Wednesday, 15 May 2002: 12:50 PM
The Impact of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall on Summer Rainfall Regimes in Mexico
The importance of tropical cyclone rainfall on the summer rainfall regimes of Mexico is examined using long time series of daily rainfall from both the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico regions. Analysis includes partitioning of daily rainfall into either tropical cyclone or non-tropical cyclone rainfall. Summer rainfall is then examined relative to tropical cyclone contributions and non-tropical cyclone contributions (monsoon derived). Relationships between the two rainfall types are then related to fluctuations in key indices, including ENSO, the PDO and the AMO. In eastern Mexico tropical cyclone rainfall is enhanced during the cold phase of the AMO and warm ENSO conditions. However, monsoonal rainfall is found to be depressed during this combination of forcing mechanisms, resulting in lower total summer rainfall through eastern Mexico. Overall, it was found that up to 35% to 60% of the coastal rainfall in the northwest Pacific region of Mexico is directly related to tropical cyclone precipitation, while less than 10% of the summer rainfall in the Gulf of Mexico region is related to tropical cyclone precipitation. Long term trends in tropical cyclone and non-tropical cyclone rainfall are examined relative to the PDO and the AMO.
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