Thursday, 16 May 2002: 6:56 PM
Parameter Estimation for Coupled Land Surface Models
We have developed methodologies for parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis of Land Surface Models (LSMs) both in coupled and uncoupled modes. The procedures involve the use of highly efficient global multi-criteria optimization and statistical algorithms that allow for the use of the information content from different streams of observational data, e.g. fluxes -sensible, latent heat, and CO2 together with state variables -soil moisture and ground temperatures. The techniques were applied to seven different land surface models covering different level of complexity in the representation of the physical processes: BATS, BATS2, NOAH, CLM, LSM, CHASM, and Bucket. Data from more than 10 different locations covering different climates, soils and vegetation types have been used. We have found that the use of the multi-criteria procedures provide a number of advantages over the traditional single-criterion approach such as: constrain the model outputs and the parameters to physically meaningful values; obtain areal estimations of the parameters; give insight into model structure and code deficiencies; and model performance evaluation/comparison. The procedures allow for a reduction in the model overall error in the order of 20 to 50%. We have also studied the influence of the feedback effects on the parameter values using LSM coupled to the NCAR Single Column Model.
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