14C.3
Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century
J. B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. Jagger and X. Niu
We document and explain changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricanes over the 20th century. Statistical analyses identify two contrasting regimes of activity. The regimes have significantly different occurrence rates that coincide with important changes in the climate over the North Atlantic. In conjunction with the recent Arctic warming, it appears that we are beginning a new period of greater major hurricane activity across the North Atlantic.
Session 14C, Tropical cyclone climate variability and climate change (Parallel with Sessions 14A and 14B)
Friday, 26 May 2000, 1:15 PM-2:45 PM
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