Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction

7.6

Drifter launch strategies based on dynamic Lagrangian templates

M. Toner, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and A. C. Poje, A. D. Kirwan, Jr., and C. K. R. T. Jones

A basin scale, reduced gravity, primitive equation model is used to study how drifter launch strategies affect the accuracy of Eulerian velocity fields reconstructed from limited Lagrangian data. Optimal dispersion launch sites are found by tracking strongly hyperbolic singular points in the flow field. Lagrangian data from drifters launched from such locations are found to provide significant improvement in the reconstruction accuracy over similar but randomly located initial deployments. The eigenvalues of the hyperbolic singular points in the flow field determine the intensity of the local particle dispersion and thereby provide a natural time-scale for initializing subsequent launches. Aligning the initial drifter launch in each site along an out-flowing manifold insures both high initial particle dispersion and the eventual sampling of regions of high Lagrangian kinetic energy, two factors that are found to be critical to the accuracy of the Eulerian reconstruction. Reconstruction error is reduced by a factor of 2.5 by using a continual launch strategy that incorporates both local stretching rates and the outflowing directions of two strong saddles located in the dynamically active region south of the central jet.

Session 7, strategies for adaptive observations
Thursday, 17 January 2002, 1:30 PM-3:45 PM

Previous paper  Next paper

Browse or search entire meeting

AMS Home Page