learning methods in environmental sciences
Aranildo Lima, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon

  2:00 PM
2.2
Sensitivity analysis in linear and nonlinear models: a review
Caren Marzban, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

  2:15 PM
2.3
Gene-expression programming: a variant of genetic programming that allows efficient meteorological function fitting
Atoossa Bakhshaii, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull

  2:30 PM
2.4
Comparing datasets and methods to identify major severe weather outbreaks
Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, M. B. Richman, L. M. Leslie, and C. A. Doswell III

  2:45 PM
2.5
Addressing wind direction uncertainty in source estimation through dynamic time warping
Guido Cervone, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Lin and P. Franzese

Manuscript (793.0 kB)
Recording files available
Panel Discussion 2
Local and Regional Climate Leaders: What is being done in the West about Communicating Climate Change
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Panelists: Ray Rasker, Headwaters Economics; Bart Melton, National Parks Conservation Association; Mike Phillips, Montana State Legislature; Glen Andersen, National Conference of State Legislatures; Patrick Cummins, Western Governors' Association
Chair: Caitlin Buzzas, American Meteorological Society

Papers:
  1:30 PM
State Climate Policy
Glen Andersen, National Conference of State Legislatures, Washington, DC

  1:45 PM
Climate and National Parks
Bart Melton, National Parks Conservation Association, Washington, DC

  2:00 PM
Climate Change and Wildfire
Ray Rasker, Headwaters Economics, Bozeman, MT

  2:15 PM
Planning for Climate Change in the PNW
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

  2:30 PM
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
2
Special Session on Research on Atmospheric/Oceanographic Sciences Education and Outreach
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Donna J. Charlevoix, UCAR; Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
Student experiences in a research-based laboratory
Kathleen Quardokus, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Lasher-Trapp and E. M. Riggs

  1:45 PM
2.2
Evaluation of Student Success in Large Enrollment Blended Learning
Sara T. Strey, University of Illinois at Urbana, Champaign, IL; and D. J. Charlevoix

  2:15 PM
2.4
How meteorologists learn to forecast the weather
Daphne LaDue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

  2:30 PM
2.5
How the NWC REU and other extra-curricular experiences impact undergraduates' early career paths
Madison Lindsay Burnett, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, Norman, OK; and D. LaDue

Recording files available
2
Understanding and Predicting Changes in Stratospheric Ozone: The Chemistry-Climate Model Validation Report
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Andrew Gettelman, NCAR

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
Overview of Chemistry-Climate Model Validation (CCMVal) project
Darryn W. Waugh, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and V. Eyring and T. G. Shepherd

  2:15 PM
2.3
Using transport diagnostics to understand chemistry climate model ozone simulations
Susan E. Strahan, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and A. R. Douglass and R. S. Stolarski

  2:45 PM
2.5
Steps toward a quantitative explanation of differences in Chemistry Climate Model predictions of future ozone evolution
Anne R. Douglass, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. E. Strahan, L. Oman, and R. S. Stolarski

Recording files available
3
Clouds, Aerosols, Wind, Radiatively Important Gases and Thermodynamic Structures of the Troposphere and Stratosphere
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Rob K. Newsom, PNNL; Zhien Wang, Univ. of Wyoming

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
A Solid State DIAL System for Water Vapor Profiling
David M. Sonnenfroh, Physical Sciences Inc., Andover, MA; and K. Parameswaran

  1:45 PM
3.2
Establishing an aerosol backscatter climatology at .355 and 2.06um for the Global Wind Observing System (GWOS) using CALIPSO data and models
Steven Greco, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and G. D. Emmitt, D. A. Bowdle, and K. A. Fuller

  2:00 PM
3.3
Capturing atmospheric events with a high resolution 5km range Doppler wind Lidar
Matthieu Boquet, LEOSPHERE SAS, Paris, France; and J. P. Cariou, G. Gorju, R. Parmentier, and L. Sauvage

  2:15 PM
3.4
Odd Observation in High Altitude Clouds with Depolarization Lidar
I.H. Hwang, Science & Engineering Services, Inc., Columbia, MD; and S. Lee and J. Lei

Manuscript (1.1 MB)
  2:30 PM
3.5
Improving Observations of Aerosol Modifications in the presence of clouds
Yonghua Wu, NOAA-CREST, New York, NY; and C. M. Gan, A. Tejada, B. Gross, F. Moshary, and S. Ahmed

  2:45 PM
3.6
Observation of boundary layer water vapor and aerosol structures with a compact airborne Raman lidar
Zhien Wang, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and P. J. Wechsler, B. Liu, W. Kuestner, B. Glove, J. French, M. Burkhart, Y. Cai, J. Snider, and L. Oolman

Recording files available
3
Meeting Aviation Weather Requirements
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Matthias Steiner, NCAR

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
Where is my thunderstorm forecast? The shifting paradigms of NextGen weather information
Jack May, AvMet Applications International, Inc., Reston, VA; and C. G. Souders, R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, C. Miner, and T. Kays

  1:45 PM
3.2
NOAA's hourly-updated 3km HRRR and RUC/Rapid Refresh - recent (2010) and upcoming changes toward improving weather guidance for air-traffic management
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, C. R. Alexander, J. M. Brown, T. Smirnova, P. Hofmann, E. P. James, and G. Dimego

  2:00 PM
3.3
The Aviation Weather Testbed: Science and Technology Infusion for Aviation Operations
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and B. Entwistle and C. Wallace

  2:15 PM
3.4
Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Weather Evaluation Team (WET) -- Past and Planned Weather Integration Efforts with Convective Forecasts
Thomas H. Fahey III, Delta Air Lines, Atlanta, GA; and M. Fronzak, J. Huhn, K. Johnston, T. Lloyd, D. Meyer, and M. P. Murphy

  2:30 PM
3.5
  2:45 PM
3.6
The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): A bridge between weather and ATM weather integration
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine, M. A. Petty, C. Grzywinski, and J. L. Vavra

Recording files available
3
Meteorological Incident Support in 2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
Communicating Weather during the 2010 Winter Games in Vancouver
David Jones, Environment Canada , Vancouver, BC, Canada

  1:45 PM
3.2
2010 Wintertime Ozone in Utah’s Uinta Basin
Scott A. Jackson, EPA, Denver, CO; and R. Payton and P. Reddy

  2:45 PM
3.5
Rapid Deployment Upper Air Observations for Incident Meteorological Support
Don Conlee, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. N. Seroka, D. M. Delao, and K. Prochazka

Recording files available
3
Sensors and Algorithm Development
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: Timothy J. Schmit, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin; Heather Kilcoyne, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
  1:45 PM
3.2
DWSS Microwave Instrument
Ibrahim Awwad, Space and Missile Systems Center, El Segundo, CA; and D. Kunkee and C. D. Reimer

  2:00 PM
3.3
GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG)
Mitch Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Daniels, W. Wolf, L. Rokke, Z. Cheng, and K. H. Lowe

  2:45 PM
3.5
Recording files available
4
NASA Earth Science Research and the Study of Public Health Applications through Remote Sensing
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Organizer: Sue M. Estes, NASA
Cochairs: John A. Haynes, NASA; Sue M. Estes, NASA

Papers:
  1:45 PM
Introductory Remarks

  2:00 PM
4.2
Modeling the spatial patterns of PM2.5 in Georgia with satellite remote sensing and meteorological information
Yang Liu, Emory University, Atlanta, GA; and D. A. Quattrochi, W. L. Crosson, M. Al-Hamdan, M. G. Estes Jr., S. M. Estes, J. Sarnat, M. Klein, J. R. Qualters, P. Garbe, H. Flowers, and A. Vaidyanathan

  2:15 PM
4.3
Integration of Dust Prediction Systems and Vegetation Phenology to Track Pollen for Asthma Alerts in Public Health
Jeffrey C. Luvall, MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Sprigg, A. Huete, S. Nickovic, G. Pejanovic, E. Levetin, P. Van de water, O. Myers, A. M. Budge, H. Krapfl, and T. M. Crimmins

  2:30 PM
4.4
Characterizing extreme heat events in the Southwestern U.S. in support of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Climate Change Module
William L. Crosson, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and M. Al-Hamdan, M. G. Estes Jr., S. M. Estes, H. Flowers, S. Hemmings, J. R. Qualters, and G. Wade

  2:45 PM
4.5
Improving Heat Warning Systems with Remotely Sensed Data
Daniel Patrick Johnson, Indiana University at Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN

Recording files available
5
Data Stewardship: Metastandards and Policy
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Nazila Merati, PMEL and JISAO; Gene Major, Library Associates, NASA/GSFC Library

Papers:
  1:45 PM
5.2
  2:00 PM
5.3
Data Conservancy: Designing Services for Data Curation Stewardship, and Re-use
Mary Marlino, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Davis, K. Kelly, and P. Romero-Lankao

  2:15 PM
5.4
NSIDC Data Stewardship Processes and Directions
Mark C. Serreze, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Parsons, F. Fetterer, R. L. S. Weaver, and R. Duerr

  2:30 PM
5.6
A suite of international standards for the unambiguous transfer of geophysical data
Louis A. Hembree Jr., NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Cox and F. Mamaghani

  2:45 PM
5.5
A standard dictionary for environmental terminology
Louis A. Hembree Jr., NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Cox and F. Mamaghani

Recording files available
5B
Weather and Climate Modelling I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State Univ.

Papers:
 
5B.1
Understanding ENSO Regime Behavior under the Increase of Warm-pool Temperature using a Simple ENSO Model

  2:00 PM
Engineering with stratospheric aerosols to avoid climate emergencies
Kelly E. McCusker, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and C. M. Bitz

  2:15 PM
  2:30 PM
Simulation of Sensitivity of semi-arid climate to global warming
Xiaodan Guan, Lanzhou University, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang and J. Huang

Recording files available
6
New Data Sources and Products
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: W. Kent Tobiska, Utah State Univ.; Richard Clark, Millersville Univ.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
  1:45 PM
6.2
Coherent thermospheric dynamic and electrodynamic response to stratospheric warmings
Tim Fuller-Rowell, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Akmaev, H. Wang, F. Wu, T. W. Fang, and M. V. Codrescu

  2:00 PM
6.3
  2:15 PM
6.4
Observations of the Ionosphere and Thermosphere from the Special Sensor Ultraviolet Limb Imager (SSULI)
Clayton Coker, NRL, Washington, DC; and A. W. Stephan, K. F. Dymond, A. C. Nicholas, S. A. Budzien, P. B. Dandenault, S. E. McDonald, D. Chua, D. P. Drob, J. T. Emmert, and K. A. Roach

  2:30 PM
6.5
Untangling daytime ionospheric remote sensing: RAIDS contributions to solving an old problem
Andrew W. Stephan, NRL, Washington, DC; and L. Cashman, R. L. Bishop, S. A. Budzien, A. B. Christensen, S. Chakrabarti, J. H. Hecht, and P. R. Straus

  2:45 PM
6.6
Integrating the Sun-Earth System for the Operational Environment: A study of the 3–5 April 2010 geomagnetic storm
Sarah E. McDonald, NRL, Washington, DC; and J. Lean, J. Krall, J. D. Huba, G. Joyce, C. C. Wu, B. Wood, J. A. Fedder, A. W. Stephan, S. A. Budzien, D. H. Chua, C. Coker, J. Emmert, D. Drob, R. R. Meier, J. M. Picone, Y. M. Wang, K. A. Zawdie, S. P. Plunkett, R. A. Howard, J. Chen, P. A. Bernhardt, C. L. Siefring, A. Rouillard, K. F. Dymond, and R. L. Bishop

Recording files available
6
Recent Advances in Lightning Technology and Transfer of that Technology from Research to Operations II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Richard E. Orville, Texas A&M University

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
A network for real-time lightning impulse charge moment change measurements
Steven A. Cummer, Duke University, Durham, NC; and W. A. Lyons and T. E. Nelson

  2:00 PM
6.2
A Lightning Mapping Array for West Texas: Deployment and Research Plans
Eric C. Bruning, Texas Tech Univ, Lubbock, TX; and N. Y. Wang, R. I. Albrecht, and K. Gopalan

  2:30 PM
6.3
Lightning Mapping Arrays - current status and recent results
William Rison, New Mexico Tech; and P. Krehbiel, H. Edens, S. Hunyady, G. Aulich, and R. Thomas

  2:45 PM
6.4
A New Lightning Instrumentation System for Pad 39B at the Kennedy Space Center, Florida
Carlos T. Mata, ASRC Aerospace, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and V. A. Rakov

Recording files available
6A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty III: Post Processing
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Craig H. Bishop, NRL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Australian approaches to probabilistic precipitation forecasting
Michael Foley, Bureau of Meteorology, Darwin, Australia; and S. Cooper, P. Riley, E. Morgan, and J. Bally

  1:45 PM
Simple- and modified-poor man's QPF ensembles, and a neural network approach
Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and V. M. Krasnopolsky

Manuscript (943.6 kB) Poster PDF (1.6 MB)
 
6A.3
PAPER WITHDRAWN

  2:00 PM
Impact of linear variance calibration on ensemble wind variance in atmospheric transport and dispersion forecasts
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt, R. I. Sykes, R. Long, and A. Deng

  2:15 PM
Ensemble Postprocessing for Weather Trajectories
Tilmann Gneiting, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

  2:30 PM
Probabilistic visibility forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. M. Chmielecki

  2:45 PM
Impact of Spatial Bias Correction and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging Over the Northeast United States
Michael J. Erickson, SUNY/Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, J. Pollina, and J. J. Charney

Recording files available
6B
Forecast Center Overviews II
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL

Papers:
  2:00 PM
  2:30 PM
National unified operational prediction capability: progress and national research initiatives
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD; and D. McCarran and S. A. Sandgathe

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Modeling Studies On Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions—Part I
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Philip Rasch, PNNL; Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
  2:00 PM
The role of small soluble aerosols in the microphysics of deep maritime clouds
Alexander P. Khain, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and V. Phillips and A. Pokrovsky

  2:15 PM
  2:45 PM
Impact of Future Climate and Emission on Climate-Air Quality Interactions
Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Chen and T. Glotfelty

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Using SMOS to study the Mississippi River basin water budget
Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and T. W. Collow

  1:45 PM
Hydrology in the air: the influence of irrigation in India on the atmospheric branch of the water cycle
Obbe Tuinenburg, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, Netherlands; and R. Hutjes

  2:00 PM
Uncertainty in Analyzed Water and Energy Budgets at Continental Scales
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson, D. Mocko, and J. Chen

  2:15 PM
Water balance over oceans observed from satellites
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie

  2:30 PM
  2:45 PM
How realistic is precipitation over the western U.S. and Mexico in IPCC AR4 GCMs?
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois , Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Information System Technologies for Communication and Interpretation of Satellite Data
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); and the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems )
Cochairs: Gerald J. Dittberner, Harris Corporation; Dongsoo Kim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Transition of GOES Enterprise Managed System (GEMS) to Operations
Subir Vasanth, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and A. Agarwal, R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie

  1:45 PM
Consolidating GOES analysis workstations using virtualization and Thin-Client technology
Subir Vasanth, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and A. Agarwal, R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie

  2:00 PM
An Enterprise Backup Solution for GOES Operations Ground Equipment (OGE) and Space Support Ground System (SSGS)
Abhishek Agarwal, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie

  2:15 PM
An Enterprise Backup Solution for the Ocean Surface Topography (OSTM)/Jason-2 Mission
Abhishek Agarwal, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie

  2:30 PM
TRMM Data Service Update
Zhong Liu, George Mason University/CSISS, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga and G. Leptoukh

Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Communication: Focus on Climate Change, Technology, and Uncertainty
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, American Meteorological Society; Betsy Bach, National Communication Association

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Impacts of Media Frames and Values on Climate Change Perceptions
Susanna Priest, Unversity of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV; and T. Greenhalgh and G. R. Young

  1:45 PM
Overcoming climate skepticism in the schools: using games to communicate climate change mitigation options
Andrea M. Feldpausch-Parker, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and T. R. Peterson, D. E. Endres, and M. O'Byrne

  2:30 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Joint Session 21
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications III
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Development and applications of land data assimilation systems for China [INVITED]
Kun Yang, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Qin, L. Zhao, and Y. Chen

  1:45 PM
ECMWF land surface analysis
Patricia de Rosnay, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and G. Balsamo, L. Isaksen, J. Muñoz Sabater, M. Drusch, K. Scipal, C. Albergel, J. C. Calvet, and R. Essery

  2:00 PM
Plans and tests for the operational implementation of the new Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS)
Stephane Belair, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and M. Carrera, B. Bilodeau, S. J. Solomon, C. Derksen, L. Wang, and S. Leroyer

 
J21.4
Land Data Assimilation in the Arctic System Reanalysis

  2:15 PM
Improving operational streamflow via remotely sensed microwave radiance data
Caleb Matthew DeChant, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and H. Moradkhani

  2:30 PM
Comparison of Modeled and SMOS-Observed Surface Soil Moisture Estimates in Preparation for the SMAP L4_SM Assimilation Product
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, W. T. Crow, R. D. Koster, J. Kimball, and Q. Liu

  2:45 PM
The land data assimilation system in the NOAA Climate Forecast System Reanalysis
Jesse Meng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Yang, H. Wei, M. Ek, Y. Xia, and K. E. Mitchell

1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Assimilation of observations into models: Atmosphere III
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: Patricia M. Pauley, NRL; Richard E. Peterson, Texas Tech University

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Diagnostic analysis of short-term hurricane vortex evolution in high-resolution ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation
Tomislava Vukicevic, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, K. Sellwood, P. Reasor, S. Gopalakrishnan, L. Bucci, S. Aberson, and F. Marks

  2:15 PM
NOAA/AOML/HRD's Hurricane Ensemble Data Assimilation System (HEDAS): A comparative analysis of a Hurricane Paloma (2008) case using simulated vs. real vortex-scale aircraft observations
Altug Aksoy, University of Miami/CIMAS and NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Lorsolo, T. Vukicevic, K. Sellwood, P. Reasor, and S. D. Aberson

  2:30 PM
NOAA/AOML/HRD's Hurricane Ensemble Data Assimilation System (HEDAS), results of semi-operational implementation during the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season
Kathryn Sellwood, University of Miami/CIMAS and NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, T. Vukicevic, S. Aberson, and S. Lorsolo

  3:00 PM
Data Assimilation Experiments of an Antarctic Cyclone Using WRF 4DVAR
Qingnong Xiao, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL; and K. Chu

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Coffee Break


Meet the President
Location: 601 (Washington State Convention Center)

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
2
Reconstructing Extreme Events from Unusual Sources
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth History Symposium
Speakers: G. W. K. Moore, University of Toronto; Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University

Papers:
  3:30 PM
2.1
The Great Hurricane: The story of how 22,000 souls were lost in a single tempest
Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and J. S. M. Coleman

 
2.2
Global warming, El Nino and Mount Everest. Consequences for mountaineers caught in high impact weather then and now

Recording files available
4
Meeting Aviation Weather Requirements (Continued)
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Matthias Steiner, NCAR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
4.1
Integration of current weather systems for NextGen Aviation Weather
Robert Stamm, Raytheon Company, Marlborough, MA; and R. W. Bowne, S. Badstuebner, P. Ackroyd, T. M. Raglin, and J. Wegiel

3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
3
Understanding and Predicting Changes in Stratospheric Ozone
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Paul A. Newman, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  3:30 PM
3.1
Ozone layer science and its assessments
A. R. Ravishankara, NOAA/ESRL/CSD, Boulder, CO

  4:00 PM
3.2
Attribution of observed changes in stratospheric ozone and temperature
Nathan P. Gillett, EC, Victoria, BC, Canada; and H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, V. Eyring, R. Garcia, C. McLinden, A. Y. Karpechko, D. A. Plummer, E. Rozanov, J. F. Scinocca, and K. Shibata

  4:15 PM
3.3

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Assimilation of observations into models: Advanced methods
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: Chris Snyder, NCAR; Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC

Papers:
  3:30 PM
TOWARD THE ASSIMILATION OF IMAGES
Francois-Xavier Le Dimet, INRIA, Grenoble, France

  3:45 PM
On the Gaussian approach to adaptive covariance inflation
Takemasa Miyoshi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

  4:15 PM
A kernel-density based ensemble filter applicable to high-dimensional systems
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA / ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker

  4:45 PM
Bias correction using analysis increments within an ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation
Ji-Sun Kang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay and T. Miyoshi

  5:00 PM
Spectral and morphing ensemble Kalman filters
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley and L. Cobb

http://ccm.ucdenver.edu/wiki/Osimorph

Manuscript (2.9 MB)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
3
Fourth annual AMS Artificial Intelligence forecasting contest: methods and results
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Cochairs: Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL; Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ.

Papers:
  3:30 PM
3.1
The 4th annual AMS Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Contest
Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Haupt, A. Pelliccioni, and J. K. Williams

  3:45 PM
3.2
AI Forecasting Contest - Presenter I
Xiaolei Yan, University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK

  4:00 PM
3.3
AI Forecasting Contest - Presenter II
Aaron Johnston, University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK

  4:15 PM
3.4
Hidden Markov Model with Multivariate Normal Emissions Applied to Ozone Emission Data
Jeremy Troisi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. Rounds

  4:30 PM
3.5
Support vector regression with hyper-parameters found using genetic algorithm and predictors screened using partial mutual information
Johannes Jenkner, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh

Recording files available
3
University Educational Initiatives
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Lourdes B. Avilés, Plymouth State Univ.; Laura Furgione, NOAA

Papers:
  3:30 PM
3.1
Eloquent Science: A course to improve scientific and communication skills
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland

  3:45 PM
3.2
A Newton story: overcoming barriers to communicating science to the public
Kimberly Del Bright, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. M. Nese and J. L. Evans

  4:00 PM
3.3
  4:15 PM
3.4
NASA Space Grant successes with meteorology students at Plymouth State University
James P. Koermer, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and W. P. Roeder

  4:30 PM
3.5
Bridging the gap: Hands-on learning through radiosonde launches
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and K. H. Goebbert, R. Evaristo, A. Stepanek, C. A. Clark, and B. J. Wolf

  4:45 PM
3.6
AMS introductory college-level courses: A hands-on exploration of the dynamic Earth system
James A. Brey, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and I. W. Geer, J. M. Moran, R. S. Weinbeck, E. W. Mills, B. A. Blair, E. J. Hopkins, K. L. O'Neill, H. R. Hyre, K. A. Nugnes, and M. N. Moses

http://www.ametsoc.org/amsedu/

  5:00 PM
3.7
Recording files available
4
2010 US Weather Impacts
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  3:30 PM
4.1
  3:45 PM
4.2
East Coast Heat Wave
Jason Samenow, Washington Post, Washington, DC

  4:00 PM
4.3
Record Floods of Greater Nashville, May 1 - 3, 2010
Jane Hollingsworth, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV; and A. W. Wood

  4:15 PM
4.4
Aviation Weather Impacts in 2010
Bob Maxson, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

  4:30 PM
4.5
El Nino Impacts: Winter 2009-2010
Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

  4:45 PM
4.6
A Review of the Active Winter Season of 2009-2010
Christopher Hedge, NOAA/NWS/HPC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. E. Hoke

  5:00 PM
4.7
U.S. Tropical Cyclones of 2010
Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL

  5:15 PM
4.8
Recording files available
4
Expected Operational Improvements from Future Sensors
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: Michael W. Johnson, NOAA/NWS; Bruce Guenther, JPSS Program Office

Papers:
  3:30 PM
4.1
NWS preparation for future satellite systems
Michael W. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and K. Schrab, J. Heil, B. Sjoberg, B. Campbell, and B. Reed

  3:45 PM
4.2
GOES-R overview of aviation algorithms and applications
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. L. Pryor, M. J. Pavolonis, K. Bedka, A. Wimmers, W. L. Smith Jr., B. Pierce, J. R. Mecikalski, and W. M. MacKenzie Jr.

  4:00 PM
4.3
GOES Land Line Data Distribution - Present and Future
Thomas M. Renkevens, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Lawrence

  4:15 PM
4.4
  4:30 PM
4.5
Improvements to Ozone measurements Expected from the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite for Weather and Climate
M. Caponi, NPOESS Integrated Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and L. E. Flynn, J. Hornstein, C. Long, and D. F. Rault

  4:45 PM
4.6
  5:00 PM
4.7
  5:15 PM
4.8
Space Situational Awareness Environmental Monitoring (SSAEM)
Donald J. Boucher, The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA

Recording files available
6
Progress in Estimating Land Surface Evaporation
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  3:30 PM
6.1
The LandFlux-EVAL Initiative [INVITED]
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Jimenez, B. Mueller, C. Kummerow, M. McCabe, W. B. Rossow, G. Balsamo, P. Ciais, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. B. Fisher, R. H. Reichle, M. Reichstein, M. Rodell, K. Wang, and E. F. Wood

  3:45 PM
6.2
Analysis of multi-year global evapotranspiration datasets and IPCC AR4 model simulations
Brigitte Mueller, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. I. Seneviratne and C. Jimenez

  4:00 PM
6.3
An observational and reanalysis study of the water budget in the Amazon basin
Janice L. Bytheway, Science and Technology Corporation, Laporte, CO; and C. Kummerow

  4:15 PM
6.4
Land Surface Evaporation from Reanalysis and Modeling
Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Decker, K. Sakaguchi, Z. Wang, and M. Brunke

  4:30 PM
6.5
Developing a dual assimilation approach for thermal infrared and passive microwave soil moisture retrievals [INVITED]
Chris Hain, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and W. T. Crow, M. C. Anderson, and J. R. Mecikalski

  4:45 PM
6.6
Temperature-driven PET projections
Laura S. Harrison, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and E. Tarnavsky, C. C. Funk, J. Michaelsen, M. Brown, and M. T. Marshall

  5:00 PM
6.7
Improvements and Evaluations of the MODIS Global Evapotranspiration Algorithm
Qiaozhen Mu, University of Montana, Missoula, MT; and M. Zhao and S. W. Running

  5:15 PM
6.8
Estimating irrigation use and improving water resources management using energy balance (METRIC) estimates of evapotranspiration
Timothy C. Martin, Riverside Technology, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and R. Allen, J. Kjaersgaard, and A. Nevo

Recording files available
6A
Mapping, Web Applications, and Social Media for Improved Communication of Weather and Climate Data
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Nazila Merati, PMEL and JISAO; Ken R. Waters, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  3:45 PM
Social media and The Weather Channel
Timothy D. Ballisty, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/snow-in-las-vegas_2011-01-03

  4:00 PM
Preparing and communicating forecasts of high-impact weather information using GIS and mashup technologies
Jack Settelmaier, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX

http://innovation.srh.noaa.gov/swan/swanloop.php?sid=srh

  4:15 PM
A cooperative pilot project on weather and emergency management decision support
Jessica L. Losego, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and B. E. Montz, S. S. Schotz, E. Mandel, K. Galluppi, B. J. Etherton, W. F. Roberts, and G. Austin

  4:30 PM
Online real-time information on local jobs affected by hurricanes
Jeremy S. Wu, U.S. Census Bureau, Suitland, MD; and C. D. Flannery, G. O. Walker, R. K. Pitts, and C. F. Anderson

  4:45 PM
LarvaMap— particles in the (compute) cloud
Tiffany C. Vance, NOAA, Seattle, WA; and S. Cross and E. Howlett

  5:00 PM
Regional snowfall impact scale
Michael F. Squires, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, R. R. Heim Jr., D. A. Robinson, M. R. Gerbush, T. W. Estilow, L. Ross, and C. Tabor

Recording files available
6A
Special session on WCRP Projects
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Tony J. Busalacchi, Univ. of Maryland

Papers:
  3:30 PM
CLIVAR: future plans and priorities
Jim Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Visbeck, H. Cattle, and R. Molinari

  4:00 PM
The new GEWEX
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO

http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/trenbert.html

  4:30 PM
The Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) Project
Konrad Steffen, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. Yang

  4:45 PM
The SPARC Project: Analysis and modeling of climate variability and change in the stratosphere
N. McFarlane, SPARC International Project Office, Toronto, ON, Canada; and T. G. Shepherd and T. Peter

  5:00 PM
Panel Discussion

  5:15 PM
WCRP_osc
Jim Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO

  5:30 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
6B
Data Stewardship: Data Archives
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Ted L. Tsui, NRL; Steven Worley, NCAR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Successful data curation practices for large data archives
Joseph L. Comeaux, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Worley

  4:00 PM
Field campaign atmospheric sounding legacy data sets
Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson and S. Williams

  4:15 PM
The Arctic Observing Network and its Data Management Challenges: Three Years On
Florence Fetterer, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Moore

  4:30 PM
Freeing polar data in an information commons
Mark A. Parsons, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO; and R. Duerr and R. Chen

  4:45 PM
Creating the Long-Term T-28 Instrumented Research Aircraft Data Archive
Andrew Detwiler, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and J. Scannell, D. Kliche, and S. Williams

http://www.eol.ucar.edu/projects/t28/

  5:00 PM
Data management and archive activities at NCAR's Earth Observing Laboratory
Steve Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Cully, S. Loehrer, J. Aquino, and D. Stott

  5:15 PM
The Research Data Archive at NCAR
Douglas Schuster, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Worley

Recording files available
6B
US Climate Data
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Climate Perspectives: A new tool for assessing the state of the climate across the southeastern U.S. 
Charles E. Konrad, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and R. Boyles, J. McGuire, and W. Schmitz

  4:00 PM
Analysis of extratropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere using the NOAA historical reanalysis
Scott Applequist, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, and G. P. Compo

  4:15 PM
Comparison of the NCDC sea surface temperature datasets: ERSST and OISST
Chunying Liu, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and R. W. Reynolds, T. Smith, and P. V. Banzon

  4:45 PM
Assessing structural uncertainty in the U.S. Historical Climatology Version 2 adjusted temperature records
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Williams Jr. and P. Thorne

  5:00 PM
An analysis of Atlantic hurricane seasons in the Pre-HURDAT era (1751–1850)
Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and J. S. M. Coleman

Recording files available
7
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty IV: Short-range Ensemble Forecasting
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney, UCAR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
7.1
Challenges to ensemble system design for Warn-on-Forecast
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf and D. M. Wheatley

  3:45 PM
7.2
Evaluation of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts of extreme rainfall associated with a mesoscale vortex
Russ S. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. J. Clark, M. Xue, and F. Kong

  4:00 PM
7.3
The performance of high-resolution WRF ensemble QPF during heavy winter precipitation events in California
Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, I. Jankov, H. Yuan, J. H. Gotway, and P. Oldenburg

  4:15 PM
7.4
NCAR ensemble RTFDDA: real-time operational forecasting applications and new data assimilation developments
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Warner, S. Swerdlin, T. Betancourt, J. Knievel, B. Mahoney, J. Pace, D. Rostkier-Edelstein, N. A. Jacobs, P. Childs, and K. Parks

  4:45 PM
7.6
NCEP activities in very-short range and high resolution ensemble prediction
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Zhou, M. Pyle, D. Jovic, G. DiMego, and G. Manikin

  5:00 PM
7.7
NCEP model guidance for the 2009–0 mid-Atlantic snowfest
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

  5:15 PM
7.8
The global ensemble prediction system(GEPS) and regional ensemble prediction system (REPS) at CMA and its application in monsoon season
Jing Chen, Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and H. Tian, G. Deng, X. Li, J. Gong, Y. Li, X. Wang, and J. Hu

Recording files available
7
General Space Weather Contributions
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: W. Dean Pesnell, NASA; Jennifer Meehan, Utah State Univ.

Papers:
  3:30 PM
7.1
Upper Atmosphere and Space Weather Education
C. Russell Philbrick, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC

  3:45 PM
7.2
Global geospace imaging for operational space weather monitoring
Damien H. Chua, NRL, Washington, DC; and D. G. Socker, S. Slinker, R. R. Meier, C. R. Englert, B. Wood, J. D. Huba, and J. Krall

  4:00 PM
7.3
  4:15 PM
7.4
How Astrophysics Noise Paves the Way for Improved Space Weather Forecasting
Michael R. Collier, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. G. Sibeck, F. S. Porter, J. L. Burch, J. A. Carter, T. Cravens, K. Kuntz, N. Omidi, A. Read, I. Robertson, S. Sembay, and S. L. Snowden

  4:45 PM
7.6
Radio Aurora Explorer: Investigating ionospheric turbulence response to magnetospheric forcing
Hasan Bahcivan, SRI International, Menlo Park, CA; and J. Cutler

  5:00 PM
7.7
A Baseline Space Weather Forecast Capability
Shawn Young, AFRL, Kirtland AFB, New Mexico; and C. N. Arge and J. C. Johnston

  5:15 PM
7.8
Space weather product generation transition from SWPC to NESDIS
Arthur T. McClinton Jr., Noblis, Falls Church, VA; and K. Mckenzie, S. Hill, A. Booth, and P. Yu

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Modeling Studies On Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions—Part II
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Mark Z. Jacobson, Stanford University; Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington

Papers:
  4:00 PM
The aerosol indirect effect of cloud droplet sedimentation through stratocumulus entrainment
Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Park

  4:15 PM
Simulation of boundary layer clouds with double-moment microphysics and microphysics-oriented subgrid-scale modeling
Dorota Jarecka, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland; and W. W. Grabowski, H. Morrison, and H. Pawlowska

  4:30 PM
Aerosol Impacts on Clouds and Regional Climate in Southeast of China– Results from Bin and Bulk Microphysics
Jiwen Fan, PNNL, Richland, WA; and R. Leung, Z. Li, H. Morrison, Y. Qian, and H. Chen

  4:45 PM
Impact of aerosols on the microphysical processes within a seeder-feeder orographic cloud environment
Stephen M. Saleeby, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and D. Lowenthal

  5:00 PM
Aerosol Effects on Cirrus Clouds and Climate in NCAR CAM5: Impacts of Heterogeneous Ice Nuclei
Xiaohong Liu, PNNL, Richland, WA; and X. Shi, D. Barahona, A. Nenes, E. J. Jensen, and A. Gettelman

  5:15 PM
Land use change impact on aerosols and clouds in southwest Australia
Udaysankar S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. Junkermann, T. J. Lyons, J. Hacker, Y. Wu, and J. Kala

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Understanding Lightning’s Role in Atmospheric Chemistry
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Chair: Kenneth E. Pickering, NASA/GSFC/Univ. of Maryland

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Lightning-produced NOx in the tropics: Results from TROCCINOX, SCOUT-O3 and AMMA, and recommendations for future LNOx parameterizations
H. Huntrieser, Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; and H. Schlager, U. Schumann, M. Lichtenstern, A. Roiger, P. Stock, H. Höller, K. Schmidt, and H. -. D. Betz

  4:45 PM
The Lightning Nitrogen Oxides Model (LNOM): status and recent applications
William Koshak, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. Khan, H. Peterson, L. Wang, and A. P. Biazar

  5:00 PM
Application of a New Lightning-NOx Parameterization in a Hector Thunderstorm Cloud/Chemistry Simulation
Kristin A. Cummings, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. E. Pickering, M. C. Barth, T. Huntemann, W. C. Skamarock, G. Vaughan, A. Volz-Thomas, H. Schlager, and H. Höller

  5:15 PM
Impact of lightning-NO emissions on summertime U.S. photochemistry as determined using the CMAQ model with NLDN-constrained flash rates
Dale Allen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. E. Pickering, R. Pinder, W. Koshak, T. Pierce, and K. W. Appel

Recording files available
Joint Session 13
Communicating Uncertainty
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Julie L. Demuth, NCAR; Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Expressing forecast uncertainty: NOAA/NWS progress report
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

  3:45 PM
 
J13.5
Communicating Ensemble Forecasts to Non-Experts: Reflection on a European Experience

  5:00 PM
The Effects of the Use of Uncertainty Estimates on Weather-Related Decision-Making
Jared E. LeClerc, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Joslyn

  5:15 PM
Gaps in Communicating Weather and Climate Uncertainty in Near Term Water Resources Management
Jade Soddell, US Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. P. Giovannettone and J. R. Prairie

Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Improving communications between the research and operational communities, including HFIP
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges )
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah

Papers:
  3:30 PM
The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: Accomplishments, Lessons Learned, and Challenges
Robert L. Gall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Toepfer, F. Marks, and E. Rappaport

  3:45 PM
The HFIP high resolution hurricane forecast test
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Bernardet, S. Bao, B. G. Brown, L. Carson, T. L. Fowler, J. Halley Gotway, C. W. Harrop, E. J. Szoke, E. I. Tollerud, J. Wolff, and H. Yuan

  4:00 PM
Application of COAMPS-TC for HFIP
James Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur, S. Chen, J. Cummings, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, C. S. Liou, J. R. Moskaitis, M. Peng, K. D. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang

  5:00 PM
Advancing the national ensemble prediction system capability
Anthony Eckel, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Hilderbrand

  5:15 PM
Collaborative efforts by the atmospheric research and operations communities for improving a thunderstorm nowcasting system
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Roberts, M. R. Volkmer, and D. W. Sharp

3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
4
Lidar Networks, Long-term Climate Observations, Automated Operational Lidars
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Thierry Leblanc, JPL; David M. Sonnenfroh, Physical Sciences Inc.

Papers:
  3:30 PM
4.1
  3:45 PM
4.2
Long-Term Evaluation of Raman Lidar Temperature Profiles
Rob K. Newsom, PNNL, Richland, WA; and D. D. Turner

  4:00 PM
4.3
Characterizing urban boundary layer dynamics using radar, lidar, sodar, surface observations and predictions from numerical models
Mark Arend, City College of New York, New York, NY; and E. Gutierrez, B. Madhavan, C. M. Gan, S. Abdelazim, B. Gross, D. Santoro, F. Moshary, J. Gonzalez, and S. Ahmed

  4:15 PM
4.4
Comparison of wind measurements at the Howard University Beltsville Research Campus
Kevin Vermeesch, SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Gentry, G. J. Koch, M. Boquet, H. Chen, U. Singh, B. B. Demoz, and T. Bacha

  4:30 PM
4.5
Shareware lidar: an entry level network system to enable boundary layer and cloud studies for the lower troposphere
Timothy A. Berkoff, GEST/Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Compton, P. Sawamura, J. Campbell, E. J. Welton, and R. M. Hoff

  5:00 PM
4.7
Formation and climatology of tropical mid-level clouds at Darwin, Australia
Laura D. Riihimaki, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane and J. M. Comstock

  5:15 PM
4.8
Measurements Of Humidity in the Atmosphere and Validation Experiments (MOHAVE) 2009: Campaign Review
Thierry Leblanc, JPL, Wrightwood, CA; and I. S. McDermid, D. Hurst, L. Miloshevich, H. Vomel, D. N. Whiteman, T. J. McGee, S. I. Gutman, G. E. Nedoluha, N. Kampfer, C. Straub, L. Twigg, G. Toon, T. D. Walsh, J. J. Braun, and B. Haines

  5:30 PM
4.9
Optical Autocovariance Wind Lidar (OAWL): A New Approach to Direct-Detection Doppler Wind Profiling
Christian Grund, Ball Aerospace & Technologies Corp., Boulder, CO; and S. C. Tucker

Recording files available
5
Heat and Human Health
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Chair: Glenn Russell McGregor, Univ. of Auckland

Papers:
  3:30 PM
5.1
The development of Accumulated Heat Stress Index (AHSI) based on the time-weighted function
Hi-Ryong Byun, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; and J. S. Lee and S. M. Lee

  3:45 PM
5.2
Assessing regional characteristics of heat waves in the US
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY

  4:00 PM
5.3
Hyperthermia deaths in football players: a retrospective analysis of meteorological, temporal and demographic risk factors
Myron Thomas Petro, University Of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. J. Grundstein, C. Ramseyer, F. Zhao, J. L. Pesses, P. Akers, A. Qureshi, L. Becker, and J. A. Knox

  4:15 PM
5.4
Heat-related morbidity in North Carolina: Who's at risk?
Christopher M. Fuhrmann, NOAA's Southeast Regional Climate Center, Chapel Hill, NC; and M. Kovach, C. E. Konrad, D. J. Perkins, and D. B. Richardson

 
5.5
Communicating weather health risks to at risk groups - a public health challenge

  4:45 PM
5.6
Heat health risk awareness and responses among vulnerable urban residents: a Phoenix case study
Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, H. Brenkert-Smith, S. L. Harlan, K. Komatsu, S. Santana, and D. Pauzauskie

  5:00 PM
5.7
Utilizing GIS Technology to Address Heat Wave Morbidity
Jennifer L. Kwan, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, CA; and H. Margolis, E. Roberts, G. King, P. English, and A. Gershunov

  5:15 PM
5.8
Impact assessment of human health and energy consumption caused by urban climate change
Tomohiko Ihara, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and H. Kusaka, T. Takata, M. Hara, and Y. Genchi

  5:30 PM
5.9
The development of a vulnerability index for communicating heat risk information
Glenn Russell McGregor, Univ. of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; and T. Wolf

4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
3
Connections between Atmosphere and Social Organization
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth History Symposium
Speakers: Alan E. Stewart, Univ. of Georgia; Richard C. J. Somerville, SIO/Univ. Of California

Papers:
  4:15 PM
3.2
The co-evolution of climate models and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Richard C. J. Somerville, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA

http://www.cambridge.org/gb/knowledge/isbn/item5705280/?site_locale=en_GB

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Summary of Weather - ATM Integration Technology
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Panelists: William Chan, NASA; Mark Hopkins, Delta Airlines; Rafal Kicinger, Metron Aviation; James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory; Craig Wanke, The MITRE Corporation
Chair: David J. Pace, FAA

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Summary of Weather - ATM Integration Technology
Jimmy Krozel, Metron Aviation, Inc, Herndon, VA

  4:30 PM
Meeting NextGen weather ATM integration goals, a critique
John McCarthy, Aviation Weather Associates, Inc., Palm Desert, CA; and N. Stoer

  4:45 PM
Panel Discussion

4:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
4
Langley's Legacy: How NASA Has Measured the Sky
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: Ninth History Symposium
Speakers: G. Louis Smith, LRC; Ellis Remsberg, NASA Langley Research Center

Papers:
  4:30 PM
4.1
Remote measurement of pollution--a 40-year retrospective: temperature and gaseous species
Ellis Remsberg, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and P. Rinsland, G. Gibson, and M. Ko

  4:45 PM
4.2
History of atmospheric sciences at Langley Research Center
G. Louis Smith, LRC, Hampton, VA; and R. DiPasquali and G. G. Gibson

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
4
Stratospheric Circulation Trends
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsor: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Natalia Calvo, NCAR

Papers:
  4:30 PM
4.1
Strengthening of the Brewer-Dobson Circulation since 1980
Qiang Fu, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. Lin, S. Solomon, and D. Hartmann

  5:00 PM
4.3
Long-Term Changes in Stratospheric Age Spectra in the 21st Century in GEOSCCM
Feng Li, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and A. R. Douglass, S. Pawson, D. Waugh, P. A. Newman, S. E. Strahan, and J. E. Nielsen

  5:15 PM
4.4

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Town Hall Meeting: Flipping the Switch: The Energy Complex Demystified
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Town Hall Meetings; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )

Weather is a critical driver for the consumption of electricity, natural gas, and heating oil in the United States. Meteorologists in academia, government, and the private weather enterprise all support decision makers across the full breadth of the energy complex. The economic impacts the these weather-related decisions are enormous. For example, U.S. electricity generators save upward of $160 million annually using 24-hour temperature forecasts to improve the mix of generating units that are available to meet electricity demand. Planning decisions for the production, transportation, and marketing of natural gas hinge upon temperature forecasts 1 week to 3 months ahead. The value of weather forecasts for the increased use and integration of weather-dependent renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, has also been recognized by the Department of Energy. Hundreds of meteorologists support the energy complex for commodity trading, infrastructure planning, and utility management in order to meet the nation’s demand to heat and cool our indoor environments. But how does it all actually work? What happens when you flip the switch? This panel of experts will describe how the energy complex functions. How does power flow? What is the nature of energy trading? How do fuel sources differ across various regions of the country? How do oil and natural gas get to your furnace? Answers to these basic questions then lead us to consider the rapid modernization of the energy complex. How will the "smart grid" affect energy planning? How is renewable energy changing the grid? And, of course, how does weather affect energy decision making? It is important within this context to note that the patchwork of regional energy entities and varying regional climate impacts further complicate the relationships between energy supply and weather-driven demand. The objective of this Town Hall Meeting is to provide the AMS community with a better understanding of the energy industry and then open a discussion on the major issues facing weather experts in the energy realm. We will discuss the ongoing and emerging challenges presented by weather and climate. We will conclude with an open forum focusing on two distinct questions for panelists and participants: 1) What do meteorologists need to know from the energy industry? and 2) What does the energy industry need to know from meteorologists? This Town Hall Meeting serves as an introduction to the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy as well as following up on Monday’s Town Hall Meeting discussion on renewable energy For additional information, please contact Stephen Bennett (tel: 858-246-0065; e-mail: stephenbennett@ucsd.edu).
Papers:
  6:00 PM
How does energy work?
Russell L. Bigley, Xcel Energy, Littleton, CO

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available

The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), which includes participants from 13 federal departments and agencies, coordinates and integrates federal research on changes in the global environment and their implications for society (information online at www.globalchange.gov). The program is currently in the process of a strategic reorientation to better address societal needs for climate science information. The program is evolving to support a mission “to build a knowledge base that informs human responses to climate and global change through coordinated and integrated federal programs of research, education, communication, and decision support.” As part of the strategic planning process, the USGCRP is interacting with a variety of stakeholder groups to gain input on specific climate science needs, so that USGCRP can adapt the program to better understand and address the challenges and opportunities of climate variability and change. In addition, a new approach to the National Climate Assessment (NCA) is under way. The NCA is focused on developing climate-related information that is useful in supporting adaptation and mitigation decisions, as well as providing a platform for climate services and highlighting significant gaps in our current state of knowledge. The NCA will also provide integrated analyses of impacts and vulnerability, and help evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation and adaptation activities. NCA staff are currently developing regional and sectoral networks of scientists, practitioners, policy makers, and other stakeholders who will serve as the backbone for not only the 2013 NCA report, but also for the expanded vision of an ongoing and sustained assessment process. At this Town Hall Meeting, the new USGCRP leadership and NCA staff will provide an update on the new strategic directions for the program and the sustained assessment process, as well as engaging in dialogue with attendees to gather input and feedback on the restructuring of USGCRP and the progress of the NCA. For additional information, please contact Tanya Maslak (tel: 202-288-1548; e-mail: tmaslak@usgcrp.gov)
Papers:
  6:00 PM
National Climate Assessment
Kathy Jacobs, U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC

7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


“Energizing” Happy Hour
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)