15.7
Predictability of the MJO: GCM and Surface Boundary Condition Sensitivity
PAPER WITHDRAWN
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena,, CA; and S. Liess, W. K. -. M. Lau, C. Jones, and S. D. Schubert
Our previous results (1,2) regarding the predictability of the MJO involved the use of the GLA/NASA AGCM using specified climatological SSTs and a rather simplistic method of generating initial condition perturbations. This presentation will describe results from a number of sensitivity tests that include the use of El Nino versus La Nina SST boundary conditions, a coupled slab mixed-layer formulation for the tropical oceans, as well as the use of the ECHAM AGCM in which breeding was used to generate initial condition perturbations.
Session 15, Climate Predictions on Seasonal to Interannual Time Scales: 2 (parallel with Joint Session 4)
Thursday, 13 January 2005, 1:30 PM-5:15 PM
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