16.10
Research on LFV of global and south-north mean temperature in last 150 years
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Q. Tu and N. Shi
The Multi-Taper method (MTM) of spectral analysis provides a means for spectral estimation with a low variance and high resolution. It is particularly well-suited for the diagnosis analysis of weakly signals with a time-depended amplitude and frequency against a high-noise background. We briefly introduced basic outline of MTM and apply this approach to global, Northern and Southern Hemisphere mean surface temperature time series. Results are as follows. (1) There is an significant low-frequency=40-70 year timescale oscillation superimpose on a linear warming trend in global and Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature time series, which appears mainly contribution to fluctuation of warming process. (2) Decadal signal is considerably significant in Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature time series, while interannual quasiperiods signals (periods of 5 year shorter) are significant in Southern Hemisphere mean temperature series. Reconstructed ENSO band and quasibiennial components of above time series each exhibit modulation both amplitude and frequency. (3) Compared to the Black-Tukey method and Maximum entropy method, the spectral estimations based on MTM are of high resolution and strong stability.
Session 16, Observed Variability and Change: Surface Part II (Parallel with Session 15 & Joint Session J1)
Thursday, 18 January 2001, 9:00 AM-11:44 AM
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