18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Session 5


Climate Modeling: Studies of climate change

 Chairs: G. L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AM5.1New Climate Change Findings and Future Plans  
Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, J. Arblaster, and H. Teng
8:45 AM5.2Future changes of El Nino  
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng and G. Branstator
9:00 AM5.3Climate change detection and attribution in the upper air  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. G. Anderson and J. A. Dykema
9:15 AM5.4The causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe  
David P. Rowell, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Jones
9:30 AM5.5A comparison of model produced maximum and minimum temperature trends with observed trends for the 20th and 21st centuries  extended abstract wrf recording
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, and R. Stouffer
9:45 AM5.6Stratospheric trends in IPCC model simulations  
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and F. Snively
10:00 AMCoffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer  
10:30 AM5.7Rainfall and Its seasonality over the Amazon in the 21st century as assessed by the Coupled Models for the IPCC AR4  
Wenhong Li, Georgis Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu and R. E. Dickinson
10:45 AM5.8Differences in the frequency and the distribution of intense extratropical cyclone events in a model simulated doubled CO2 environment  extended abstract
Kristopher L. Wile, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
11:00 AM5.9Assessment of Twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models   wrf recording
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, I. M. Held, J. Lu, V. Ramaswamy, D. Schwarzkopf, G. Stenchikov, and R. J. Stouffer
11:15 AM5.10An analysis of model tropospheric response to various forcings  
Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy
11:30 AM5.11Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the 20th and 21st centuries, Part 2: Antarctic   wrf recording
Amanda Lynch, Monash Univ., Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano
11:45 AM5.12Comparison of Satellite Observed and Model Simulated Sea Ice: Evaluation for the 4th IPCC Assessment   wrf recording
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. J. Cavalieri and C. L. Parkinson
12:00 PMLunch Break (Cash and Carry will be available in the Exhibit Hall)  
1:30 PM5.13A global analysis of variability and trends of soil moisture  
Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer
1:45 PMPaper 5.14 has been moved, New Number is Poster P3.20  
2:00 PM5.14AUpper-air temperature changes in models and radiosonde observations  
Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante and D. J. Seidel
2:15 PM5.15Changes in snow cover and snow water equivalent due to global warming simulated by a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model  
Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and D. Nohara and A. Kitoh
2:30 PM5.16Multi-model multi-signal climate change detection at regional scale  
Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott
2:45 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:15 PM5.17Bayesian climate change assessment using multi-AOGCM ensembles: global and regional surface temperatures  extended abstract
Seung-Ki Min, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense
4:30 PM5.18Observed and modeled climate variability over the United States associated with major teleconnection patterns  
Anne Hertel, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe, A. Cai, and D. J. Wuebbles
4:45 PM5.19Verification and application of the Analogue-Method to project local scale precipitation from different GCM scenarios: a case study within the US Sierra Nevada and the European Alps  
Christoph Matulla, MSC, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and X. Zhang, X. Wang, J. Wang, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita

Wednesday, 1 February 2006: 8:30 AM-5:00 PM, A313

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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