Friday, 17 May 2002: 12:50 PM
Using Land Data Assimilation Systems Products to improve Streamflow Forecasts
This collaborative case study research effort will focus on the period of
March 1 to July 31 of 1997 in the Western and Central Montana regions. For
both operational and forecast settings, LDAS-Mosaic LSM variables that will
be used in Reclamation’s water resource and river management support tools
will be tested and evaluated. For the operational setting, Mosaic output,
forced with both observation and NCEP Eta model forecast data, will be
compared with Reclamation’s Hydromet/Agrimet data to perform a statistical
evaluation of the model data and establish a benchmark to test the forecast
simulations against. SWE estimates will be based on NRCS Snotel data and
the NWS’s National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center data.
Reclamation’s WSR-88D precipitation accumulation algorithm will be used with
archived Level III data to improve estimation of SWE distributions and snow
cover, and to identify rain on snow events. The 40-km short-range (24 and
48 hour) Eta model forecast data are also used to drive Mosaic, and the
model output will be evaluated as input for the software used by water
resource managers. The model variables including snow depth and cover, soil
moisture near the surface and in subsequent layers below, and evaporation,
will be examined along with forcing variables such as precipitation and
surface temperatures, all critical ingredients that set up the flooding
conditions in this case study.
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