Wednesday, 12 February 2003: 2:00 PM
Model cloud and rain evaluation using satellite data
Numerical Weather Prediction models require accurate initial conditions and therefore
rely heavily on the quality of the assimilation schemes. As known weaknesses currently
affect their global analyses of humidity, additional information about the atmospheric
water cycle, like rain and cloud observations, is being tentatively introduced in the
assimilation schemes.
In this paper, an evaluation of the cloud and rain produced by the ECMWF forecasting system is performed based on Meteosat, ATOVS and SSM/I radiances. Cloud- and rain-retrieved products are compared to the cloud and rain simulated by the forecast model. Also a radiation model is used to generate model-equivalent radiances that are directly compared to the observed ones. It is shown that the cloud and rain structures are well located by the ECMWF model at all latitudes. However, deficiencies are identified and discussed. Finally, prospects for the use of the cloud- and rain- affected radiances in an objective data assimilation system are considered using a one- dimensional variational analysis scheme.
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