FAA AWRP Convective Weather Product Development Team
This paper will provide an overview of the Convective Weather PDT activities, including past accomplishments, existing real-time tactical and strategic forecasts (and their documented benefits), near-term product capabilities, and current/future research.
Existing real-time forecast products include:
Deterministic “Radar Map” Weather Forecasts Terminal Convective Weather Forecast for the FAA Integrated Terminal Weather System Regional Convective Weather Forecast for the FAA Corridor Integrated Weather System - 0-2 hr Precip Forecast - 0-2 hr Echo Tops Forecast
Probabilistic Convective Weather Forecast National Convective Weather Forecast for the NOAA Aviation Digital Data Service - 0-2 hr Convective Precip Area Coverage Forecast
Research topics include:
Convective initiation Explicit numerical forecasts of convection Optimal combination of observation-based and numerical forecasts Coupling forecasts to automated air traffic management decision support tools Role of the human forecaster