15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
    

Session 5

 Forecast evaluation
 Organizer: Tom Hamill, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM5.1The Representativeness of Computed Precipitation Skill Scores  
Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO
1:50 PM5.2Confidence intervals for some verification measures - a survey of several methods  
Tressa L. Kane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown
2:10 PM5.3Application of the autologistic function with covariates to estimate an icing field  
Greg S. Young, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and J. A. Hoeting
2:30 PM5.4Verification of short-term forecasts from the Navy COAMPS over the Mediterranean  
Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur
2:50 PMCoffee Break  
3:20 PM5.5Trends in skill of weather element forecasts in Canada  
Richard Verret, EC/Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and G. Richard, G. Hardy, and C. Landry
3:40 PM5.6The NWS QPF Verification Program  
Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWS/OM & UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and T. M. Graziano
4:00 PM5.7Long-range forecast verification  
Normand Gagnon, EC/Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and R. Verret, A. Plante, L. Lefaivre, and G. Richard
4:20 PM5.8Evaluation of probabilistic in-flight icing forecasts  
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:40 PM5.9Comparison of different scoring methods for TAFs and other probabilistic forecasts.  
Glen R. Harris, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

Thursday, 11 May 2000: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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