Extended Abstract (312K)4.1a
Towards eddy permitting estimates of the global-ocean and sea-ice circulations (Formerly Paper Number P3.32)
Dimitris Menemenlis, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. Hill, A. Adcroft, J. M. Campin, B. Cheng, I. Fukumori, T. Lee, M. Steele, O. Wang, and J. Zhang
Satellite and in-situ observations are now routinely combined with numerical models in order to estimate the time-evolving oceanic circulation and to address a wide variety of operational and research problems. For climate dynamics analysis, what is required is a synthesis of all available observations over the last several decades with the best possible numerical model. Rigorous low-resolution estimates of ocean circulation are already possible using the existing data base and modeling capability. But these low-resolution estimates lack the ability to resolve many small-scale oceanic processes, for example, flow over narrow sills, western boundary currents, regions of deep convection, and eddies, that are important both for climate studies and for operational applications. I will discuss four recent advances that bring rigorous eddy-permitting estimates of the global ocean and sea-ice circulations within reach: 1) the configuration of an efficient eddy-permitting global-ocean and sea-ice model that achieves a throughput approaching ten years of model integration per day of computation, 2) the demonstration that boundary conditions estimated at coarse resolution have some skill when applied to an eddy-permitting model, 3) the development of an inexpensive yet effective methodology for calibrating model parameters and for blending estimates from different solutions and data products, and 4) a hierarchical Kalman filter that can estimate model uncertainties commensurate with available degrees of freedom in observations and the model. This is a contribution of the consortium for Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) and of the Arctic Sea-ice Ocean Reanalysis (ASOR) project.
Supplementary URL: http://ecco.jpl.nasa.gov/cube_sphere/
Session 4, The Polar Oceans (Circulations)
Tuesday, 11 January 2005, 1:30 PM-2:30 PM
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