Session 3 | |||
Bayesian Probability Forecasting | |||
| Cochairs: Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; William M. Briggs, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY | |||
| 4:00 PM | 3.1 | Bayesian Processor of Output: A New Technique for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA | |
| 4:15 PM | 3.2 | Bayesian Processor of Output for Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Coire J. Maranzano, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz | |
| 4:30 PM | 3.3 | Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger and R. J. Murnane | |
 | 3.4 | Forecast calibration and combination: Bayesian assimilation of seasonal climate predictions Caio A. S. Coelho, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and D. B. Stephenson, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and M. A. Balmaseda | |
| 4:45 PM | 3.5 | Communicating probability with real-time calibrated forecasts   Patrick G. Tewson, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA | |
Monday, 30 January 2006: 4:00 PM-5:00 PM, A304
* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting