11th Symposium on Global Change Studies

9.2

The New 20-year Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Merged Satellite and Raingauge Monthly Analysis

Robert Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Huffman, P. P. Xie, B. Rudolf, A. Gruber, M. O. A. with GPCP, and J. Janowiak

A new 20-year, monthly, globally complete precipitation analysis has been completed as part of the World Climate Research Program’s (WCRP/GEWEX) Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP). This Version 2 of the community generated data set is a result of combining the procedures and data sets as described by Huffman et al (1997) and Xie and Arkin (1997). The global, monthly, 2.5x 2.5 degree latitude-longitude product utilizes precipitation estimates from low-orbit microwave sensors (SSM/I) and geosynchronous IR sensors and raingauge information over land. The low-orbit microwave estimates are used to adjust or correct the geosynchronous IR estimates, thereby maximizing the utility of the more physically-based microwave estimates and the finer time sampling of the geosynchronous observations. Information from raingauges is blended into the analyses over land. In the 1986-present period TOVS-based precipitation estimates (Susskind) are adjusted to GPCP fields and used in polar regions to produce globally-complete results. The extension back to 1979 utilizes the procedures of Xie and Arkin (1997) and their OLR Precipitation Index (OPI).

The 20-year climatology of the Version 2 GPCP analysis indicates the expected features of a very stong Pacific Ocean ITCZ and SPCZ with maximum 20-year means approaching 10 mm/day. A similar strength maximum over land is evident over Borneo. Weaker maxima in the tropics occur in the Atlantic ITCZ and over South America and Africa. In mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere the Western Pacific and Western Atlantic maxima have values of approximately 7 mm/day, while in the Southern Hemisphere the mid-latitude maxima are located southeast of Africa, in mid-Pacific as an extension of the SPCZ and southeast of South America.

In terms of global totals the GPCP analysis shows 2.7 mm/day (3.0 mm/day over ocean; 2.1 mm/day over land), similar to the Jaeger climatology, but not other climatologies. Zonal averages peak at 6 mm/day at 7*N with mid-latitude peaks of about 3 mm/day at 40-45* latitude. Poleward of 45* the GPCP analysis shows larger zonally-averaged values than most previous satellite-based estimates, although the values are similar to the Jaeger climatology. Over both ocean areas and at high latitudes the analysis requires additional validation and comparison with special, independent data sets from field experiments and from the Tropical Rain Measuring Mission (TRMM) to confirm the absolute magnitude and variations of precipitation seen in the analysis.

Interannual and other variations of the global fields will be shown focusing on the recent (‘97-’99) ENSO event compared with previous events, including teleconnections at mid and high latitudes. An ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI) calculated using the new data set will be described and related to the evolution of the ENSO events during the 20-year period.

Session 9, Advancing Our Understanding of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part 2 (Parallel with Joint Session J1)
Wednesday, 12 January 2000, 1:30 PM-5:30 PM

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