The primary benefactor of the additional forecast guidance in coastal and Great Lakes regions will be National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters. This guidance will be incorporated into the Interactive Forecast Preparation System (IFPS) for use on an operational basis. It is hoped that the additional detail provided by this guidance will contribute to forecasts of improved spatial resolution. MOS guidance will also prove useful for interests in the fishing, shipping, and cruise industries, as well as the Coast Guard and other mariners.
Future endeavors by MDL look toward cooperation with other organizations in obtaining additional observational data sets for development of statistical guidance. Potential partners include the National Ocean Service, as well as Environment Canada. Cooperation with these groups will provide the potential for further expansion of the total number of stations for which MOS guidance is provided. It is also likely that future developments will include the variables of temperature, dewpoint temperature, and at select locations, visibility. This additional guidance will prove invaluable in equipping NWS forecasters with the tools necessary to improve coastal forecasts.
This talk describes the developmental process for generating forecast equations for wind speed and direction at the new marine sites. As part of the developmental process, test forecasts are made and verified. These results are also presented. In addition, comparisons are made between direct model output, current NGM MOS marine guidance, and the new AVN-based MOS marine guidance.