92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 10: Ensemble prediction


Cochairs:  Thomas M. Hopson; Barbara G. Brown and Eric Gilleland, NCAR
Papers:
 
Probabilistic Weather Predictions Based on Analog Forecasts
Luca Delle Monache, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Eckel, D. L. Rife, B. Nagarajan, and K. R. Searight

 
Determining the Value of Additional Models in Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction
Dan C. Collins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. A. Unger

 
Estimating the Accuracy of Error Variance Predictions: What Can Be Deduced From Data?
Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. H. Bishop and D. D. Kuhl

 
"Superparameterization" and Statistical Emulation in the Lorenz '96 System
Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

Manuscript (559.7 kB)
 
On the Efficiency of the Ensemble in Representing the Local Error Space
Istvan Szunyogh, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and E. A. Satterfield