Session 6 |
| predictability and prediction system |
| Organizer: Kenneth Mitchell, NOAA/NCEP/NWS, Camp Spring, MD
|
| 10:30 AM | 6.0 | Environmental Risks Assessment Integrative Systems Approach (ERAISA) with Paul J. Croft,, NOAA/AOML, Jackson, MS |
| 10:50 AM | 6.0 | Evaluation of seasonal predictive skill of a regional climate model Francis Ochieng Otieno, Iowa State University Geology and Atmospheric Science, Ames, IA; and W. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, C. J. Anderson, Z. Pan, and R. W. Arritt |
| 11:10 AM | 6.0 | Model Simulations of Sea Surface Temperatures, Salinities and River Discharge in Mississippi Sound and their Influence on Fish Populations Paulinus Chigbu, NOAA/AOML, Jackson, MS |
| 11:30 AM | 6.0 | Review of Recent NWS-CPC's Summer Predictions involving US Soil Moisture and Associated Land Surface Variables. Huug M. van den Dool, Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Fan and J. Huang |
| 11:50 AM | 6.0 | Seasonal Predictability of Daily Precipitation: Heavy Precipitation Frequency over the Contiguous US Alexander Gershunov, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Cayan and T. Barnett |
| 12:10 PM | 6.0 | Simulations of Southern Mississippi Flood of May 8-10, 1995 with a Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) Suseela Reddy Remata, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and M. V. Vatti and P. Croft |
| 12:30 PM | 6.1 | Dynamical seasonal climate predictability over the GAPP domain Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and C. A. Schlosser |
| 12:50 PM | 6.2 | The impact of realistic snow conditions on predictive skill in two climate models C. Adam Schlosser, GEST/UMBC/NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Mocko |
| 1:10 PM | 6.3 | Soil Moisture and Snow Cover: Active or Passive Elements of Climate? Robert J. Oglesby, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and S. Marshall, D. J. Erickson, F. R. Robertson, and J. O. Roads |
| 1:30 PM | 6.4 | Ensemble canonical correlation prediction of summer season precipitation ove the United States Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, Md |
| 1:50 PM | 6.5 | Predictability of seasonal runoff in the Mississippi River basin Edwin P. Maurer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier |
| 2:10 PM | 6.6 | A Seasonal Simulation of Precipitation over North America with the Eta Regional Climate Model Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell |
| 2:30 PM | 6.7 | Spatial Patterns of Soil Moisture Connected to Monthly-Seasonal Precipitation Variability in East Asia Yongqiang Liu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and R. Avissar |
| 2:50 PM | 6.8 | Assessing seasonal soil moisture sensitivity with a regional model Loren White, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS |
| 3:10 PM | 6.9 | Effects of orography on mesoscale ENSO precipitation anomalies in the western U.S. L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian, X. Bian, and A. Hunt |
| 3:30 PM | 6.10 | Regional Climate Model Downscaling Skill of North American Precipitation Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL; and L. Li, M. Ting, J. X. L. Wang, and K. E. Kunkel |