3
Bayesian Probability Forecasting

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Monday, 30 January 2006: 4:00 PM-5:00 PM
A304 (Georgia World Congress Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Tilmann Gneiting, Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA and William M. Briggs, General Internal Medicine/CCIM, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY
Papers:
  4:00 PM
3.1
Bayesian Processor of Output: A New Technique for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA

  4:15 PM
3.2
Bayesian Processor of Output for Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting
Coire J. Maranzano, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz

  4:30 PM
3.3
Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger and R. J. Murnane
  Recorded presentation

 
3.4
Forecast calibration and combination: Bayesian assimilation of seasonal climate predictions

  5:00 PM
3.5
Communicating probability with real-time calibrated forecasts
Patrick G. Tewson, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
  Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

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