Tuesday, 15 May 2001: 4:15 PM
Monthly regional rainfall for 29 districts in India from 1871 to 1999 is examined. Monthly sea surface temperature (SST) from several regions within the Indian Ocean is shown to correlate strongly with both the All-India Rainfall Index (AIRI) and the regional Indian rainfall data with lead
times of 3 to 6 months. The interdecadal variability of these correlations is investigated. The implications
for early prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall are discussed.
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