16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

15.1

A connection between El Nino and Interdecadal Variability

Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and L. Matrosova

A dynamically-based filter is used to separate tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) into three components: the evolving El Nino signal, the global tropical trend, and the background. The components thus isolated are not indepen- dent. On the contrary, this procedure allows us to see the importance of the interdecadal signal is to the predicta- bility of El Nino. In this talk, we examine the temporal and geographical properties of interdecadal signals that affect the development of El Nino. .

Session 15, Climate Predictions on Seasonal to Interannual Time Scales: 2 (parallel with Joint Session 4)
Thursday, 13 January 2005, 1:30 PM-5:15 PM

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