Tuesday, 11 February 2003: 3:14 PM
Fuzzy Case-Based Prediction of Cloud Ceiling and Visibility
Fuzzy logic and case-based reasoning are
leading methodologies for the application of
artificial intelligence. We describe a system,
WIND-1, that combines fuzzy logic and case-based
reasoning to produce forecasts of airport
cloud ceiling and visibility. Knowledge about
meteorological and temporal features that
experienced forecasters use to construct
analogous climatological scenarios is encoded in
a fuzzy similarity measure. The fuzzy similarity
measure is used to locate k-nearest neighbors
from airports' historical databases. These nearest
neighbors are adapted to produce values of
forecast parameters. Experiments show that the
WIND-1 system produces highly accurate
forecasts. It takes about one second for WIND-1
to produce a forecast.
Supplementary URL: http://chebucto.ca/~bjarne/wind