Wednesday, 16 January 2002: 4:00 PM
An identification of factors discriminating between significant and extreme heavy rainfall events
Heavy convective rainfall has a significant impact on the local
environment including agricultural, economic, and societal effects. Whereas
a significant (2-4 inches in 24 h) rainfall event may produce localized
flooding, an extreme (6-10 inches in 24 h) rainfall event will produce
flash flooding with catastrophic consequences. The impacts also vary
according to the spatial rainfall distribution and antecedent conditions.
Distinguishing between the synoptic/mesoscale environments associated
with significant and extreme convective precipitation events is not a
straight-forward task. In this study we compare two heavy convective
rainfall events which took place over the same geographical
region and time of year. The motivation of this study is to ascertain
the distinguishing factors which discriminate between a significant
and extreme convective precipitation event. In this diagnostic study, we
examine the pattern and intensity of important processes associated with
the development and maintenance of heavy convective rainfall. We will discuss
the role of the low-level jet, surface-based boundaries, storm-scale
interactions, moisture convergence, equivalent potential temperature,
and instability in organizing a mesoscale convective system leading to
significant versus extreme precipitation amounts.
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