Tuesday, 24 January 2012: 5:15 PM
An Objective, Radar-Derived, Preliminary Hail Climatology for the Contiguous United States
Room 357 (New Orleans Convention Center )
John L. Cintineo, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith, V. Lakshmanan, and S. Ansari
The threat of damaging hail from severe thunderstorms affects many communities and industries on a yearly basis, as evidenced by annual economic losses in excess of 1 billion dollars. Past hail climatology typically relies on the National Climatic Data Center's
Storm Data, which has numerous reporting biases and non-meteorological artifacts. This research seeks to quantify the spatial and temporal characteristics of contiguous U.S. (CONUS) hail fall, derived from multi-radar multi-sensor (MRMS) algorithms for several years during the Next Generation Radar (NEXRAD) era.
The primary MRMS product used in this study is the maximum expected size of hail (MESH). The preliminary climatology includes several years of quality-controlled and re-processed MESH grids from the 2000's. The dataset has 0.01o x 0.01o x 31 vertical levels spatial resolution, and 5-minute temporal resolution. The radar-derived and reports-based methods of hail climatology are compared. It is argued that MRMS MESH has superior coverage and resolution over Storm Data hail reports, is largely unbiased, and illustrates some new characteristics of CONUS hail fall. Results of this research include confidence intervals of objective probabilities of hail size for given environments and storm modes, using a storm-typing decision tree algorithm, as well as the spatial character of those environments over the CONUS.
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