Session 4 |
| | Short-range forecasting |
| | Organizer: Dan Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
|
| 10:40 AM | 4.1 | Developing local model output statistics (MOS) equations to predict temperature and probability of precipitation
Christopher T Collins, NOAA/NWS, Newport, NC |
| 11:00 AM | 4.2 | AVN-Guided MOS Weather Forecasts for Europe Based on Regression Screening and Cross Validation
Christian Schoelzel, Bonn University, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense and J. Klassen |
| 11:20 AM | 4.3 | A Bayesian hierarchical approach to model output statistics
David J. Nott, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and W. T. M. Dunsmuir, R. Kohn, and F. Woodcock |
| 11:40 AM | 4.4 | Wind forecasts for the 2000 Olympic Games in Sydney with a Focus on Sydney Harbour
Elly Spark, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and W. T. M. Dunsmuir and S. K. Kim |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch
|
| 1:30 PM | 4.5 | Comparison of CART and MDA for statistical sky cover forecast Models
William R. Burrows, Meteorological Service of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. J. Wilson |
| 1:50 PM | 4.6 | Flexible discriminant techniques for forecasting clear-air turbulence
Claudia Tebaldi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Nychka, B. G. Brown, and R. Sharman |
|  | 4.7 | Conditional Tornado Probabilities from RUC-2 Forecasts
Thomas Hamill, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Church |