3.2 AMS AI Contest For 2014: Predicting Solar Radiation Using Ensemble Reforecasts

Wednesday, 9 January 2013: 10:45 AM
Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Gagne II, T. M. Hamill, and J. B. Basara

The biennial AMS AI contest will next be held at the 2014 Annual AMS meeting. The focus will be on predicting solar energy using solar radiation measurements. The data used for prediction will NOAA's second-generation global ensemble reforecast data. The ESRL/PSD GEFS Reforecast Version 2 data has historical weather forecasts from 1985 onward and it can be viewed at: http://esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/ We will use surface observations of solar radiation from the Oklahoma Mesonet for the verification data. The full contest data will be available from the AMS AI contest website: http://ai.metr.ou.edu by January 2013. The deadline to submit to the contest will be Nov 1, 2013 with winners announced at the 2014 AMS Annual Meeting in the AI conference.
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