16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences

1.9

Workstation ETA Verification Efforts at the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center

Steven A. Listemaa, NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA

With the release of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Workstation ETA, local National Weather Service (NWS) offices and others have the ability to run numerical models at the local level. The LMRFC is currently running the Workstation ETA twice a day (0000 and 1200 UTC cycles), with the output available for the forecaster. Verification of numerical model output is an import step in determining how well a model performs. Verification statistics, including absolute error, mean absolute error, and root mean square error (RMSE), are calculated using output from the Workstation ETA and quality-controlled Stage III (mulisensor) data. This presentation will show verification statistics from the Workstation ETA, and compare them to statistics from the NCEP operational models.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (1.5M)

Session 1, forecast evaluation
Monday, 14 January 2002, 9:30 AM-3:30 PM

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