7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle


Impact of GPS-IPW data on RUC forecasts

Tracy Lorraine Smith, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, and NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, S. I. Gutman, and B. E. Schwartz

GPS integrated precipitable water (GPS-IPW) data have been available at FSL for more than five years. A long-term impact study using the original 60-km RUC with and without GPS data has been ongoing since November 1997. Verification of the analysis and forecasts from the two parallel runs has been performed against RAOBs at 0000 and 1200 UTC daily, resulting in a longterm, data-rich sample. These statistics show a consistent, modest impact in relative humidity forecasts at 850 hPa, 700 hPa and 500 hPa, important levels in forecasting weather potential. The impact increases with the density of the data.

Individual cases have also been assessed, both with the 60-km RUC and the new 20-km RUC. A 20-km case study has been run for 24 May 2000. The case includes a widespread severe weather outbreak in the south central US, where most of the GPS receivers are located. Assimilation of GPS-IPW in this case resulted in drier (more unstable) conditions aloft and an increase in precipitation in this area. An additional case will be run for February 2001 to assess the impact in a cold weather situation.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (720K)

Session 3, Assimilation and analysis
Wednesday, 12 February 2003, 1:30 PM-4:31 PM

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