Implementation and evaluation of a continental US air quality forecast system
Donald T. Olerud Jr., Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, Raleigh, NC
Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC, executes a real-time experimental air quality forecast system. The system generates continental US (CONUS) 5-day air quality forecasts at 45-km resolution using both the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) and the Multiscale Air Quality Simulation Platform (MAQSIP-RT) models. The air quality forecasts are based on the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5) meteorological forecasts and Sparse-Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) emissions estimates. This paper examines operational issues and performance evaluation of both models for portions of 2005. Ozone performance will be evaluated for both models, and fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) will be evaluated for CMAQ.
Preliminary results indicate that CMAQ generally underestimates daily peak 1-hr and 8-hr average ozone and 24-hr average PM 2.5. MAQSIP-RT, on the other hand, generally overestimates daily peak 1-hr and 8-hr average ozone.
Extended Abstract (560K)
Joint Session 10, Recent advances in real-time forecasts of regional air pollution (Joint with AMS Forum on Managing our Physical and Natural Resources, 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA, and 8th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry)
Thursday, 2 February 2006, 1:30 PM-4:45 PM, A312
Previous paper Next paper
Browse or search entire meeting
AMS Home Page