Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses
    

Poster Session 1

 Winter Storms (Poster Session)
P1.1Geography of Blizzards in the Conterminous United States, 1959–2000  
Robert M. Schwartz, Kent State University, Kent, OH
 P1.2A Climatology of Heavy Snowfall Events in Northwest Missouri: The Synoptic and Dynamic Characteristics of Heavy Snowfall  
Michael J. Bodner, NOAA/NWSFO, Pleasant Hill, MO; and P. A. Browning, A. R. Lupo, and C. L. Berger
P1.3The patterns associated with light, moderate and heavy snowfall events at Flagstaff, Arizona  
Darren M. McCollum, NOAA/NWS, Bellemont, AZ
P1.4On the predictability of rainfall patterns  
Geoffrey L. Austin, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; and K. T. Smith
P1.5NCEP short-range model guidance for the 24–26 January 2000 east coast winter storm  
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Rogers
 P1.6Process partitioning of rainfall enhanced by coastal orography  
Allen B. White, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, P. J. Neiman, D. A. Kingsmill, and P. O. G. Persson
 P1.7Spatial and temporal characteristics of heavy precipitation events over Canada  
Xuebin Zhang, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and W. D. Hogg and É. Mekis
 P1.8Modeling and Visualization of a Record Meso-Snowfall Event in Jackson, Mississippi  
Paul J. Croft Jr., Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and J. Hafner, R. S. Reddy, and P. J. Fitzpatrick
 P1.9Case study and mesoscale modeling of the 28 April to 1 May 1999 heavy rain event over southeast Colorado  
Paul Wolyn, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO
 P1.10The Genesee Valley Blizzard of 4 March 1999: An Analysis Of Forcing Mechanisms  
Jose A. Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY; and S. Rochette, J. Caughel, R. Ballentine, and A. Stamm
P1.11Effects of mountain representation and nonhydrostatic dynamics in a case of orographic precipitation  
Zavisa Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and G. DiMego
 P1.12Forecast Skill of the Penn State/NCAR MM5 Mesoscale Model during the heavy precipitation event of 23–24 February 1998 in Southern California  
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. de Carvalho, B. Bower, and D. Danielson
 P1.13Improving the Understanding and Prediction of Heavy Rain in Land-falling Pacific Winter Storms: The CALJET and PACJET Experiments  
F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and D. W. Reynolds, P. O. G. Persson, W. A. Nuss, D. A. Kingsmill, Z. Toth, and W. Blier
 P1.14Orographic precipitation enhancement in the coastal mountains of California during the CALJET field experiment  
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, A. B. White, D. A. Kingsmill, P. O. G. Persson, and D. Gottas
 P1.15Predictability of the 24–25 January 2000 Snow Storm with respect to model grid resolution and initial state  
Fuqing Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder and R. Rotunno
 P1.15aA Planetary-Scale to Mesoscale Perspective of the Predictability of the 24-26 January 2000 U.S. East-Coast Snowstorm  
Melvyn Shapiro, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. H. Langland, R. Gelaro, and F. Zhang
 P1.16The microphysical structure of extreme precipitation  
Remko Uijlenhoet, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. A. Smith and M. Steiner
 P1.17Predictability of mesoscale quantitative precipitation  
Wendell A. Nuss, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. K. Miller
P1.18Diabatic Potential Vortiticity Modification, the Low-Level Jet, and Moisture Transport in Cyclones  
Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
P1.19Improvement of quantitative precipitation forecasts using a new microphysical parameterization  
Vanda Grubisic, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell
 P1.20Improved Rainfall Detection Using High Frequency Observations from the NOAA Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU)  
Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng
 P1.21An analysis of significant WSR-88D precipitation underestimation over the Palmer Divide: 28 April to 1 May 1999 heavy rain event  
Kathleen L. Torgerson, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO
P1.22Forecast Experiments for the 24–26 January 2000 East Coast storm using the NCEP Eta Model  
Eric Rogers, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and G. S. Manikin
 P1.23A Real-Time Precipitation Monitoring Algorithm—Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Segregation Using Multiple Sensors (QPE SUMS)  
Jonathan J. Gourley, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang, R. A. Maddox, C. M. Calvert, and K. W. Howard
 P1.24Using low frequency Predictors for Downscaling to mid-latitude precipitation: two case studies in mountainous regions  
Allan Frei, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
 P1.25Application of the NCEP/EMC Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF) to Predicting Extreme Precipitation Events  
M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Washington, DC; and J. Du
 P1.26Choosing the Optimal Configuration of a Mixed-Physics Ensemble for Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts  
Matthew S. Wandishin, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen and D. J. Stensrud
 P1.27Statistical Analysis of Global Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts  
Sanja Perica, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake, M. Mullusky, and D. J. Seo
 P1.28Hydrologic Re-Calibration Requirements for Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts Following NWP Model Changes  
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 P1.29Rainfall Assimilation and Numerical Forecast of the 25 January 2000 Snow Storm  
Xiaolei Zou, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Q. Zhao, Q. Xiao, and S. Peng
 P1.30Anticipating Heavy Rainfall: Forecast Aspects  
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. Hart
P1.31A review of the scientific and operational challenges of short-range precipitation prediction over the Great Basin  
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
 P1.32The National Precipitation Verification Unit (NPVU): Operational implementation  
Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and T. M. Graziano
 P1.33Extending the Precipitation Map Offshore Using Daily and 3-Hourly Combined Precipitation Estimates  
George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC and SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler, D. T. Bolvin, and W. R. S. Curtis
 P1.34Accounting for Uncertainty in Short Term Deterministic Precipitation Forecasts  
Mary Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake, S. Perica, and D. J. Seo
 P1.35Paper moved to Session 5, Paper number 5.2a  
 P1.36A Verification Approach Suitable for Assessing the Quality of Model-Based Precipitation Forecasts during Extreme Precipitation Events  
Andrew F. Loughe, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Henderson, J. L. Mahoney, and E. I. Tollerud
P1.37The Pacific Landfalling Jets Experiment (PACJET): Building Bridges Between Research and Operations  
David W. Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and F. M. Ralph
 P1.38Extreme weather events and their probabilistic prediction by the NCEP ensemble forecast system  
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Washinton, DC; and Z. Toth
 P1.39Restructuring the National Weather Service Quantitative Precipitation Forecast process  
Gary M. Carter, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and T. M. Graziano
P1.40Comparative verification of operational QPF products for the NWS QPF Process Assessment  
Jerome P. Charba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. E. McDonald, D. W. Reynolds, G. M. Carter, and T. M. Graziano
 P1.41The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center—Restructuring Its Products and Services for the 21st Century  
James E. Hoke, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and D. W. Reynolds
 P1.42The Canadian Hydrometeorological Information and Prediction System (CHIPS)  
R. Paul Ford, MSC, Guelph, ON, Canada; and P. Pilon, H. Goertz, B. Murphy, P. Campbell, and Z. Cao
 P1.43Evaluating forecasts of rain events  
Elizabeth E. Ebert, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. L. McBride
 P1.44The impact of resolution and ensemble size on precipitation forecasts by the ECMWF EPS  
Steven L. Mullen, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and R. Buizza
P1.45The Venezuelan rainfall-runoff disaster occurred in December 1999  
Luis G. Hidalgo, Universidad Central de Venezuela, Caracas, Estado Miranda, Venezuela
P1.46Integrating Climate, Hydrologic and Decision-support Models for Regional Assessments  
Venugopal Vuruputur, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Monday, 15 January 2001: 1:00 PM-3:30 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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