Session 3 |
| | Forecasting Climate Variability |
| | Organizer: Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
|
| 8:00 AM | 3.1 | Challenges and Progress Toward Multi-Scale Land Surface Data Assimilation
Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD |
| 8:15 AM | 3.2 | The Magnitude and Variability of Global and Regional Precipitation Based on the 22-year GPCP (Global Precipitation Climatology Project) and Three-year TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) Data Sets
Robert F. Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Curtis, G. Huffman, D. Bolvin, and E. Nelkin |
| 8:30 AM | 3.3 | ENSO—Past, Present, and Future
Mark Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY |
| 9:00 AM | 3.4 | IRI/NCEP/Applied Research Center Collaborative Projects in Seasonal Prediction
Steve Zebiak, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY |
| 9:30 AM | 3.5 | Moored Buoy Observations for Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Prediction
Michael J. McPhadden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | 3.6 | Spring 2000 Drought Forecast
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Lecomte, M. Kanamitsu, and H. Vandendool |
| 10:45 AM | 3.7 | ECPC’s Weekly to Seasonal Global Forecasts
John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA |
| 11:00 AM | 3.8 | An empirical-dynamical extended range forecast model incorporating tropical diabatic forcing
Christopher R. Winkler, NOAA/CDC and CIRES/Univ. of Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman and P. D. Sardeshmukh |
| 11:15 AM | 3.9 | NOAA's Extended-Range Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks
Gerald Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah, C. W. Landsea, S. Goldenberg, L. A. Avila, and R. Pasch |
| 11:30 AM | 3.10 | Tropical Cyclones and the Thermohaline Circulation
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
| 11:45 AM | 3.11 | Atlantic basin tropical storms—interannual variability and nonparametric simulation of tracks
Upmanu Lall, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and R. Balaji, K. Yochanan, and M. Jennifer |
| 12:00 PM | 3.12 | Representation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: a tough test for a coupled model
Peter M. Inness, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and J. M. Slingo |
| 12:15 PM | | Conference Luncheon
|
| 2:15 PM | | Intermission
|
| 4:00 PM | 3.13 | NWS/NOAA climate prediction services: evolution and new directions
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 4:15 PM | 3.14 | Developing value-added climate information for weather-sensitive organizations: Increasing opportunities for atmospheric scientists
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL |
| 4:30 PM | 3.15 | African drought monitoring and estimation of Malaria vulnerability
Mathew A. Barlow, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and B. L. Lyon and C. B. Ropelewski |
| 4:45 PM | 3.16 | Improving the interactions between users and producers of climate forecasts
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and T. Kestin and G. Hammer |
| 5:00 PM | 3.17 | The application of weather derivatives to mitigate the financial risk of climate variability, extreme precipitation events and extreme temperature events
Harvey Stern, BOM, Melbourne, Vic., Australia |
| 5:15 PM | 3.18 | Midwestern Economic Impacts resulting from NOAA's Spring Drought Forecast
Stanley Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL |