Session 5
	Climate Modeling: Studies of climate change
	Chairs: G. L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
	8:30 AM	5.1	New Climate Change Findings and Future Plans   Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, J. Arblaster, and H. Teng
	8:45 AM	5.2	Future changes of El Nino   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng and G. Branstator
	9:00 AM	5.3	Climate change detection and attribution in the upper air   Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. G. Anderson and J. A. Dykema
	9:15 AM	5.4	The causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe   David P. Rowell, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Jones
	9:30 AM	5.5	A comparison of model produced maximum and minimum temperature trends with observed trends for the 20th and 21st centuries   David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, and R. Stouffer
	9:45 AM	5.6	Stratospheric trends in IPCC model simulations   Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and F. Snively
	10:00 AM		Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
	10:30 AM	5.7	Rainfall and Its seasonality over the Amazon in the 21st century as assessed by the Coupled Models for the IPCC AR4   Wenhong Li, Georgis Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu and R. E. Dickinson
	10:45 AM	5.8	Differences in the frequency and the distribution of intense extratropical cyclone events in a model simulated doubled CO2 environment   Kristopher L. Wile, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
	11:00 AM	5.9	Assessment of Twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, I. M. Held, J. Lu, V. Ramaswamy, D. Schwarzkopf, G. Stenchikov, and R. J. Stouffer
	11:15 AM	5.10	An analysis of model tropospheric response to various forcings   Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy
	11:30 AM	5.11	Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the 20th and 21st centuries, Part 2: Antarctic   Amanda Lynch, Monash Univ., Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano
	11:45 AM	5.12	Comparison of Satellite Observed and Model Simulated Sea Ice: Evaluation for the 4th IPCC Assessment   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. J. Cavalieri and C. L. Parkinson
	12:00 PM		Lunch Break (Cash and Carry will be available in the Exhibit Hall)
	1:30 PM	5.13	A global analysis of variability and trends of soil moisture   Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer
	1:45 PM		Paper 5.14 has been moved, New Number is Poster P3.20
	2:00 PM	5.14A	Upper-air temperature changes in models and radiosonde observations   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante and D. J. Seidel
	2:15 PM	5.15	Changes in snow cover and snow water equivalent due to global warming simulated by a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model   Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and D. Nohara and A. Kitoh
	2:30 PM	5.16	Multi-model multi-signal climate change detection at regional scale   Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott
	2:45 PM		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	4:15 PM	5.17	Bayesian climate change assessment using multi-AOGCM ensembles: global and regional surface temperatures   Seung-Ki Min, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense
	4:30 PM	5.18	Observed and modeled climate variability over the United States associated with major teleconnection patterns   Anne Hertel, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe, A. Cai, and D. J. Wuebbles
	4:45 PM	5.19	Verification and application of the Analogue-Method to project local scale precipitation from different GCM scenarios: a case study within the US Sierra Nevada and the European Alps   Christoph Matulla, MSC, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and X. Zhang, X. Wang, J. Wang, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita

Wednesday, 1 February 2006: 8:30 AM-5:00 PM, A313

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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