One factor contributing to uncertainties in flood risk variables is the uncertainty in local precipitation and runoff information. This study is intended to determine whether analysis of relationships between extreme precipitation and flooding and use of summer precipitation forecasts can contribute to flood hazard planning in the Colorado Front Range by reducing uncertainty. To be useful, the information must be accepted within the regulatory process and tailored to the needs of decision makers, floodplain administrators, and technical experts. Thus a major focus of the project is to understand the structure of flood hazard planning and regulation at federal, state, and local levels; interact with flood hazard planners and technical experts to learn about procedures, problems, local vulnerabilities, and information needs; and provide information that is operationally useful for local flood hazard planning and mitigation.
This talk will summarize what we have learned about decision making processes in floodplain management at local, state, and federal levels, how weather and climate information is presently used for flood hazard planning in Colorado, and how the users deal with uncertainty in that information.