AMS Forum: Living with a Limited Water Supply
16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

J6.7

Hydroclimatology of the North American Monsoon Region in Northwest Mexico

David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Brito-Castillo and W. J. Shuttleworth

The North American Monsoon (NAM) system controls the warm season climate over much of southwestern North America. Characterized as a semi-arid environment, understanding of the regional behavior of the hydroclimatology and its associated modes of variability is critically important to effectively predicting and managing perpetually-stressed regional water resources. This work explores the hydroclimatology of northwestern Mexico, i.e. the core region of the NAM, by developing a detailed hydroclimatology from 15, unregulated, headwater basins along the Sierra Madre Occidental mountains in western Mexico. The present work is distinct from previous studies as it focuses on the intra-seasonal evolution of rainfall-runoff relationships and contrasts the sub-regional behavior of the rainfall-runoff response. It is found that there is substantial sub-regional coherence in the hydrological response to monsoon precipitation. Three physically-plausible regions emerge from a rotated Principal Components Analysis of streamflow and basin-averaged precipitation. Month-to-month streamflow persistence, rainfall-runoff correlation scores and runoff coefficient values demonstrate regional coherence and are generally consistent with what is currently known about sub-regional aspects NAM precipitation character.

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Joint Session 6, the water cycle in arid lands (Joint with 16th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification and AMS Forum on Living with a Limited Water Supply)
Tuesday, 11 January 2005, 3:30 PM-5:30 PM

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