Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses

P3.31

Basic Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting

Russell Pfost, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL

Floods due to torrential rains associated with landfalling tropical cyclones have always been a big threat for loss of life. Recent research (Rappaport et al., 1999) has shown that since 1970 about 57% of the total deaths reported have been from floods due to torrential rains. This paper will present some operational forecasting considerations from an observational perspective, and will propose real-time suggestions for quantitative precipitation forecasting with landfalling tropical cyclones along the Florida and central Gulf of Mexico coasts of the United States.

Poster Session 3, Extreme precipitation associated with Tropical Cyclones
Thursday, 18 January 2001, 1:30 PM-9:30 PM

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